Thursday , 2 July 2026

OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
1 1
Full Time
Sun 25 Aug 2024 · 15:00 UTC Allianz Riviera 21,656 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

OGC Nice vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Allianz Riviera.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastien Dechepy
  • Assistant 1 Brice Parinet (France)
  • Assistant 2 Julien Haulbert

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Toulouse FC H 1–1 D
18 Aug AJ Auxerre A 1–2 L
19 May Lille OSC A 2–2 D
15 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–2 L
10 May Le Havre AC H 1–0 W
28 Apr RC Strasbourg Alsace A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug OGC Nice A 1–1 D
18 Aug FC Nantes H 0–0 D
19 May Stade Brestois 29 H 0–3 L
12 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 3–1 W
03 May Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
28 Apr FC Lorient A 2–1 W

Season Stats

OGC Nice Toulouse FC
#20 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

OGC Nice are 20th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Allianz Riviera will turn into a battlefield for OGC Nice and Toulouse FC.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both OGC Nice and Toulouse FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Norway international Warren Kamanzi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 35' OGC Nice are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Toulouse FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' OGC Nice player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pablo Rosario on 50.
  • 54' The France Jonathan Clauss breaks the deadlock on 54 minutes. 1-0!
  • 54' That looks like a foul for a card for Mark McKenzie.
  • 56' Poor challenge from Dante. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 61' Aron Donnum is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 65' Gabriel Suazo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mark McKenzie at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 73' The Gabon Shavy Warren Babicka breaks the deadlock on 73 minutes. 1-1!
  • 78' Toulouse FC ring the changes. Vincent Sierro has done his job and it is now time for Niklas Schmidt to step up.
  • 79' Time for substitution for OGC Nice. Tanguy Ndombele is replaced by Badredine Bouanani.
  • 82' Poor challenge from Antoine Mendy. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 83' Jordan Lotomba gets the nod from OGC Nice. He replaces Melvin Bard and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Djibril Sidibe. He replaces Aron Donnum on 88 minute.
  • 90' A tactical swap from OGC NiceYoussouf Ndayishimiye on, Antoine Mendy off on 90 minutes.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.48 OGC Nice xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
OGC Nice28% Draw42% Toulouse FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 31%
69%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

OGC Nice or Draw
70%
Draw or Toulouse FC
72%
OGC Nice or Toulouse FC
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
OGC Nice12% Draw71% Toulouse FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
36.1%
0 – 1
18.8%
1 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 1
2.5%
0 – 3
1.2%
2 – 2
1%
1 – 3
0.7%
3 – 0
0.5%

Asian Handicap — OGC Nice

Handicap OGC Nice covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 17% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 22% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
54%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
62%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.