OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Allianz Riviera.
- OGC Nice 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastien Dechepy
- Assistant 1 Brice Parinet (France)
- Assistant 2 Julien Haulbert
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | Toulouse FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | AJ Auxerre | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 May | Lille OSC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 May | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | Le Havre AC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Apr | RC Strasbourg Alsace | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | OGC Nice | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | FC Nantes | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 May | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 0–3 | L |
| 12 May | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 May | Montpellier HSC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | FC Lorient | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| OGC Nice | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #13 |
| 5 | Points | 5 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| 3 | Scored | 7 |
| 6 | Conceded | 9 |
| -3 | GD | -2 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season
OGC Nice this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
OGC Nice are 14th (5 pts). Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
OGC Nice
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 3 G | |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 1 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: OGC Nice gets underway.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Allianz Riviera. OGC Nice seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' It looks surprising OGC Nice does not make any changes. Aron Donnum has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' The travelling Toulouse FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' Toulouse FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' OGC Nice seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' Toulouse FC have won 406 goals from 423 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 40' Rasmus Nicolaisen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Melvin Bard on 45 minutes.
- 50' Pablo Rosario has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 50.
- 54' Against the run of play, Jonathan Clauss has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 54' Toulouse FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 56' Poor challenge from Dante. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Aron Donnum.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Gabriel Suazo. He replaces Mark McKenzie on 65 minute.
- 70' It is a cagey affair so far. OGC Nice in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Toulouse FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 73' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Shavy Warren Babicka makes it 1-1.
- 78' A change in the Toulouse FC ranks — Vincent Sierro exits the field as Niklas Schmidt enters on 78.
- 79' Time for substitution for OGC Nice. Tanguy Ndombele is replaced by Badredine Bouanani.
- 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Antoine Mendy.
- 83' Jordan Lotomba is replacing Melvin Bard for the OGC Nice side.
- 88' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Aron Donnum departs to be replaced by Djibril Sidibe.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Youssouf Ndayishimiye. He replaces Antoine Mendy on 90 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
OGC Nice Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 8
- 22
- 4
- 92
- 29
- 6
-
26
Melvin Bard ↓ Jordan Lotomba 83'
- 1
- 33
- 64
-
25
Mohamed Cho ↓ Bilal Brahimi 78'
Bench
- 31
-
23
Jordan Lotomba ↑ 83'
-
55
Youssouf Ndayishimiye ↑ 90'
-
14
Bilal Brahimi ↑ 78'
-
19
Badredine Bouanani ↑ 79'
- 39
- 42
- 45
- 36
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
-
8
Vincent Sierro ↓ Niklas Schmidt 78'
- 23
-
3
Mark McKenzie ↓ Gabriel Suazo 65'
- 2
- 7
- 4
- 9
- 50
- 12
-
15
Aron Donnum ↓ Djibril Sidibe 88'
Bench
- 5
-
19
Djibril Sidibe ↑ 88'
-
20
Niklas Schmidt ↑ 78'
- 22
- 30
- 21
-
17
Gabriel Suazo ↑ 65'
-
80
Shavy Warren Babicka ↑ 65'
- 33
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thijs Dallinga | 3 |
| Pierre Lees Melou | 2 |
| Terem Moffi | 2 |
| Jonathan Clauss | 1 |
| Wylan Cyprien | 1 |
| Mark McKenzie | 1 |
| Issiaga Sylla | 1 |
| Gaetan Laborde | 1 |
Head to Head
OGC Nice Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.92
OGC Nice xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
OGC Nice or Toulouse FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
OGC Nice or Draw
63%
Draw or Toulouse FC
68%
OGC Nice or Toulouse FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
8.2%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 3
3.2%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — OGC Nice
| Handicap | OGC Nice covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 23% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.