OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Allianz Riviera.
- OGC Nice 10 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastien Dechepy
- Assistant 1 Brice Parinet (France)
- Assistant 2 Julien Haulbert
6 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 16.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | Toulouse FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | AJ Auxerre | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 May | Lille OSC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 May | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | Le Havre AC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Apr | RC Strasbourg Alsace | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | OGC Nice | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | FC Nantes | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 May | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 0–3 | L |
| 12 May | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 May | Montpellier HSC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | FC Lorient | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| OGC Nice | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 17 | Points | 13 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 5 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| 15 | Scored | 15 |
| 12 | Conceded | 14 |
| +3 | GD | +1 |
| 1.70 | PPG | 1.30 |
| 50% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season
OGC Nice this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
OGC Nice are 6th (17 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
OGC Nice
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
OGC Nice
| Sepe Elye Wahi | 6 G | 2 A |
| Jonathan Clauss | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mohammed Amoura | 2 G | 2 A |
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. OGC Nice is hosting Toulouse FC for another epic battle.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zakaria Aboukhlal suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' OGC Nice currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' Jonathan Clauss, a France , has 20 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Guillaume Restes, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Riviera with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' A moment of madness from Melvin Bard on 45 minutes earns him a card. OGC Nice will be frustrated.
- 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Pablo Rosario.
- 54' OGC Nice is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jonathan Clauss on 54.
- 54' Controversy at the stadium! Mark McKenzie argues furiously but the card stands.
- 56' The referee shows OGC Nice player a card on 56.
- 61' Aron Donnum has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 61.
- 65' Mark McKenzie makes way for Gabriel Suazo at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toulouse FC.
- 70' Toulouse FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 73' Shavy Warren Babicka doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Niklas Schmidt. He replaces Vincent Sierro on 78 minute.
- 79' A change in the OGC Nice ranks — Tanguy Ndombele exits the field as Badredine Bouanani enters on 79.
- 82' Antoine Mendy picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 83' Fresh legs for OGC Nice! Jordan Lotomba comes on to replace Melvin Bard.
- 88' Djibril Sidibe gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Aron Donnum and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Another substitution for OGC Nice to replace Antoine Mendy by Youssouf Ndayishimiye on 90 minute.
- The points are shared — OGC Nice 1-1 Toulouse FC. Honours even.
Lineups
OGC Nice Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 8
- 22
- 4
- 92
- 29
- 6
-
26
Melvin Bard ↓ Jordan Lotomba 83'
- 1
- 33
- 64
-
25
Mohamed Cho ↓ Bilal Brahimi 78'
Bench
- 31
-
23
Jordan Lotomba ↑ 83'
-
55
Youssouf Ndayishimiye ↑ 90'
-
14
Bilal Brahimi ↑ 78'
-
19
Badredine Bouanani ↑ 79'
- 39
- 42
- 45
- 36
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
-
8
Vincent Sierro ↓ Niklas Schmidt 78'
- 23
-
3
Mark McKenzie ↓ Gabriel Suazo 65'
- 2
- 7
- 4
- 9
- 50
- 12
-
15
Aron Donnum ↓ Djibril Sidibe 88'
Bench
- 5
-
19
Djibril Sidibe ↑ 88'
-
20
Niklas Schmidt ↑ 78'
- 22
- 30
- 21
-
17
Gabriel Suazo ↑ 65'
-
80
Shavy Warren Babicka ↑ 65'
- 33
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thijs Dallinga | 3 |
| Pierre Lees Melou | 2 |
| Terem Moffi | 2 |
| Yann Gboho | 1 |
| Bassem Srarfi | 1 |
| Shavy Warren Babicka | 1 |
| Firmin Mubele | 1 |
| Jonathan Clauss | 1 |
Head to Head
OGC Nice Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3
OGC Nice xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
OGC Nice or Toulouse FC 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
OGC Nice or Draw
68%
Draw or Toulouse FC
60%
OGC Nice or Toulouse FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — OGC Nice
| Handicap | OGC Nice covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

