Thursday , 2 July 2026

Tokyo Verdy vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
6 5
4 – 3 pen
Full Time
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Tokyo Verdy vs FC Machida ZelviaJ. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
11 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb FC Machida Zelvia H 6–5 W
15 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 2–1 W
08 Feb FC Mito Holly Hock H 3–1 W
06 Dec Gamba Osaka A 1–4 L
30 Nov Kashima Antlers H 0–1 L
08 Nov Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Tokyo Verdy A 5–6 L
14 Feb FC Mito Holly Hock H 2–2 D
06 Feb Yokohama F·Marinos A 3–2 W
06 Dec Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
30 Nov Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
09 Nov FC Tōkyō H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Tokyo Verdy FC Machida Zelvia
#15 Position #13
28 Points 37
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
29 Scored 42
32 Conceded 33
-3 GD +9
1.56 PPG 2.06
56% Win % 72%

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
44% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
/
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/
16-30
1/
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Tokyo Verdy Lineups

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.08 Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.24 FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Tokyo Verdy or FC Machida Zelvia 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tokyo Verdy41% Draw22% FC Machida Zelvia37%
Actual: Tokyo Verdy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

Tokyo Verdy or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
59%
Tokyo Verdy or FC Machida Zelvia
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Tokyo Verdy30% Draw36% FC Machida Zelvia34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–5 not predicted
6 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy

Handicap Tokyo Verdy covers Push FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 11% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 16% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 17% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
11%
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.