Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Machida Zelvia vs FC Mito Holly Hock, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
FC Machida Zelvia
2 – 2
Full Time
FC Mito Holly Hock
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Machida Zelvia vs FC Mito Holly Hock — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Koichiro Fukushima
12 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 4.9 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Machida Zelvia 2 games · Avg 6.5 goals FC Mito Holly Hock
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-14 FC Machida Zelvia 2–2 FC Mito Holly Hock

Recent Form

FC Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb FC Mito Holly Hock H 2–2 D
06 Feb Yokohama F·Marinos A 3–2 W
06 Dec Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
30 Nov Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
09 Nov FC Tōkyō H 0–1 L
25 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
FC Mito Holly Hock
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb FC Machida Zelvia A 2–2 D
08 Feb Tokyo Verdy A 1–3 L

Season Stats

FC Machida Zelvia FC Mito Holly Hock
#13 Position #19
37 Points 18
18 Played 18
13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 12
42 Scored 35
33 Conceded 50
+9 GD -15
2.06 PPG 1.00
72% Win % 33%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
17% Clean Sheets
FC Mito Holly Hock this season

FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). FC Mito Holly Hock are 19th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Mito Holly Hock
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/5
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

FC Mito Holly Hock Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.79 FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 FC Mito Holly Hock xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Machida Zelvia56% Draw21% FC Mito Holly Hock23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
77%
Draw or FC Mito Holly Hock
44%
FC Machida Zelvia or FC Mito Holly Hock
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Machida Zelvia46% Draw34% FC Mito Holly Hock20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.8%
1 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
5.6%
4 – 1
4.7%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%
3 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia

Handicap FC Machida Zelvia covers Push FC Mito Holly Hock covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 17% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 19% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 11% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
FC Mito Holly Hock keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.