FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Yokohama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +9 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Machida GION Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Shungo Sugiura has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Haruto Suzuki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' Kasper Junker needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 42' FC Machida Zelvia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mitchell Duke on 42.
- 42' Yuki Nogami is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Hotaka Nakamura.
- 46' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Ryuji Izumi by Masahito Ono on 46 minute.
- 50' What a strike from Hotaka Nakamura! The score is 2-0.
- 51' That looks like a foul for a card for Mitchell Duke.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 61' Goal! Sho Inagaki scores his 45 goal in 335 matches.
- 62' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Mitchell Duke is replaced by Keiya Sento on 62 minute.
- 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 71' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kensuke Nagai is replaced by Yudai Kimura.
- 72' GOAL! Gen Shoji scores on 72. Assisted by Keiya Sento
- 77' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
- 79' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kasper Junker is replaced by Shungo Sugiura.
- 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kensuke Nagai made 437 appearances and scored 47 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Kotaro Hayashi is replaced by Daihachi Okamura.
- 86' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Neta Lavi is hanging Hokuto Shimoda on the field on 86 minute.
- 88' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Yuki Nogami is replaced by Haruto Suzuki.
- 90' FC Machida Zelvia receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takuma Nishimura is hanging Yuki Soma on the field on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↓ Neta Lavi 86'
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Takuma Nishimura 90'
- 5
- 88
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 62'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Keiya Sento 62'
- 26
- 6
Bench
-
20
Takuma Nishimura ↑ 90'
- 11
-
31
Neta Lavi ↑ 86'
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 62'
- 16
-
50
Daihachi Okamura ↑ 85'
- 49
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 62'
- 44
Coach
Go Kuroda
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yudai Kimura 71'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Haruto Suzuki 88'
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Masahito Ono 46'
- 70
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Shungo Sugiura 79'
- 3
- 33
Bench
- 8
- 6
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 71'
- 55
-
32
Haruto Suzuki ↑ 88'
- 20
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 46'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 79'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-11-30
FC Machida Zelvia
3–1
Nagoya Grampus
W
2025-11-09
FC Machida Zelvia
0–1
FC Tōkyō
L
2025-10-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-10-18
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Avispa Fukuoka
D
2025-10-04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.37
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
80%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
40%
FC Machida Zelvia or Nagoya Grampus
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
3.6%
4 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 20% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.