FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Yokohama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +9 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Machida GION Stadium. FC Machida Zelvia are looking to make home advantage count against Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' Takuma Nishimura has been relatively quiet despite scoring 64 goals in his last 405 appearances.
- 10' Yuta Nakayama is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Machida Zelvia tonight.
- 15' Mitchell Duke, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' The 25-year-old Kosei Tani has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' Hokuto Shimoda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
- 30' FC Machida Zelvia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 450 games and scored 410 goals.
- 40' FC Machida Zelvia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- 42' Mitchell Duke is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 42' Yuki Nogami has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 42.
- 45' Hotaka Nakamura catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 46' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masahito Ono is hanging Ryuji Izumi on the field on 46 minute.
- 50' Hotaka Nakamura makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and FC Machida Zelvia are in front.
- 51' A moment of madness from Mitchell Duke on 51 minutes earns him a card. FC Machida Zelvia will be frustrated.
- 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 61' The Japan Sho Inagaki breaks the deadlock on 61 minutes. 2-1!
- 62' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Mitchell Duke has done his job and it is now time for Keiya Sento to step up.
- 67' FC Machida Zelvia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 71' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kensuke Nagai is replaced by Yudai Kimura.
- 72' What composure from Gen Shoji! The Japan international strokes it home. 3-1.
- 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 79' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shungo Sugiura is hanging Kasper Junker on the field on 79 minute.
- 84' FC Machida Zelvia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 85' The FC Machida Zelvia bench stirs into life. Kotaro Hayashi is withdrawn and Daihachi Okamura gets his opportunity.
- 86' A change in the FC Machida Zelvia ranks — Hokuto Shimoda exits the field as Neta Lavi enters on 86.
- 88' The crowd applauds Yuki Nogami as he leaves the pitch. Haruto Suzuki steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Ibrahim Dresevic.
- 90' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Yuki Soma is replaced by Takuma Nishimura.
- 3-1 the final result. Nagoya Grampus will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↓ Neta Lavi 86'
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Takuma Nishimura 90'
- 5
- 88
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 62'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Keiya Sento 62'
- 26
- 6
Bench
-
20
Takuma Nishimura ↑ 90'
- 11
-
31
Neta Lavi ↑ 86'
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 62'
- 16
-
50
Daihachi Okamura ↑ 85'
- 49
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 62'
- 44
Coach
Go Kuroda
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yudai Kimura 71'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Haruto Suzuki 88'
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Masahito Ono 46'
- 70
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Shungo Sugiura 79'
- 3
- 33
Bench
- 8
- 6
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 71'
- 55
-
32
Haruto Suzuki ↑ 88'
- 20
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 46'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 79'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 1 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Yusuke Matsuo | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-11-30
FC Machida Zelvia
3–1
Nagoya Grampus
W
2025-11-09
FC Machida Zelvia
0–1
FC Tōkyō
L
2025-10-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-10-18
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Avispa Fukuoka
D
2025-10-04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.37
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
80%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
40%
FC Machida Zelvia or Nagoya Grampus
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
3.6%
4 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 20% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.