FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Tokyo | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Yokohama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +9 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Machida GION Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' FC Machida Zelvia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Haruto Suzuki, as he is very good at scoring at Machida GION Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Machida Zelvia in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
- 35' Shungo Sugiura is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 42' What a strike from Mitchell Duke! The score is 1-0.
- 42' Controversy at the stadium! Yuki Nogami argues furiously but the card stands.
- 45' Hotaka Nakamura picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Ryuji Izumi departs to be replaced by Masahito Ono.
- 50' A stunning finish from Hotaka Nakamura — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 51' It’s gonna be a card for Mitchell Duke.
- 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' Sho Inagaki adds to his 1 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 62' A change in the FC Machida Zelvia ranks — Mitchell Duke exits the field as Keiya Sento enters on 62.
- 67' FC Machida Zelvia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 71' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Kensuke Nagai exits the field as Yudai Kimura enters on 71.
- 72' What a moment for Gen Shoji! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
- 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuki Soma made 439 appearances and scored 28 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 79' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kasper Junker is replaced by Shungo Sugiura.
- 84' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 85' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 85 minute. Kotaro Hayashi leaves to be changed by Daihachi Okamura.
- 86' The whistle greets Hokuto Shimoda as he departs to be replaced by Neta Lavi.
- 88' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Yuki Nogami trudges off to be replaced by Haruto Suzuki on 88 minutes.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ibrahim Dresevic on 90 minutes.
- 90' Fresh legs for FC Machida Zelvia! Takuma Nishimura comes on to replace Yuki Soma.
- Nagoya Grampus will have plenty to reflect on. FC Machida Zelvia were simply the better side today.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↓ Neta Lavi 86'
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Takuma Nishimura 90'
- 5
- 88
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 62'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↓ Keiya Sento 62'
- 26
- 6
Bench
-
20
Takuma Nishimura ↑ 90'
- 11
-
31
Neta Lavi ↑ 86'
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 62'
- 16
-
50
Daihachi Okamura ↑ 85'
- 49
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 62'
- 44
Coach
Go Kuroda
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yudai Kimura 71'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Haruto Suzuki 88'
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Masahito Ono 46'
- 70
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Shungo Sugiura 79'
- 3
- 33
Bench
- 8
- 6
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 71'
- 55
-
32
Haruto Suzuki ↑ 88'
- 20
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 46'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 79'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-11-30
FC Machida Zelvia
3–1
Nagoya Grampus
W
2025-11-09
FC Machida Zelvia
0–1
FC Tokyo
L
2025-10-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-10-18
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Avispa Fukuoka
D
2025-10-04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.37
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
80%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
40%
FC Machida Zelvia or Nagoya Grampus
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
3.6%
4 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 20% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.