Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 1–1 D
07 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–2 W
28 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–1 L
21 Feb 1. FC Koln A 2–2 D
14 Feb SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
08 Feb FC Bayern München A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
07 Mar Hamburger SV H 1–2 L
01 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
21 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–3 L
15 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
07 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim VfL Wolfsburg
#5 Position #16
61 Points 29
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
65 Scored 45
52 Conceded 69
+13 GD -24
1.79 PPG 0.85
53% Win % 21%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.16 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim55% Draw23% VfL Wolfsburg22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
78%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
45%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or VfL Wolfsburg
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim42% Draw40% VfL Wolfsburg18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 17% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 21% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
30%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.