Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 12:30 UTC Stadium of Light 41,329 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luke O'Nien 16' 1–0
1–1 43' Tom Dele-Bashiru pen
1–2 46' Imran Louza
Dennis Cirkin 89' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Watford FC — Championship at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Neil Davies
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Watford FC H 2–2 D
03 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 3–2 W
25 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
21 Jan Derby County FC A 1–0 W
17 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D
01 Feb Norwich City FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Preston North End FC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Derby County FC A 2–0 W
14 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Sunderland AFC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Ince made 388 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Trai Hume, as he is very good at scoring at Stadium of Light with 7 goals in the last 7 games.
  • 16' What a moment for Luke O'Nien! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 21' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sunderland AFC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 26' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Giorgi Chakvetadze suffering a number of foals already.
  • 31' Mamadou Doumbia has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 31.
  • 32' It’s gonna be a card for Dennis Cirkin.
  • 35' Wilson Isidor catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 35.
  • 40' Dennis Cirkin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 43' A goal from the Nigeria international Tom Dele-Bashiru! He fires home on 43 to make it 1-1!
  • 46' The deadlock is broken! Imran Louza gets on the scoresheet on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Sunderland AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 59' Milan Aleksic is replacing Salis Abdul Samed for the Sunderland AFC side.
  • 61' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Yasser Larouci departs to be replaced by Jeremy Ngakia.
  • 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Enzo Le Fee on 65.
  • 70' Matthew Pollock, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Chris Rigg as he leaves the pitch. Eliezer Mayenda steps in for Sunderland AFC.
  • 76' With 0 assists to his name this season, Egil Selvik is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sunderland AFC.
  • 80' That is a card for Sunderland AFC. Chris Mepham will be fuming at that decision.
  • 81' Another change for Watford FC made on 81 minute. Mamadou Doumbia leaves to be changed by Tom Ince.
  • 84' Another change for Sunderland AFC made on 84 minute. Chris Mepham leaves to be changed by Daniel Ballard.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Francisco Sierralta comes on to replace Moussa Sissoko.
  • 89' GOAL! Dennis Cirkin fires home to make it 2-2!
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Ian Poveda. He receives a card.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Watford FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC40% Draw27% Watford FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
68%
Draw or Watford FC
60%
Sunderland AFC or Watford FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC28% Draw46% Watford FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.