Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Riverside Stadium 24,326 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 40' Moussa Sissoko

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Herczeg
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Watford FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
03 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–3 L
25 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W
18 Jan Portsmouth FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Leeds United FC H 0–4 L
08 Feb Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D
01 Feb Norwich City FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Preston North End FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Watford FC
#5 Position #16
80 Points 57
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 14 / 15 / 17
72 Scored 53
47 Conceded 65
+25 GD -12
1.74 PPG 1.24
48% Win % 30%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Middlesbrough FC host Watford FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yasser Larouci, as he is very good at scoring at Riverside Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' Middlesbrough FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 383 games and scored 467 goals.
  • 40' What composure from Moussa Sissoko! The France international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Tom Ince is replacing Moussa Sissoko for the Watford FC side.
  • 47' That is a card for Middlesbrough FC. Luke Ayling will be fuming at that decision.
  • 52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 58' Another substitution for Middlesbrough FC to replace Kelechi Iheanacho by Finn Azaz on 58 minute.
  • 59' The Middlesbrough FC bench stirs into life. Luke Ayling is withdrawn and Anfernee Dijksteel gets his opportunity.
  • 64' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 65' That looks like a foul for a card for Giorgi Chakvetadze.
  • 65' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Rocco Vata comes on to replace Mamadou Doumbia.
  • 67' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Morgan Whittaker trudges off to be replaced by Samuel Iling-Junior on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
  • 77' Aidan Morris needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 79' Middlesbrough FC ring the changes. Neto Borges has done his job and it is now time for Marcus Forss to step up.
  • 80' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Ryan Andrews exits the field as Jeremy Ngakia enters on 80.
  • 81' Egil Selvik was booked on 81.
  • 83' The referee calls foul for Marcus Forss. He receives a card.
  • 88' Middlesbrough FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 90' Matthew Pollock is ready to make an impact after coming on for Giorgi Chakvetadze at the 90 minute mark.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.7 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC47% Draw27% Watford FC26%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Watford FC
53%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC36% Draw45% Watford FC19%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.