Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Adam Herczeg
- Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | Watford FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Feb | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Jan | Preston North End FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | Norwich City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | Coventry City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | Preston North End FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #16 |
| 80 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 72 | Scored | 53 |
| 47 | Conceded | 65 |
| +25 | GD | -12 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 48% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Middlesbrough FC host Watford FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yasser Larouci, as he is very good at scoring at Riverside Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' Middlesbrough FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 383 games and scored 467 goals.
- 40' What composure from Moussa Sissoko! The France international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Tom Ince is replacing Moussa Sissoko for the Watford FC side.
- 47' That is a card for Middlesbrough FC. Luke Ayling will be fuming at that decision.
- 52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 58' Another substitution for Middlesbrough FC to replace Kelechi Iheanacho by Finn Azaz on 58 minute.
- 59' The Middlesbrough FC bench stirs into life. Luke Ayling is withdrawn and Anfernee Dijksteel gets his opportunity.
- 64' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 65' That looks like a foul for a card for Giorgi Chakvetadze.
- 65' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Rocco Vata comes on to replace Mamadou Doumbia.
- 67' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Morgan Whittaker trudges off to be replaced by Samuel Iling-Junior on 67 minutes.
- 72' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
- 77' Aidan Morris needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 79' Middlesbrough FC ring the changes. Neto Borges has done his job and it is now time for Marcus Forss to step up.
- 80' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Ryan Andrews exits the field as Jeremy Ngakia enters on 80.
- 81' Egil Selvik was booked on 81.
- 83' The referee calls foul for Marcus Forss. He receives a card.
- 88' Middlesbrough FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 90' Matthew Pollock is ready to make an impact after coming on for Giorgi Chakvetadze at the 90 minute mark.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
9
Kelechi Iheanacho ↓ Finn Azaz 58'
- 32
- 12
- 25
- 4
-
30
Neto Borges ↓ Marcus Forss 79'
- 11
- 7
- 18
- 3
- 22
Bench
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 79'
- 28
-
15
Anfernee Dijksteel ↑ 59'
-
10
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 46'
- 23
-
20
Finn Azaz ↑ 58'
-
29
Samuel Iling-Junior ↑ 67'
- 49
- 46
Coach
Michael Carrick
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↓ Tom Ince 46'
- 39
- 8
- 10
- 24
- 37
- 33
- 4
- 25
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Jeremy Ngakia 80'
-
20
Mamadou Doumbia ↓ Rocco Vata 65'
Bench
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 46'
- 3
-
6
Matthew Pollock ↑ 90'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↑ 80'
- 22
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 65'
- 49
- 53
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2025-02-15
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Watford FC
L
2025-02-12
Sheffield United FC
3–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-02-03
Middlesbrough FC
2–3
Sunderland AFC
L
2025-01-25
Preston North End FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-01-21
Middlesbrough FC
2–0
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
2025-01-18
Portsmouth FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.7
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Watford FC
53%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

