Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 15 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Dean Whitestone
- Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
8 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Coventry City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Norwich City FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Jan | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 29 | Points | 26 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 9 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 5 |
| 24 | Scored | 22 |
| 18 | Conceded | 18 |
| +6 | GD | +4 |
| 1.93 | PPG | 1.73 |
| 60% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts). Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Stoke City FC and Swansea City AFC get this one started.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Swansea City AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Goncalo Franco is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Swansea City AFC.
- 15' Swansea City AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Swansea City AFC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Adam Idah scoring 1 goals.
- 25' Stoke City FC currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' Swansea City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 41' Controversy at the stadium! Ben Pearson argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' Lawrence Vigouroux is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Swansea City AFC so far.
- 51' Swansea City AFC have won 493 goals from 397 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' Lewis O'Brien needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 61' The deadlock is broken! Josh Tymon gets on the scoresheet on 61 minutes.
- 62' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 62 minute. Ben Pearson leaves to be changed by Lewis Baker.
- 63' Swansea City AFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
- 64' Wouter Burger adds to his 1 season tally! Stoke City FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 68' Swansea City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Florian Bianchini is hanging Liam Cullen on the field on 68 minute.
- 73' The deadlock is broken! Joon-ho Bae gets on the scoresheet on 73 minutes.
- 76' Jay Fulton gets the nod from Swansea City AFC. He replaces Oliver Cooper and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Tatsuki Seko has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wouter Burger on 77 minute.
- 78' Lewis Baker catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
- 83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Swansea City AFC winning 100% of all matches.
- 85' The referee calls foul for Andrew Moran. He receives a card.
- 86' Nathan Lowe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ali Al-Hamadi at the 86 minute mark.
- 87' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Jordan Thompson by Josh Wilson-Esbrand on 87 minute.
- 89' Josh Key has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ji-sung Eom on 89 minute.
- The points are shared — Stoke City FC 3-1 Swansea City AFC. Honours even.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
4
Ben Pearson ↓ Lewis Baker 62'
- 15
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Tatsuki Seko 77'
- 5
- 1
- 22
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Nathan Lowe 86'
- 26
- 24
- 10
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↓ Million Manhoef 62'
Bench
- 23
-
8
Lewis Baker ↑ 62'
- 13
- 7
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↑ 77'
-
42
Million Manhoef ↑ 62'
-
33
Josh Wilson-Esbrand ↑ 87'
- 37
-
35
Nathan Lowe ↑ 86'
Coach
Mark Robins
Swansea City AFC Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Harry Darling 76'
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Florian Bianchini 68'
- 8
- 22
- 28
- 5
- 14
- 17
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↓ Jay Fulton 76'
- 35
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↓ Josh Key 89'
Bench
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 76'
- 33
- 23
- 11
-
2
Josh Key ↑ 89'
-
6
Harry Darling ↑ 76'
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 68'
- 25
- 9
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joshua Laurent | 3 |
| Lewis Baker | 3 |
| Sam Clucas | 3 |
| Nick Powell | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| James McClean | 2 |
| Andre Ayew | 2 |
| Adam Idah | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-02-15
Stoke City FC
3–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-02-12
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
2025-02-09
Bristol City FC
0–1
Swansea City AFC
W
2025-02-01
Swansea City AFC
0–2
Coventry City FC
L
2025-01-25
Norwich City FC
5–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-01-21
Swansea City AFC
1–2
Sheffield United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.74
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
49%
Stoke City FC or Swansea City AFC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

