Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Dean Whitestone
- Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Coventry City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Norwich City FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Jan | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #11 |
| 55 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 10 / 21 | W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 18 |
| 51 | Scored | 57 |
| 56 | Conceded | 59 |
| -5 | GD | -2 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 33% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Swansea City AFC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
- 10' Andrew Moran has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stoke City FC and Swansea City AFC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' Swansea City AFC have won 472 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 41' It’s gonna be a card for Ben Pearson.
- 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wouter Burger suffering a number of foals already.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' The 29-year-old Jordan Thompson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 61' A goal from the England international Josh Tymon! He fires home on 61 to make it 0-1!
- 62' Lewis Baker gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Ben Pearson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 63' Swansea City AFC player sees a card in front of him.
- 64' What composure from Wouter Burger! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Florian Bianchini. He replaces Liam Cullen on 68 minute.
- 73' Joon-ho Bae is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 76' The crowd applauds Oliver Cooper as he leaves the pitch. Jay Fulton steps in for Swansea City AFC.
- 77' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Tatsuki Seko on, Wouter Burger off on 77 minutes.
- 78' Controversy at the stadium! Lewis Baker argues furiously but the card stands.
- 83' Ashley Phillips, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 85' Poor challenge from Andrew Moran. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 86' The crowd applauds Ali Al-Hamadi as he leaves the pitch. Nathan Lowe steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 87' The crowd applauds Jordan Thompson as he leaves the pitch. Josh Wilson-Esbrand steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 89' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Ji-sung Eom by Josh Key on 89 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Swansea City AFC.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
4
Ben Pearson ↓ Lewis Baker 62'
- 15
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Tatsuki Seko 77'
- 5
- 1
- 22
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Nathan Lowe 86'
- 26
- 24
- 10
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↓ Million Manhoef 62'
Bench
- 23
-
8
Lewis Baker ↑ 62'
- 13
- 7
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↑ 77'
-
42
Million Manhoef ↑ 62'
-
33
Josh Wilson-Esbrand ↑ 87'
- 37
-
35
Nathan Lowe ↑ 86'
Coach
Mark Robins
Swansea City AFC Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Harry Darling 76'
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Florian Bianchini 68'
- 8
- 22
- 28
- 5
- 14
- 17
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↓ Jay Fulton 76'
- 35
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↓ Josh Key 89'
Bench
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 76'
- 33
- 23
- 11
-
2
Josh Key ↑ 89'
-
6
Harry Darling ↑ 76'
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 68'
- 25
- 9
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Baker | 3 |
| Sam Clucas | 3 |
| Joshua Laurent | 3 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| James McClean | 2 |
| Andre Ayew | 2 |
| Nick Powell | 2 |
| Liam Cullen | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-02-15
Stoke City FC
3–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-02-12
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
2025-02-09
Bristol City FC
0–1
Swansea City AFC
W
2025-02-01
Swansea City AFC
0–2
Coventry City FC
L
2025-01-25
Norwich City FC
5–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-01-21
Swansea City AFC
1–2
Sheffield United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
51%
Stoke City FC or Swansea City AFC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

