Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Dean Whitestone
- Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 8.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Coventry City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Norwich City FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Jan | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #1 |
| 13 | Points | 17 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 1 |
| 13 | Scored | 13 |
| 12 | Conceded | 6 |
| +1 | GD | +7 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 2.13 |
| 50% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Stoke City FC host Swansea City AFC — let the battle begin!
- 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Stoke City FC and Swansea City AFC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' The 32-year-old Jay Fulton has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luke Williams will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Viktor Johansson suffering a number of foals already.
- 41' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ben Pearson.
- 46' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 51' Stoke City FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Swansea City AFC's 5-4-1 shape.
- 56' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Swansea City AFC backline.
- 61' A goal from the England international Josh Tymon! He fires home on 61 to make it 0-1!
- 62' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Lewis Baker on, Ben Pearson off on 62 minutes.
- 63' A moment of madness from Benjamin Cabango on 63 minutes earns him a card. Swansea City AFC will be frustrated.
- 64' Wouter Burger is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 68' Swansea City AFC make a change. Liam Cullen trudges off to be replaced by Florian Bianchini on 68 minutes.
- 73' Goal! Joon-ho Bae scores his 5 goal in 384 matches.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Jay Fulton. He replaces Oliver Cooper on 76 minute.
- 77' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tatsuki Seko is hanging Wouter Burger on the field on 77 minute.
- 78' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 83' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 83 minutes.
- 85' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 86' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 86 minute. Ali Al-Hamadi leaves to be changed by Nathan Lowe.
- 87' Stoke City FC make a change. Jordan Thompson trudges off to be replaced by Josh Wilson-Esbrand on 87 minutes.
- 89' Josh Key gets the nod from Swansea City AFC. He replaces Ji-sung Eom and will look to change the dynamic.
- Stoke City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
4
Ben Pearson ↓ Lewis Baker 62'
- 15
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Tatsuki Seko 77'
- 5
- 1
- 22
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Nathan Lowe 86'
- 26
- 24
- 10
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↓ Million Manhoef 62'
Bench
- 23
-
8
Lewis Baker ↑ 62'
- 13
- 7
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↑ 77'
-
42
Million Manhoef ↑ 62'
-
33
Josh Wilson-Esbrand ↑ 87'
- 37
-
35
Nathan Lowe ↑ 86'
Coach
Mark Robins
Swansea City AFC Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Harry Darling 76'
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Florian Bianchini 68'
- 8
- 22
- 28
- 5
- 14
- 17
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↓ Jay Fulton 76'
- 35
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↓ Josh Key 89'
Bench
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 76'
- 33
- 23
- 11
-
2
Josh Key ↑ 89'
-
6
Harry Darling ↑ 76'
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 68'
- 25
- 9
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Baker | 3 |
| Sam Clucas | 3 |
| Joshua Laurent | 3 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| James McClean | 2 |
| Andre Ayew | 2 |
| Nick Powell | 2 |
| Matt Grimes | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-02-15
Stoke City FC
3–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-02-12
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
2025-02-09
Bristol City FC
0–1
Swansea City AFC
W
2025-02-01
Swansea City AFC
0–2
Coventry City FC
L
2025-01-25
Norwich City FC
5–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-01-21
Swansea City AFC
1–2
Sheffield United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.48
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Swansea City AFC 75% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
57%
Stoke City FC or Swansea City AFC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

