Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 21,256 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 61' Josh Tymon
Wouter Burger 64' 1–1
Joon-ho Bae 73' 2–1
Lewis Baker 90+3' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Swansea City AFCChampionship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Swansea City AFC H 3–1 W
12 Feb Bristol City FC A 0–2 L
08 Feb Cardiff City FC H 2–4 L
01 Feb Hull City AFC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Portsmouth FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
12 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–1 L
09 Feb Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
01 Feb Coventry City FC H 0–2 L
25 Jan Norwich City FC A 1–5 L
21 Jan Sheffield United FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Swansea City AFC
#17 Position #11
55 Points 64
46 Played 46
15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 18 / 10 / 18
51 Scored 57
56 Conceded 59
-5 GD -2
1.20 PPG 1.39
33% Win % 39%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Swansea City AFC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
  • 10' Andrew Moran has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stoke City FC and Swansea City AFC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' Swansea City AFC have won 472 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 41' It’s gonna be a card for Ben Pearson.
  • 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wouter Burger suffering a number of foals already.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' The 29-year-old Jordan Thompson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 61' A goal from the England international Josh Tymon! He fires home on 61 to make it 0-1!
  • 62' Lewis Baker gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Ben Pearson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' Swansea City AFC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 64' What composure from Wouter Burger! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Florian Bianchini. He replaces Liam Cullen on 68 minute.
  • 73' Joon-ho Bae is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 76' The crowd applauds Oliver Cooper as he leaves the pitch. Jay Fulton steps in for Swansea City AFC.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Stoke City FCTatsuki Seko on, Wouter Burger off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' Controversy at the stadium! Lewis Baker argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 83' Ashley Phillips, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 85' Poor challenge from Andrew Moran. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Ali Al-Hamadi as he leaves the pitch. Nathan Lowe steps in for Stoke City FC.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Jordan Thompson as he leaves the pitch. Josh Wilson-Esbrand steps in for Stoke City FC.
  • 89' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Ji-sung Eom by Josh Key on 89 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Swansea City AFC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC49% Draw25% Swansea City AFC26%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
51%
Stoke City FC or Swansea City AFC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC33% Draw45% Swansea City AFC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.