Friday , 11 September 2026

Stoke City FC vs Cardiff City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Stoke City FC
3 – 4
Full Time
Cardiff City FC
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 12,641 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Rubin Colwill
0–2 19' Yousef Salech
Lewis Koumas 42' 1–2
Lewis Koumas 46' 2–2
Lewis Baker pen 57' 3–2
3–3 68' Rubin Colwill
Y 88' Rubin Colwill
Ben Gibson 90' Y
Y 90' Callum O'Dowda
Y 98' Will Fish

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Cardiff City FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
7
5
Stoke City FC 14 games · Avg 2.6 goals Cardiff City FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC 2024-12-14 Stoke City FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC 2024-02-24 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-11-04 Stoke City FC 0–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-04-22 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Cardiff City FC H 2–4 L
01 Feb Hull City AFC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Portsmouth FC A 1–3 L
18 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
11 Jan Sunderland AFC A 2–1 W
Cardiff City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Stoke City FC A 4–2 W
01 Feb Leeds United FC A 0–7 L
25 Jan Derby County FC H 2–1 W
21 Jan Millwall FC A 2–2 D
18 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
14 Jan Watford FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Cardiff City FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Cardiff City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 8' Rubin Colwill doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 13' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their trying to find a way past Cardiff City FC's compact .
  • 18' Both keepers have barely been tested. Stoke City FC and Cardiff City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 19' Yousef Salech is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 24' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 29' Cardiff City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 34' Cardiff City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 42' What composure from Lewis Koumas! The Wales international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 46' Against the run of play, Lewis Koumas has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' Cardiff City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jesper Daland is hanging Luey Giles on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 56' Michael Rose has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 1 appearances.
  • 57' Magnificent from Lewis Baker! That is 32 goals in 358 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 57' Another change for Cardiff City FC made on 57 minute. Jesper Daland leaves to be changed by Calum Chambers.
  • 62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 63' The whistle greets Sivert Mannsverk as he departs to be replaced by Joe Ralls.
  • 68' The Wales Rubin Colwill breaks the deadlock on 68 minutes. 3-3!
  • 73' Stoke City FC make a change. Andre Vidigal trudges off to be replaced by Favour Fawunmi on 73 minutes.
  • 78' Stoke City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cardiff City FC's shape.
  • 81' Anwar El Ghazi makes way for Will Alves at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cardiff City FC.
  • 86' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cardiff City FC backline.
  • 87' Bosun Lawal is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joon-ho Bae at the 87 minute mark.
  • 88' Rubin Colwill was booked on 88.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Josh Wilson-Esbrand is replaced by Enda Stevens on 88 minute.
  • 90' Ben Gibson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Stoke City FC and Cardiff City FC share the spoils 2-4.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rubin Colwill 3
Sean Morrison 2
Lewis Koumas 2
Steven Fletcher 2
Lewis Baker 2
Liam Delap 1
Anwar El Ghazi 1
Robert Glatzel 1

Head to Head

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC 2024-12-14 Stoke City FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC 2024-02-24 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-11-04 Stoke City FC 0–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-04-22 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Stoke City FC Form

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC L 2025-02-01 Hull City AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W 2025-01-25 Stoke City FC 0–0 Oxford United FC D 2025-01-22 Portsmouth FC 3–1 Stoke City FC L 2025-01-18 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC W 2025-02-01 Leeds United FC 7–0 Cardiff City FC L 2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2025-01-21 Millwall FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC D 2025-01-18 Cardiff City FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC W 2025-01-14 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Watford FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Cardiff City FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC37% Draw26% Cardiff City FC37%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
63%
Stoke City FC or Cardiff City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC30% Draw42% Cardiff City FC28%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.