Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Cardiff City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Stoke City FC
3 – 4
Full Time
Cardiff City FC
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 12,641 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Rubin Colwill
0–2 19' Yousef Salech
Lewis Koumas 42' 1–2
Lewis Koumas 46' 2–2
Lewis Baker pen 57' 3–2
3–3 68' Rubin Colwill
Y 88' Rubin Colwill
Ben Gibson 90' Y
Y 90' Callum O'Dowda
Y 98' Will Fish

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Cardiff City FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
6
5
Stoke City FC 13 games · Avg 2.7 goals Cardiff City FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC 2024-12-14 Stoke City FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC 2024-02-24 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-11-04 Stoke City FC 0–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-04-22 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Cardiff City FC H 2–4 L
01 Feb Hull City AFC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Portsmouth FC A 1–3 L
18 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
11 Jan Sunderland AFC A 2–1 W
Cardiff City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Stoke City FC A 4–2 W
01 Feb Leeds United FC A 0–7 L
25 Jan Derby County FC H 2–1 W
21 Jan Millwall FC A 2–2 D
18 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
14 Jan Watford FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Stoke City FC and Cardiff City FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 8' Rubin Colwill puts Cardiff City FC on the lead.
  • 13' The travelling Cardiff City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 18' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Joe Ralls has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 19' What a strike from Yousef Salech! The score is 0-2.
  • 24' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
  • 29' Sivert Mannsverk has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lewis Baker, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 12 goals in the last 12 games.
  • 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 42' What a strike from Lewis Koumas! The score is 1-2.
  • 46' Lewis Koumas with the second goal in the match!
  • 46' It is a substitution in Cardiff City FC team. Luey Giles is replaced by Jesper Daland on 46 minute.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 57' What a strike from Lewis Baker! The score is 3-2.
  • 57' Calum Chambers has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jesper Daland on 57 minute.
  • 62' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 63' Joe Ralls has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sivert Mannsverk on 63 minute.
  • 68' GOAL! Rubin Colwill scores on 68.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Andre Vidigal is replaced by Favour Fawunmi.
  • 78' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 81' Will Alves has so much to prove this time. He replaces Anwar El Ghazi on 81 minute.
  • 86' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 87' Bosun Lawal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joon-ho Bae on 87 minute.
  • 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rubin Colwill on 88.
  • 88' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Josh Wilson-Esbrand by Enda Stevens on 88 minute.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Ben Gibson.
  • With this win, Cardiff City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rubin Colwill 3
Lewis Baker 2
Sean Morrison 2
Lewis Koumas 2
Steven Fletcher 2
Karlan Grant 1
Leandro Bacuna 1
Jordan Hugill 1

Head to Head

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC 2024-12-14 Stoke City FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC 2024-02-24 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-11-04 Stoke City FC 0–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-04-22 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Stoke City FC Form

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC L 2025-02-01 Hull City AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W 2025-01-25 Stoke City FC 0–0 Oxford United FC D 2025-01-22 Portsmouth FC 3–1 Stoke City FC L 2025-01-18 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2025-01-11 Sunderland AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC W 2025-02-01 Leeds United FC 7–0 Cardiff City FC L 2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2025-01-21 Millwall FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC D 2025-01-18 Cardiff City FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC W 2025-01-14 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Watford FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Cardiff City FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC37% Draw26% Cardiff City FC37%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
63%
Stoke City FC or Cardiff City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC30% Draw42% Cardiff City FC28%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.