Stoke City FC vs Cardiff City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Cardiff City FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Cardiff City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jan | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 01 Feb | Leeds United FC | A | 0–7 | L |
| 25 Jan | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | Watford FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Bet365 Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Joel Bagan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 8' Rubin Colwill doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 13' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Will Fish suffering a number of foals already.
- 19' Yousef Salech doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 29' Stoke City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cardiff City FC's shape.
- 34' Stoke City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 42' Lewis Koumas doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' Lewis Koumas doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' Jesper Daland is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luey Giles at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 57' GOAL! Lewis Baker fires home to make it 3-2!
- 57' The Cardiff City FC bench stirs into life. Jesper Daland is withdrawn and Calum Chambers gets his opportunity.
- 62' With 2 assists to his name this season, Tatsuki Seko is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
- 63' The Cardiff City FC bench stirs into life. Sivert Mannsverk is withdrawn and Joe Ralls gets his opportunity.
- 68' What a moment for Rubin Colwill! That strike on 68 puts his side firmly in control.
- 73' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Andre Vidigal is withdrawn and Favour Fawunmi gets his opportunity.
- 78' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 81' Will Alves is ready to make an impact after coming on for Anwar El Ghazi at the 81 minute mark.
- 86' The 20-year-old Luey Giles has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 87' Bosun Lawal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joon-ho Bae on 87 minute.
- 88' Poor challenge from Rubin Colwill. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Enda Stevens. He replaces Josh Wilson-Esbrand on 88 minute.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Ben Gibson. He receives a card.
- The final score is 2-4.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Ben Pearson 73'
- 13
- 6
-
7
Andre Vidigal ↓ Favour Fawunmi 73'
- 5
- 22
- 33
- 37
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↓ Bosun Lawal 87'
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↓ Tatsuki Seko 91'
Bench
-
4
Ben Pearson ↑ 73'
-
3
Enda Stevens ↑ 88'
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↑ 91'
- 26
-
18
Bosun Lawal ↑ 87'
- 34
- 41
- 55
-
56
Favour Fawunmi ↑ 73'
Cardiff City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 35
- 1
-
10
Aaron Ramsey ↓ Callum O'Dowda 63'
-
20
Anwar El Ghazi ↓ Will Alves 81'
- 16
- 23
- 27
- 22
-
15
Sivert Mannsverk ↓ Joe Ralls 63'
- 2
-
49
Luey Giles ↓ Jesper Daland 46'
Bench
-
11
Callum O'Dowda ↑ 63'
-
8
Joe Ralls ↑ 63'
- 12
- 47
- 31
-
5
Jesper Daland ↑ 46'
-
29
Will Alves ↑ 81'
- 45
- 41
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rubin Colwill | 3 |
| Lewis Baker | 2 |
| Sean Morrison | 2 |
| Lewis Koumas | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Karlan Grant | 1 |
| Leandro Bacuna | 1 |
| Jordan Hugill | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Cardiff City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Cardiff City FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Cardiff City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
63%
Stoke City FC or Cardiff City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cardiff City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Cardiff City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.