Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Stoke City FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Tue 25 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Bet365 Stadium 20,141 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 20' Marcus Forss

Joon-ho Bae 45' 1–1

1–2 52' Finn Azaz

1–3 73' Tommy Conway

Y 75' Neto Borges

Y 78' Tommy Conway

Joon-ho Bae 78' Y

Andrew Moran 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Andy Davies (England)
Assistant 1 Graham Kane
Assistant 2 Paul Hodskinson

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC 2024-09-28 Middlesbrough FC 2–0 Stoke City FC 2024-03-02 Stoke City FC 2–0 Middlesbrough FC 2023-10-28 Middlesbrough FC 0–2 Stoke City FC 2023-03-14 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–3	L
22 Feb	Norwich City FC	A	2–4	L
15 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	3–1	W
12 Feb	Bristol City FC	A	0–2	L
08 Feb	Cardiff City FC	H	2–4	L
01 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–1	W

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Stoke City FC	A	3–1	W
21 Feb	Bristol City FC	A	1–2	L
15 Feb	Watford FC	H	0–1	L
12 Feb	Sheffield United FC	A	1–3	L
03 Feb	Sunderland AFC	H	2–3	L
25 Jan	Preston North End FC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Middlesbrough FC
#7	Position	#3
13	Points	15
8	Played	8
4 / 1 / 3	W / D / L	4 / 3 / 1
13	Scored	16
12	Conceded	12
+1	GD	+4
1.63	PPG	1.88
50%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/2

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Middlesbrough FC

0-15

3/3

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

2/4

61-75

3/3

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC

Ethan Galbraith	4 G	1 A
Eric Bocat	2 G	2 A
Sam Gallagher	2 G	1 A
Justin Devenny	2 G

Middlesbrough FC

William Lankshear

6 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Bet365 Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stoke City FC and Middlesbrough FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
20' What a strike from Marcus Forss! The score is 0-1.
25' Tommy Conway has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
30' It looks like no one’s ball. Middlesbrough FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
35' The travelling Middlesbrough FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
40' Luke Ayling has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
45' Magnificent from Joon-ho Bae! That is 5 goals in 385 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
49' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 49 minute. George Edmundson leaves to be changed by Luke Ayling.
52' Finn Azaz does the damage! The net is bulging and Middlesbrough FC surge ahead!
57' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Middlesbrough FC backline.
61' Stoke City FC ring the changes. Nathan Lowe has done his job and it is now time for Sam Gallagher to step up.
62' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Million Manhoef departs to be replaced by Lewis Koumas.
67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
68' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 68 minute. Marcus Forss leaves to be changed by Delano Burgzorg.
70' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Junior Tchamadeu comes on to replace Ben Wilmot.
73' A stunning finish from Tommy Conway — that came from absolutely nowhere!
75' A moment of madness from Neto Borges on 75 minutes earns him a card. Middlesbrough FC will be frustrated.
76' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 76 minute. Michael Rose leaves to be changed by Eric Bocat.
78' Tommy Conway catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
83' Andrew Moran has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
87' The Middlesbrough FC manager makes a substitution. Finn Azaz departs to be replaced by Samuel Iling-Junior.
88' Ryan John Giles gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Tommy Conway and will look to change the dynamic.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Middlesbrough FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 61'
4
Ben Pearson ↑ 70'
15
Jordan Thompson
13
Jack Bonham
17
Eric Bocat ↑ 76'
22
Junior Tchamadeu ↑ 70'
37
Emre Tezgel
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 62'
56
Favour Fawunmi

Coach Mark Robins

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Carrick

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matty Crooks	2
Joon-ho Bae	2
Ashley Fletcher	2
Duncan Watmore	2
Lewis Baker	1
Lewis Baker	1
Britt Assombalonga	1
Nick Powell	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-22 Norwich City FC 4–2 Stoke City FC L 2025-02-15 Stoke City FC 3–1 Swansea City AFC W 2025-02-12 Bristol City FC 2–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC L 2025-02-01 Hull City AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W

Middlesbrough FC Form

2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-02-21 Bristol City FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-15 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Watford FC L 2025-02-12 Sheffield United FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-03 Middlesbrough FC 2–3 Sunderland AFC L 2025-01-25 Preston North End FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.81 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.91 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Stoke City FC38% Draw24% Middlesbrough FC38%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.72

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

63%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

62%

Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC29% Draw39% Middlesbrough FC32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.2%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 2

4.5%

2 – 3

4.4%

3 – 1

4.4%

3 – 2

4.2%

0 – 1

4.1%

2 – 0

1 – 0

3.9%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	11%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	17%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	18%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	12%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.