Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Championship · 2024-25

Stoke City FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Tue 25 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Bet365 Stadium 20,141 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 20' Marcus Forss

Joon-ho Bae 45' 1–1

1–2 52' Finn Azaz

1–3 73' Tommy Conway

Y 75' Neto Borges

Y 78' Tommy Conway

Joon-ho Bae 78' Y

Andrew Moran 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Andy Davies (England)
Assistant 1 Graham Kane
Assistant 2 Paul Hodskinson

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC 2024-09-28 Middlesbrough FC 2–0 Stoke City FC 2024-03-02 Stoke City FC 2–0 Middlesbrough FC 2023-10-28 Middlesbrough FC 0–2 Stoke City FC 2023-03-14 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–3	L
22 Feb	Norwich City FC	A	2–4	L
15 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	3–1	W
12 Feb	Bristol City FC	A	0–2	L
08 Feb	Cardiff City FC	H	2–4	L
01 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–1	W

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Stoke City FC	A	3–1	W
21 Feb	Bristol City FC	A	1–2	L
15 Feb	Watford FC	H	0–1	L
12 Feb	Sheffield United FC	A	1–3	L
03 Feb	Sunderland AFC	H	2–3	L
25 Jan	Preston North End FC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Middlesbrough FC
#17	Position	#5
55	Points	80
46	Played	46
15 / 10 / 21	W / D / L	22 / 14 / 10
51	Scored	72
56	Conceded	47
-5	GD	+25
1.20	PPG	1.74
33%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Stoke City FC have kicked off against Middlesbrough FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
15' Hayden Hackney is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Middlesbrough FC tonight.
20' Marcus Forss puts Middlesbrough FC on the lead.
25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Stoke City FC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
30' Ryan John Giles has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
40' Finn Azaz has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
45' Joon-ho Bae does the damage! The net is bulging and Stoke City FC surge ahead!
49' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Luke Ayling comes on to replace George Edmundson.
52' Finn Azaz doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
57' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
61' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Nathan Lowe departs to be replaced by Sam Gallagher.
62' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Million Manhoef by Lewis Koumas on 62 minute.
67' With 0 assists to his name this season, Samuel Iling-Junior is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
68' Middlesbrough FC ring the changes. Marcus Forss has done his job and it is now time for Delano Burgzorg to step up.
70' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Ben Wilmot departs to be replaced by Junior Tchamadeu.
73' What a strike from Tommy Conway! The score is 1-3.
75' That looks like a foul for a card for Neto Borges.
76' Eric Bocat is ready to make an impact after coming on for Michael Rose at the 76 minute mark.
78' That is a card for Middlesbrough FC. Tommy Conway will be fuming at that decision.
83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andrew Moran on 83.
87' Finn Azaz makes way for Samuel Iling-Junior at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Middlesbrough FC.
88' The whistle greets Tommy Conway as he departs to be replaced by Ryan John Giles.
Full Time. Middlesbrough FC beats Stoke City FC

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 61'
4
Ben Pearson ↑ 70'
15
Jordan Thompson
13
Jack Bonham
17
Eric Bocat ↑ 76'
22
Junior Tchamadeu ↑ 70'
37
Emre Tezgel
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 62'
56
Favour Fawunmi

Coach Mark Robins

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Carrick

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matty Crooks	2
Joon-ho Bae	2
Ashley Fletcher	2
Duncan Watmore	2
Paddy McNair	1
Michael Rose	1
Lewis Baker	1
Lewis Baker	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-22 Norwich City FC 4–2 Stoke City FC L 2025-02-15 Stoke City FC 3–1 Swansea City AFC W 2025-02-12 Bristol City FC 2–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC L 2025-02-01 Hull City AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W

Middlesbrough FC Form

2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-02-21 Bristol City FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-15 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Watford FC L 2025-02-12 Sheffield United FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-03 Middlesbrough FC 2–3 Sunderland AFC L 2025-01-25 Preston North End FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.34 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.62 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC34% Draw27% Middlesbrough FC39%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 2.96

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

61%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

66%

Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC24% Draw44% Middlesbrough FC32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.1%

1 – 2

8.8%

0 – 1

7.5%

2 – 1

7.2%

0 – 0

6.9%

0 – 2

6.7%

1 – 0

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

4.6%

0 – 3

3.6%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	17%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	20%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.