Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Stoke City FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Tue 25 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Bet365 Stadium 20,141 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 20' Marcus Forss

Joon-ho Bae 45' 1–1

1–2 52' Finn Azaz

1–3 73' Tommy Conway

Y 75' Neto Borges

Y 78' Tommy Conway

Joon-ho Bae 78' Y

Andrew Moran 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Andy Davies (England)
Assistant 1 Graham Kane
Assistant 2 Paul Hodskinson

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 17 games · Avg 2.2 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC 2024-09-28 Middlesbrough FC 2–0 Stoke City FC 2024-03-02 Stoke City FC 2–0 Middlesbrough FC 2023-10-28 Middlesbrough FC 0–2 Stoke City FC 2023-03-14 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–3	L
22 Feb	Norwich City FC	A	2–4	L
15 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	3–1	W
12 Feb	Bristol City FC	A	0–2	L
08 Feb	Cardiff City FC	H	2–4	L
01 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–1	W

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Stoke City FC	A	3–1	W
21 Feb	Bristol City FC	A	1–2	L
15 Feb	Watford FC	H	0–1	L
12 Feb	Sheffield United FC	A	1–3	L
03 Feb	Sunderland AFC	H	2–3	L
25 Jan	Preston North End FC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Middlesbrough FC
#3	Position	#2
29	Points	29
15	Played	15
9 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	8 / 5 / 2
24	Scored	30
18	Conceded	19
+6	GD	+11
1.93	PPG	1.93
60%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC

0-15

4/2

16-30

5/3

31-45

4/–

46-60

4/3

61-75

1/3

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Middlesbrough FC

0-15

5/3

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

5/4

61-75

6/4

76+

7/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC

Jack McGlynn	5 G	2 A
Ethan Galbraith	4 G	4 A
Eric Bocat	2 G	2 A
Sam Gallagher	2 G	1 A
Justin Devenny	2 G

Middlesbrough FC

William Lankshear	13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry	3 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' Stoke City FC have kicked off against Middlesbrough FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mark Robins might look to freshen things up shortly.
15' Stoke City FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Middlesbrough FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
20' Brilliant from the centre-forward! Marcus Forss makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 20.
25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
30' It’s high time Michael Carrick made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
35' Million Manhoef has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
40' Morgan Whittaker is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Middlesbrough FC so far.
45' Goal! Joon-ho Bae scores his 5 goal in 395 matches.
49' Middlesbrough FC make a change. George Edmundson trudges off to be replaced by Luke Ayling on 49 minutes.
52' Finn Azaz does the damage! The net is bulging and Middlesbrough FC surge ahead!
57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Enda Stevens made 381 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
61' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Nathan Lowe is withdrawn and Sam Gallagher gets his opportunity.
62' Lewis Koumas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Million Manhoef on 62 minute.
67' Nathan Lowe has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 395 appearances.
68' The crowd applauds Marcus Forss as he leaves the pitch. Delano Burgzorg steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
70' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Junior Tchamadeu is hanging Ben Wilmot on the field on 70 minute.
73' A stunning finish from Tommy Conway — that came from absolutely nowhere!
75' It’s a booking for Middlesbrough FC player. Neto Borges gets a card.
76' Stoke City FC make a change. Michael Rose trudges off to be replaced by Eric Bocat on 76 minutes.
78' The referee calls foul for Tommy Conway. He receives a card.
83' A moment of madness from Andrew Moran on 83 minutes earns him a card. Stoke City FC will be frustrated.
87' The crowd applauds Finn Azaz as he leaves the pitch. Samuel Iling-Junior steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
88' The Middlesbrough FC manager makes a substitution. Tommy Conway departs to be replaced by Ryan John Giles.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Middlesbrough FC players.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 61'
4
Ben Pearson ↑ 70'
15
Jordan Thompson
13
Jack Bonham
17
Eric Bocat ↑ 76'
22
Junior Tchamadeu ↑ 70'
37
Emre Tezgel
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 62'
56
Favour Fawunmi

Coach Mark Robins

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Carrick

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matty Crooks	2
Joon-ho Bae	2
Ashley Fletcher	2
Duncan Watmore	2
Sam Clucas	1
Jacob Brown	1
Finn Azaz	1
Marcus Tavernier	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-22 Norwich City FC 4–2 Stoke City FC L 2025-02-15 Stoke City FC 3–1 Swansea City AFC W 2025-02-12 Bristol City FC 2–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-02-08 Stoke City FC 2–4 Cardiff City FC L 2025-02-01 Hull City AFC 1–2 Stoke City FC W

Middlesbrough FC Form

2025-02-25 Stoke City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-02-21 Bristol City FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-15 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Watford FC L 2025-02-12 Sheffield United FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-02-03 Middlesbrough FC 2–3 Sunderland AFC L 2025-01-25 Preston North End FC 2–1 Middlesbrough FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.63 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.7 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Stoke City FC38% Draw26% Middlesbrough FC36%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

64%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

62%

Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC28% Draw42% Middlesbrough FC30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.8%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

7.8%

2 – 2

6.6%

0 – 1

5.4%

0 – 2

5.2%

1 – 0

5.1%

0 – 0

5.1%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 3

Actual

3 – 1

4.2%

2 – 3

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	18%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	18%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.