Bristol City FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bristol City FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.
- Bristol City FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2
5 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 8.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Feb | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | Coventry City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Bristol City FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #3 |
| 18 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 4 |
| 16 | Scored | 24 |
| 24 | Conceded | 18 |
| -8 | GD | +6 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 33% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
Bristol City FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Bristol City FC are 17th (18 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bristol City FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
1/7
61-75
1/2
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Bristol City FC
| Scott Twine | 5 G | |
| Dominic Ballard | 4 G | |
| Lorent Tolaj | 2 G | 1 A |
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Bristol City FC get us underway at Ashton Gate.
- 5' Josh Wilson-Esbrand has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 11' The deadlock is broken! Anis Mehmeti gets on the scoresheet on 11 minutes.
- 16' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 16 minutes.
- 21' It is a cagey affair so far. Bristol City FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Stoke City FC's compact 5-3-2.
- 24' A moment of madness from Michael Rose on 24 minutes earns him a card. Stoke City FC will be frustrated.
- 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mark Robins might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 34' It’s high time Liam Manning made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 395 games and scored 422 goals.
- 40' Haydon Roberts has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
- 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Tatsuki Seko departs to be replaced by Junior Tchamadeu.
- 51' Ireland international Andrew Moran has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 53' Ben Gibson is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
- 58' Over 58 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 61' Time for substitution for Bristol City FC. Sinclair Armstrong is replaced by Nahki Wells.
- 62' Bristol City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. George Earthy is hanging Scott Twine on the field on 62 minute.
- 67' Lewis Koumas is replacing Ben Gibson for the Stoke City FC side.
- 72' Bristol City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
- 73' What a strike from Anis Mehmeti! The score is 2-0.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Emre Tezgel. He replaces Ali Al-Hamadi on 76 minute.
- 81' Marcus McGuane gets the nod from Bristol City FC. He replaces Max Bird and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Junior Tchamadeu, a Cameroon , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 87' Lewis Baker makes way for Ben Pearson at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stoke City FC.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Marcus McGuane. He receives a card.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Stoke City FC.
Lineups
Bristol City FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
6
Max Bird ↓ Marcus McGuane 81'
- 14
- 16
-
10
Scott Twine ↓ George Earthy 62'
-
2
Ross McCrorie ↓ George Tanner 87'
-
17
Mark Sykes ↓ Yu Hirakawa 61'
- 12
- 24
- 11
- 1
- 30
Bench
-
21
Nahki Wells ↑ 61'
- 27
-
29
Marcus McGuane ↑ 81'
-
19
George Tanner ↑ 87'
- 23
- 20
- 31
-
40
George Earthy ↑ 62'
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↑ 61'
Coach
Liam Manning
Stoke City FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
23
Ben Gibson ↓ Lewis Koumas 67'
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Ben Pearson 87'
- 6
- 5
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↓ Junior Tchamadeu 46'
- 1
- 33
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Emre Tezgel 76'
- 26
- 24
-
35
Nathan Lowe ↓ Joon-ho Bae 67'
Bench
-
4
Ben Pearson ↑ 87'
- 15
- 13
- 7
-
22
Junior Tchamadeu ↑ 46'
-
37
Emre Tezgel ↑ 76'
- 18
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 67'
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 67'
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nahki Wells | 5 |
| Anis Mehmeti | 3 |
| Million Manhoef | 2 |
| Famara Diedhiou | 2 |
| Sam Bell | 2 |
| Nick Powell | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Andrew Moran | 1 |
Head to Head
Bristol City FC Form
2025-02-12
Bristol City FC
2–0
Stoke City FC
W
2025-02-09
Bristol City FC
0–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-02-01
Oxford United FC
1–1
Bristol City FC
D
2025-01-25
Bristol City FC
2–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-01-22
Sheffield Wednesday FC
2–2
Bristol City FC
D
2025-01-18
Coventry City FC
1–0
Bristol City FC
L
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.31
Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Bristol City FC or Stoke City FC 74% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bristol City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Bristol City FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Stoke City FC
61%
Bristol City FC or Stoke City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bristol City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC
| Handicap | Bristol City FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

