Bristol City FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bristol City FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.
- Bristol City FC 46 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Feb | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | Coventry City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Bristol City FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #17 |
| 62 | Points | 55 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 17 / 11 / 18 | W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 21 |
| 59 | Scored | 51 |
| 59 | Conceded | 56 |
| +0 | GD | -5 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 37% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Ashton Gate. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 11' Goal! Anis Mehmeti scores his 38 goal in 364 matches.
- 16' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Wouter Burger has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 21' Junior Tchamadeu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 24' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a card on 24.
- 29' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 34' The 27-year-old Viktor Johansson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' The referee shows Bristol City FC player a card on 40.
- 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Junior Tchamadeu comes on to replace Tatsuki Seko.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bristol City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 53' It’s a booking for Stoke City FC player. Ben Gibson gets a card.
- 58' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Nahki Wells. He replaces Sinclair Armstrong on 61 minute.
- 62' The Bristol City FC bench stirs into life. Scott Twine is withdrawn and George Earthy gets his opportunity.
- 67' Ben Gibson makes way for Lewis Koumas at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stoke City FC.
- 72' Bristol City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
- 73' Anis Mehmeti makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Bristol City FC are in front.
- 76' The crowd applauds Ali Al-Hamadi as he leaves the pitch. Emre Tezgel steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 81' Marcus McGuane is ready to make an impact after coming on for Max Bird at the 81 minute mark.
- 86' Both keepers have barely been tested. Bristol City FC and Stoke City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 87' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ben Pearson is hanging Lewis Baker on the field on 87 minute.
- 90' A moment of madness from Marcus McGuane on 90 minutes earns him a card. Bristol City FC will be frustrated.
- With this win, Bristol City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Bristol City FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
6
Max Bird ↓ Marcus McGuane 81'
- 14
- 16
-
10
Scott Twine ↓ George Earthy 62'
-
2
Ross McCrorie ↓ George Tanner 87'
-
17
Mark Sykes ↓ Yu Hirakawa 61'
- 12
- 24
- 11
- 1
- 30
Bench
-
21
Nahki Wells ↑ 61'
- 27
-
29
Marcus McGuane ↑ 81'
-
19
George Tanner ↑ 87'
- 23
- 20
- 31
-
40
George Earthy ↑ 62'
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↑ 61'
Coach
Liam Manning
Stoke City FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
23
Ben Gibson ↓ Lewis Koumas 67'
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Ben Pearson 87'
- 6
- 5
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↓ Junior Tchamadeu 46'
- 1
- 33
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Emre Tezgel 76'
- 26
- 24
-
35
Nathan Lowe ↓ Joon-ho Bae 67'
Bench
-
4
Ben Pearson ↑ 87'
- 15
- 13
- 7
-
22
Junior Tchamadeu ↑ 46'
-
37
Emre Tezgel ↑ 76'
- 18
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 67'
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 67'
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nahki Wells | 5 |
| Anis Mehmeti | 3 |
| Sam Bell | 2 |
| Nick Powell | 2 |
| Million Manhoef | 2 |
| Famara Diedhiou | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Andrew Moran | 1 |
Head to Head
Bristol City FC Form
2025-02-12
Bristol City FC
2–0
Stoke City FC
W
2025-02-09
Bristol City FC
0–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-02-01
Oxford United FC
1–1
Bristol City FC
D
2025-01-25
Bristol City FC
2–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-01-22
Sheffield Wednesday FC
2–2
Bristol City FC
D
2025-01-18
Coventry City FC
1–0
Bristol City FC
L
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5
Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bristol City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Bristol City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Stoke City FC
53%
Bristol City FC or Stoke City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bristol City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC
| Handicap | Bristol City FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

