Thursday , 2 July 2026

Norwich City FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC Carrow Road 26,267 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lewis Dobbin 32' 1–0
1–1 45+2' Lewis Baker
Josh Sargent 48' 2–1
Josh Sargent 71' 3–1
Junior Tchamadeu og 78' 4–1
4–2 90+7' Lewis Baker pen

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee John Busby
  • Assistant 1 Mark Russell
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Stoke City FC H 4–2 W
15 Feb Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
11 Feb Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
08 Feb Derby County FC H 1–1 D
01 Feb Watford FC A 1–0 W
25 Jan Swansea City AFC H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
15 Feb Swansea City AFC H 3–1 W
12 Feb Bristol City FC A 0–2 L
08 Feb Cardiff City FC H 2–4 L
01 Feb Hull City AFC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Oxford United FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Norwich City FC Stoke City FC
#9 Position #17
65 Points 55
46 Played 46
19 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
63 Scored 51
56 Conceded 56
+7 GD -5
1.41 PPG 1.20
41% Win % 33%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Norwich City FC are 9th (65 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Norwich City FC welcome Stoke City FC for this crunch clash at Carrow Road.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Norwich City FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Stoke City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 10' Marcelino Nunez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Junior Tchamadeu is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
  • 25' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joon-ho Bae is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Norwich City FC.
  • 32' Against the run of play, Lewis Dobbin has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 37' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
  • 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Norwich City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' Another substitution for Norwich City FC to replace Lewis Dobbin by Ante Crnac on 46 minute.
  • 47' Lewis Baker makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Stoke City FC are in front.
  • 48' Josh Sargent does the damage! The net is bulging and Norwich City FC surge ahead!
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sam Gallagher suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' Million Manhoef gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Ben Pearson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' Denmark international Jacob Sorensen has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Norwich City FCJacob Wright on, Marcelino Nunez off on 69 minutes.
  • 71' What a strike from Josh Sargent! The score is 3-1.
  • 76' Ben Pearson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Enda Stevens is replaced by Jordan Thompson.
  • 78' Junior Tchamadeu doubles the advantage! 3-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 83' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Oscar Schwartau. He replaces Josh Sargent on 86 minute.
  • Stoke City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Norwich City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.91 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Norwich City FC to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC58% Draw23% Stoke City FC19%
Actual: Norwich City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Stoke City FC
42%
Norwich City FC or Stoke City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC40% Draw43% Stoke City FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.