Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Arsenal FC, FA Cup 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,067 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ross Stewart 36' 1–0
1–1 68' Viktor Gyokeres
Shea Charles 85' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Arsenal FC — FA Cup at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 James Mainwaring
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith
5 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
21 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–0 W
18 Mar Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
14 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
11 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Fulham FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Southampton FC A 1–2 L
17 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–0 W
14 Mar Everton FC H 2–0 W
11 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
07 Mar Mansfield Town FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arsenal FC
Martinelli 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Southampton FC launch into their encounter with Arsenal FC.
  • 5' Southampton FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Taylor Harwood-Bellis is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Arsenal FC tonight.
  • 15' England international James Bree has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' Arsenal FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. William Saliba made 434 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' That looks like a foul for a card for Ryan Manning.
  • 32' Cameron Bragg has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 36' Ross Stewart has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 36 minutes.
  • 41' The travelling Arsenal FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' Southampton FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ross Stewart scoring 1 goals.
  • 51' Southampton FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' It is a substitution in Arsenal FC team. Gabriel Jesus is replaced by Viktor Gyokeres on 60 minute.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Martin Odegaard as he leaves the pitch. Noni Madueke steps in for Arsenal FC.
  • 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 68' What an equalizer from Viktor Gyokeres!
  • 70' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Ross Stewart is replaced by Cyle Larin.
  • 71' Samuel Edozie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leo Scienza at the 71 minute mark.
  • 72' William Saliba is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriel at the 72 minute mark.
  • 76' A tactical swap from Southampton FC — Shea Charles on, Cameron Bragg off on 76 minutes.
  • 79' The Arsenal FC bench stirs into life. Kai Havertz is withdrawn and Martin Zubimendi gets his opportunity.
  • 84' The 19-year-old Myles Lewis-Skelly has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 85' Shea Charles has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Caspar Jander argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Martinelli catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Ryan Manning departs to be replaced by Joshua Quarshie.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Southampton FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Arsenal FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC44% Draw27% Arsenal FC29%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Arsenal FC
56%
Southampton FC or Arsenal FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC30% Draw48% Arsenal FC22%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.