Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Arsenal FC, FA Cup 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,067 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ross Stewart 36' 1–0
1–1 68' Viktor Gyokeres
Shea Charles 85' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Arsenal FCFA Cup at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 James Mainwaring
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
21 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–0 W
18 Mar Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
14 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
11 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Fulham FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Southampton FC A 1–2 L
17 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–0 W
14 Mar Everton FC H 2–0 W
11 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
07 Mar Mansfield Town FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arsenal FC
Martinelli 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Southampton FC is hosting Arsenal FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Arsenal FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Arsenal FC that had 414 games and scored 725 goals.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Caspar Jander made 145 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Manning on 27.
  • 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kai Havertz, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 36' GOAL! Ross Stewart scores on 36. Assisted by James Bree
  • 41' It looks surprising Arsenal FC does not make any changes. Noni Madueke has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' Daniel Peretz needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' Southampton FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 60' It is a substitution in Arsenal FC team. Gabriel Jesus is replaced by Viktor Gyokeres on 60 minute.
  • 61' The Arsenal FC manager makes a substitution. Martin Odegaard departs to be replaced by Noni Madueke.
  • 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Fellows suffering a number of foals already.
  • 68' What an equalizer from Viktor Gyokeres!
  • 70' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Ross Stewart departs to be replaced by Cyle Larin.
  • 71' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Samuel Edozie is hanging Leo Scienza on the field on 71 minute.
  • 72' William Saliba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriel on 72 minute.
  • 76' Shea Charles is replacing Cameron Bragg for the Southampton FC side.
  • 79' Another change for Arsenal FC made on 79 minute. Kai Havertz leaves to be changed by Martin Zubimendi.
  • 84' Southampton FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ross Stewart scoring 1 goals.
  • 85' Shea Charles puts Southampton FC on the lead.
  • 89' Caspar Jander is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • 90' Arsenal FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Ryan Manning by Joshua Quarshie on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Southampton FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Arsenal FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC44% Draw27% Arsenal FC29%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Arsenal FC
56%
Southampton FC or Arsenal FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC30% Draw48% Arsenal FC22%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.