Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2018-19 ROUND 3 REPLAYS

FA Cup · 2018-19
2 2
3 – 5 pen
Full Time
Wed 16 Jan 2019 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 75' Jayden Bogle
Cedric 75' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Derby County FCFA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Neil Davies
  • Referee David Coote
  • Referee Graham Scott
  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Referee Adam Nunn

Head-to-Head

1
3
Southampton FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Derby County FC H 2–2 D
12 Jan Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
05 Jan Derby County FC A 2–2 D
02 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
30 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
27 Dec West Ham United FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Southampton FC A 2–2 D
11 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
05 Jan Southampton FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
29 Dec Norwich City FC A 4–3 W
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Southampton FC and Derby County FC is underway.
  • 5' Angus Gunn needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kayne Ramsey, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Duane Holmes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 16' Southampton FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 16.
  • 21' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
  • 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
  • 31' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Southampton FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 36' It’s high time Ralph Hasenhuttl made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Tyreke Johnson as he leaves the pitch. Nathan Redmond steps in for Southampton FC.
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 348 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jack Stephens suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 68' Stuart Armstrong makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Southampton FC are in front.
  • 70' Nathan Redmond makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Southampton FC are in front.
  • 73' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Shane Long departs to be replaced by Sam Gallagher.
  • 75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jayden Bogle.
  • 76' Against the run of play, Harry Wilson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 76' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Nugent is hanging Jack Marriott on the field on 76 minute.
  • 80' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Lawrence is hanging Tom Huddlestone on the field on 80 minute.
  • 82' Against the run of play, Martyn Waghorn has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 87' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 90' Callum Slattery is ready to make an impact after coming on for Stuart Armstrong at the 90 minute mark.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC42% Draw26% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Southampton FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC30% Draw43% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.