Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2018-19 ROUND 3 REPLAYS

FA Cup · 2018-19
2 2
3 – 5 pen
Full Time
Wed 16 Jan 2019 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 75' Jayden Bogle
Cedric 75' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Derby County FCFA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Neil Davies
  • Referee David Coote
  • Referee Graham Scott
  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Referee Adam Nunn

Head-to-Head

1
3
Southampton FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Derby County FC H 2–2 D
12 Jan Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
05 Jan Derby County FC A 2–2 D
02 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
30 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
27 Dec West Ham United FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Southampton FC A 2–2 D
11 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
05 Jan Southampton FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
29 Dec Norwich City FC A 4–3 W
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Southampton FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 16' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Tyreke Johnson.
  • 21' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 26' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 31' Tom Lawrence has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 36' Shane Long is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Southampton FC so far.
  • 41' It is a cagey affair so far. Southampton FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 46' Nathan Redmond is replacing Tyreke Johnson for the Southampton FC side.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mason Mount made 385 appearances and scored 50 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frank Lampard will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 66' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 68' Stuart Armstrong makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Southampton FC are in front.
  • 70' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nathan Redmond makes it 2-0.
  • 73' Another change for Southampton FC made on 73 minute. Shane Long leaves to be changed by Sam Gallagher.
  • 75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jayden Bogle.
  • 76' What a strike from Harry Wilson! The score is 2-1.
  • 76' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Nugent is hanging Jack Marriott on the field on 76 minute.
  • 80' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Tom Huddlestone exits the field as Tom Lawrence enters on 80.
  • 82' Assisted by Harry Wilson with the perfectly-timed delivery and Martyn Waghorn makes no mistake. 2-2!
  • 87' Jannik Vestergaard needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 90' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Stuart Armstrong by Callum Slattery on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC42% Draw26% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Southampton FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC30% Draw43% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.