Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2018-19 ROUND 3 REPLAYS

FA Cup · 2018-19
2 – 2
3 – 5 pen
Full Time
Wed 16 Jan 2019 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 75' Jayden Bogle
Cedric 75' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Derby County FC — FA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Neil Davies
  • Referee David Coote
  • Referee Graham Scott
  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Referee Adam Nunn

Head-to-Head

1
3
Southampton FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Derby County FC H 2–2 D
12 Jan Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
05 Jan Derby County FC A 2–2 D
02 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
30 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
27 Dec West Ham United FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Southampton FC A 2–2 D
11 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
05 Jan Southampton FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
29 Dec Norwich City FC A 4–3 W
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Southampton FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Craig Bryson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Jack Marriott has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ralph Hasenhuttl will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 16' Tyreke Johnson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 16.
  • 21' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
  • 26' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Tyreke Johnson departs to be replaced by Nathan Redmond.
  • 51' Southampton FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' It’s high time Frank Lampard made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kelle Roos, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 68' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Stuart Armstrong makes it 1-0.
  • 70' What a moment for Nathan Redmond! That strike on 70 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 73' Sam Gallagher is replacing Shane Long for the Southampton FC side.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jayden Bogle on 75.
  • 76' Harry Wilson doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 76' The whistle greets Jack Marriott as he departs to be replaced by David Nugent.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Tom Huddlestone is replaced by Tom Lawrence on 80 minute.
  • 82' A goal from the England international Martyn Waghorn! He fires home on 82 to make it 2-2!
  • 87' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 90' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Stuart Armstrong departs to be replaced by Callum Slattery.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC42% Draw26% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Southampton FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC30% Draw43% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.