Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2018-19 ROUND 3 REPLAYS

FA Cup · 2018-19
2 – 2
3 – 5 pen
Full Time
Wed 16 Jan 2019 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 75' Jayden Bogle
Cedric 75' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Derby County FC — FA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Neil Davies
  • Referee David Coote
  • Referee Graham Scott
  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Referee Adam Nunn

Head-to-Head

1
3
Southampton FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Derby County FC H 2–2 D
12 Jan Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
05 Jan Derby County FC A 2–2 D
02 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
30 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
27 Dec West Ham United FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Southampton FC A 2–2 D
11 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
05 Jan Southampton FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
29 Dec Norwich City FC A 4–3 W
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Southampton FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Jack Stephens, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Southampton FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 16' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tyreke Johnson on 16.
  • 21' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 363 games and scored 447 goals.
  • 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Southampton FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Tyreke Johnson by Nathan Redmond on 46 minute.
  • 51' Jack Marriott needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 66' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Kayne Ramsey has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 68' The Scotland Stuart Armstrong breaks the deadlock on 68 minutes. 1-0!
  • 70' Assisted by Jack Stephens with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nathan Redmond makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 73' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Shane Long is replaced by Sam Gallagher.
  • 75' Jayden Bogle picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 76' Harry Wilson does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
  • 76' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Jack Marriott is replaced by David Nugent.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Tom Huddlestone is replaced by Tom Lawrence on 80 minute.
  • 82' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Martyn Waghorn makes it 2-2.
  • 87' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Stuart Armstrong is replaced by Callum Slattery on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC42% Draw26% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Southampton FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC30% Draw43% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.