Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Southampton FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Oxford United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–0 W
18 Mar Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
14 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
11 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Fulham FC A 1–0 W
28 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Southampton FC A 0–2 L
14 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
11 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
06 Mar Preston North End FC A 3–1 W
28 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
25 Feb Stoke City FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Oxford United FC
#4 Position #22
80 Points 47
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 14 / 21
82 Scored 45
56 Conceded 59
+26 GD -14
1.74 PPG 1.02
48% Win % 24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC59% Draw24% Oxford United FC17%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Oxford United FC
41%
Southampton FC or Oxford United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC42% Draw45% Oxford United FC13%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
9%
3 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 19% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 24% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.