Derby County FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Southampton FC

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Southampton FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Oliver Langford

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Southampton FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Derby County FC 1–1 Southampton FC 2019-01-16 Southampton FC 2–2 Derby County FC 2019-01-05 Derby County FC 2–2 Southampton FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Southampton FC	H	1–1	D
30 Sep	Charlton Athletic FC	H	1–1	D
27 Sep	Wrexham AFC	A	1–1	D
20 Sep	Preston North End FC	H	0–1	L
13 Sep	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	1–0	W
30 Aug	Ipswich Town FC	A	2–2	D

Southampton FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Derby County FC	A	1–1	D
30 Sep	Sheffield United FC	A	2–1	W
27 Sep	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–1	D
20 Sep	Hull City AFC	A	1–3	L
14 Sep	Portsmouth FC	H	0–0	D
30 Aug	Watford FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Southampton FC
#8	Position	#4
69	Points	80
46	Played	46
20 / 9 / 17	W / D / L	22 / 14 / 10
67	Scored	82
59	Conceded	56
+8	GD	+26
1.50	PPG	1.74
43%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Derby County FC and Southampton FC is underway.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nathan Redmond	3
Martyn Waghorn	1
Craig Bryson	1
Harry Wilson	1
Stuart Armstrong	1
Carlton Morris	1
Taylor Harwood-Bellis	1
Leo Scienza	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.49 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.57 Southampton FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Southampton FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC38% Draw26% Southampton FC36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.06

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

64%

Draw or Southampton FC

62%

Derby County FC or Southampton FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC27% Draw44% Southampton FC29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

8.3%

2 – 1

7.9%

0 – 1

6.5%

0 – 0

6.4%

1 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 2

5.7%

2 – 0

5.2%

1 – 3

4.3%

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Southampton FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	18%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	19%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.