Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Southampton FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Southampton FC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
20 Sep Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–0 W
30 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Derby County FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Sheffield United FC A 2–1 W
27 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Hull City AFC A 1–3 L
14 Sep Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
30 Aug Watford FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Southampton FC
#22 Position #13
5 Points 10
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
7 Scored 19
14 Conceded 10
-7 GD +9
0.63 PPG 1.25
13% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 4 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.14 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw24% Southampton FC49%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Southampton FC
73%
Derby County FC or Southampton FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC17% Draw41% Southampton FC42%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
6.6%
0 – 3
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 1
5.2%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 22% 36%
+1.5 64% — 36%
+2 64% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.