Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Southampton FC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
20 Sep Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–0 W
30 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Derby County FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Sheffield United FC A 2–1 W
27 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Hull City AFC A 1–3 L
14 Sep Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
30 Aug Watford FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Southampton FC
#23 Position #17
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts). Southampton FC are 17th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.71 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Under — clean sheet likely 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC33% Draw37% Southampton FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 43%
57%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Southampton FC
67%
Derby County FC or Southampton FC
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC18% Draw64% Southampton FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.6%
0 – 1
15.7%
1 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
1.8%
0 – 3
1.4%
3 – 0
1.3%
1 – 3
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 20% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 21% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
50%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.