Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Southampton FC, FA Cup 2018-19 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2018-19
Sat 5 Jan 2019 · 15:00 UTC iPro Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Southampton FC — FA Cup at iPro Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Neil Hair
  • Referee Andrew Fox
  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Referee Shaun Hudson
4 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Southampton FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Southampton FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
29 Dec Norwich City FC A 4–3 W
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
22 Dec Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Derby County FC A 2–2 D
02 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–0 D
30 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
27 Dec West Ham United FC H 1–2 L
22 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC A 3–1 W
16 Dec Arsenal FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at iPro Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' Against the run of play, Nathan Redmond has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 9' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 14' Ireland international Shane Long has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 19' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 353 games and scored 428 goals.
  • 24' Jayden Bogle has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' The travelling Southampton FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 33' Mohamed Elyounoussi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 33.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 43' Richard Keogh is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Southampton FC tonight.
  • 48' Magnificent from Nathan Redmond! That is 18 goals in 353 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 52' Max Bird makes way for David Nugent at the 52 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 57' Callum Slattery has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 58' What a strike from Jack Marriott! The score is 1-2.
  • 61' GOAL! Tom Lawrence fires home to make it 2-2!
  • 64' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Craig Bryson.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcus Barnes made 353 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 71' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Mohamed Elyounoussi departs to be replaced by Marcus Barnes.
  • 76' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Southampton FC backline.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Charlie Austin is replaced by Tyreke Johnson.
  • 81' Martyn Waghorn is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Lawrence at the 81 minute mark.
  • 86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Florian Jozefzoon suffering a number of foals already.
  • 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jack Marriott.
  • 88' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Duane Holmes exits the field as Florian Jozefzoon enters on 88.
  • 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Southampton FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw28% Southampton FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Southampton FC
61%
Derby County FC or Southampton FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw46% Southampton FC27%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.