Thursday , 2 July 2026

Portsmouth FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Mon 16 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Derby County FC H 0–1 L
10 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
07 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
24 Feb Wrexham AFC A 1–2 L
21 Feb Millwall FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–0 W
10 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
07 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
28 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–1 W
24 Feb Hull City AFC A 2–4 L
21 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Portsmouth FC Derby County FC
#18 Position #8
55 Points 69
46 Played 46
14 / 13 / 19 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
49 Scored 67
64 Conceded 59
-15 GD +8
1.20 PPG 1.50
30% Win % 43%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Portsmouth FC are 18th (55 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

Portsmouth FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.08 Portsmouth FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Portsmouth FC28% Draw29% Derby County FC43%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Portsmouth FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Derby County FC
72%
Portsmouth FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Portsmouth FC20% Draw48% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 2
8.2%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Portsmouth FC

Handicap Portsmouth FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 22% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Portsmouth FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.