Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Birmingham City FC

Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gavin Ward

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 10 games · Avg 3.3 goals Birmingham City FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC 2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-01-30 Derby County FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC 2021-09-10 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2021-04-24 Derby County FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Birmingham City FC	H	1–0	W
16 Mar	Portsmouth FC	A	1–0	W
10 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Derby County FC	A	0–1	L
14 Mar	Sheffield United FC	H	1–1	D
11 Mar	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
07 Mar	Charlton Athletic FC	A	0–1	L
02 Mar	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–3	L
25 Feb	Millwall FC	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Birmingham City FC
#8	Position	#10
69	Points	64
46	Played	46
20 / 9 / 17	W / D / L	17 / 13 / 16
67	Scored	57
59	Conceded	56
+8	GD	+1
1.50	PPG	1.39
43%	Win %	37%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Derby County FC is hosting Birmingham City FC for another epic battle.
Full Time. Derby County FC beats Birmingham City FC

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lukas Jutkiewicz	4
Colin Kazim-Richards	3
Ivan Sunjic	2
Graeme Shinnie	2
Krystian Bielik	2
Martyn Waghorn	2
Scott Hogan	2
Jamie Paterson	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC W 2026-03-16 Portsmouth FC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2026-03-07 Derby County FC 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L

Birmingham City FC Form

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC L 2026-03-14 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Sheffield United FC D 2026-03-11 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2026-03-07 Charlton Athletic FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC L 2026-03-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-02-25 Millwall FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.5 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 Birmingham City FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC51% Draw27% Birmingham City FC22%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.45

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Birmingham City FC

49%

Derby County FC or Birmingham City FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC34% Draw49% Birmingham City FC17%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

10.7%

2 – 0

9.4%

2 – 1

8.9%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

2 – 2

4.3%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 2

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	23%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.