Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Birmingham City FC

Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Birmingham City FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gavin Ward

5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 11 games · Avg 3.3 goals Birmingham City FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC 2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-01-30 Derby County FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC 2021-09-10 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2021-04-24 Derby County FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Birmingham City FC	H	1–0	W
16 Mar	Portsmouth FC	A	1–0	W
10 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Derby County FC	A	0–1	L
14 Mar	Sheffield United FC	H	1–1	D
11 Mar	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
07 Mar	Charlton Athletic FC	A	0–1	L
02 Mar	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–3	L
25 Feb	Millwall FC	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Birmingham City FC
#22	Position	#10
5	Points	11
8	Played	8
1 / 2 / 5	W / D / L	2 / 5 / 1
7	Scored	12
14	Conceded	11
-7	GD	+1
0.63	PPG	1.38
13%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

13% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Birmingham City FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/6

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	2 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Birmingham City FC

Phil Neumann	2 G
Demarai Gray	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Birmingham City FC — let the battle begin!
The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lukas Jutkiewicz	4
Colin Kazim-Richards	3
Ivan Sunjic	2
Graeme Shinnie	2
Krystian Bielik	2
Martyn Waghorn	2
Scott Hogan	2
Gary Gardner	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC W 2026-03-16 Portsmouth FC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2026-03-07 Derby County FC 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L

Birmingham City FC Form

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC L 2026-03-14 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Sheffield United FC D 2026-03-11 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2026-03-07 Charlton Athletic FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC L 2026-03-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-02-25 Millwall FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.19 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Birmingham City FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Birmingham City FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC41% Draw28% Birmingham City FC31%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.42

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

69%

Draw or Birmingham City FC

59%

Derby County FC or Birmingham City FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC25% Draw50% Birmingham City FC25%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

11%

0 – 1

9.7%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 1

7.5%

0 – 2

6.5%

2 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

4.7%

1 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

0 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	19%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	20%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✗

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.