Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Birmingham City FC

Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Birmingham City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gavin Ward

6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 11 games · Avg 3.3 goals Birmingham City FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC 2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-01-30 Derby County FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC 2021-09-10 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2021-04-24 Derby County FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Birmingham City FC	H	1–0	W
16 Mar	Portsmouth FC	A	1–0	W
10 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Derby County FC	A	0–1	L
14 Mar	Sheffield United FC	H	1–1	D
11 Mar	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
07 Mar	Charlton Athletic FC	A	0–1	L
02 Mar	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–3	L
25 Feb	Millwall FC	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Birmingham City FC
#23	Position	#1
10	Points	29
15	Played	15
2 / 4 / 9	W / D / L	8 / 5 / 2
14	Scored	28
30	Conceded	14
-16	GD	+14
0.67	PPG	1.93
13%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

33% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

1/5

16-30

3/6

31-45

2/7

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/4

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Birmingham City FC

0-15

2/1

16-30

6/1

31-45

4/7

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/1

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	3 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Birmingham City FC

August Priske	6 G	1 A
Liam Millar	4 G	3 A
Jay Stansfield	4 G	1 A
Demarai Gray	3 G
Phil Neumann	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Birmingham City FC.
Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lukas Jutkiewicz	4
Colin Kazim-Richards	3
Ivan Sunjic	2
Graeme Shinnie	2
Krystian Bielik	2
Martyn Waghorn	2
Scott Hogan	2
Luke Plange	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC W 2026-03-16 Portsmouth FC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2026-03-07 Derby County FC 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L

Birmingham City FC Form

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC L 2026-03-14 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Sheffield United FC D 2026-03-11 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2026-03-07 Charlton Athletic FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC L 2026-03-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-02-25 Millwall FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.06 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.58 Birmingham City FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Birmingham City FC 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC34% Draw26% Birmingham City FC40%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.64

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

60%

Draw or Birmingham City FC

66%

Derby County FC or Birmingham City FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC19% Draw47% Birmingham City FC34%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

0 – 1

10.4%

0 – 0

9.1%

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 2

8.7%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

6.1%

2 – 2

4.9%

1 – 3

4.8%

0 – 3

4.5%

2 – 0

3.9%

2 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	15%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	23%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	15%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✗

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.