Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC St. Mary's Stadium 28,446 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Ryan Manning og
Cyle Larin 29' 1–1
1–2 63' Sam Bell
Ross Stewart 74' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FCChampionship at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Leach
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Bristol City FC H 2–2 D
18 Apr Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
14 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
11 Apr Derby County FC H 2–1 W
07 Apr Wrexham AFC A 5–1 W
04 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Southampton FC A 2–2 D
18 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–4 L
11 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
03 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 2–1 W
21 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Bristol City FC
#4 Position #12
80 Points 62
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 17 / 11 / 18
82 Scored 59
56 Conceded 59
+26 GD +0
1.74 PPG 1.35
48% Win % 37%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at St. Mary's Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Goal! Ryan Manning scores his 21 goal in 357 matches.
  • 10' Bristol City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Sam Bell scoring 1 goals.
  • 15' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Finn Azaz made 145 appearances and scored 34 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 28' The referee shows Southampton FC player a card on 28.
  • 29' Goal! Cyle Larin scores his 40 goal in 33 matches.
  • 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Bristol City FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Caspar Jander, as he is very good at scoring at St. Mary's Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 44' James Bree needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 49' Bristol City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 54' Delano Burgzorg has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 57' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Kuryu Matsuki is replaced by Tom Fellows.
  • 62' Flynn Downes was booked on 62.
  • 63' What a strike from Sam Bell! The score is 2-1.
  • 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 71' The whistle greets Finn Azaz as he departs to be replaced by Caspar Jander.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Bristol City FC. Sam Bell is replaced by Mark Sykes.
  • 74' GOAL! Ross Stewart scores on 74. Assisted by Tom Fellows
  • 76' Cameron Pring was booked on 76.
  • 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cyle Larin on 80.
  • 81' Rob Dickie is replacing Tomi Horvat for the Bristol City FC side.
  • 86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mark Sykes suffering a number of foals already.
  • 87' Another change for Southampton FC made on 87 minute. Flynn Downes leaves to be changed by Cameron Bragg.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sam Morsy on 90.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC48% Draw25% Bristol City FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Bristol City FC
52%
Southampton FC or Bristol City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC34% Draw43% Bristol City FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Bristol City FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.