Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC — Championship at St. Mary's Stadium.
- Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Bristol City FC 46 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Elliot Bell (England)
- Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
- Assistant 2 Daniel Leach
3 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 5.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Bristol City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 5–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Bristol City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 80 | Points | 62 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 17 / 11 / 18 |
| 82 | Scored | 59 |
| 56 | Conceded | 59 |
| +26 | GD | +0 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 48% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at St. Mary's Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Goal! Ryan Manning scores his 21 goal in 357 matches.
- 10' Bristol City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Sam Bell scoring 1 goals.
- 15' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Finn Azaz made 145 appearances and scored 34 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 28' The referee shows Southampton FC player a card on 28.
- 29' Goal! Cyle Larin scores his 40 goal in 33 matches.
- 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Bristol City FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Caspar Jander, as he is very good at scoring at St. Mary's Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 44' James Bree needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 49' Bristol City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 54' Delano Burgzorg has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 57' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Kuryu Matsuki is replaced by Tom Fellows.
- 62' Flynn Downes was booked on 62.
- 63' What a strike from Sam Bell! The score is 2-1.
- 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 71' The whistle greets Finn Azaz as he departs to be replaced by Caspar Jander.
- 72' Time for substitution for Bristol City FC. Sam Bell is replaced by Mark Sykes.
- 74' GOAL! Ross Stewart scores on 74. Assisted by Tom Fellows
- 76' Cameron Pring was booked on 76.
- 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cyle Larin on 80.
- 81' Rob Dickie is replacing Tomi Horvat for the Bristol City FC side.
- 86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mark Sykes suffering a number of foals already.
- 87' Another change for Southampton FC made on 87 minute. Flynn Downes leaves to be changed by Cameron Bragg.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sam Morsy on 90.
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
4
Flynn Downes ↓ Cameron Bragg 87'
- 15
-
14
James Bree ↓ Ross Stewart 71'
- 3
- 9
- 41
-
19
Cameron Archer ↓ Leo Scienza 57'
- 6
-
10
Finn Azaz ↓ Caspar Jander 71'
-
27
Kuryu Matsuki ↓ Tom Fellows 57'
- 24
Bench
- 25
-
11
Ross Stewart ↑ 71'
- 34
-
18
Tom Fellows ↑ 57'
-
20
Caspar Jander ↑ 71'
- 23
-
13
Leo Scienza ↑ 57'
-
48
Cameron Bragg ↑ 87'
Bristol City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 40
- 10
- 11
- 2
- 21
- 12
-
14
Tomi Horvat ↓ Rob Dickie 81'
- 38
-
20
Sam Bell ↓ Mark Sykes 72'
- 23
Bench
-
16
Rob Dickie ↑ 81'
- 32
-
17
Mark Sykes ↑ 72'
- 19
- 18
- 30
- 44
- 48
- 24
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Bell | 2 |
| Cyle Larin | 1 |
| Ross Stewart | 1 |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | 1 |
| Rob Dickie | 1 |
| Harry Cornick | 1 |
| Adam Armstrong | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Bristol City FC Form
2026-04-21
Southampton FC
2–2
Bristol City FC
D
2026-04-18
Bristol City FC
2–4
Norwich City FC
L
2026-04-11
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–0
Bristol City FC
D
2026-04-06
Bristol City FC
1–0
Sheffield United FC
W
2026-04-03
Charlton Athletic FC
1–2
Bristol City FC
W
2026-03-21
Bristol City FC
0–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Bristol City FC
52%
Southampton FC or Bristol City FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Bristol City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

