Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC St. Mary's Stadium 28,446 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Ryan Manning og
Cyle Larin 29' 1–1
1–2 63' Sam Bell
Ross Stewart 74' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC — Championship at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Leach
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Bristol City FC H 2–2 D
18 Apr Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
14 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
11 Apr Derby County FC H 2–1 W
07 Apr Wrexham AFC A 5–1 W
04 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Southampton FC A 2–2 D
18 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–4 L
11 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
03 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 2–1 W
21 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Bristol City FC
#13 Position #8
10 Points 13
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
19 Scored 11
10 Conceded 12
+9 GD -1
1.25 PPG 1.63
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season

Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts). Bristol City FC are 8th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bristol City FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 4 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Bristol City FC
Dominic Ballard 3 G
Lorent Tolaj 2 G 1 A
Scott Twine 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Bristol City FC get us underway at St. Mary's Stadium.
  • 5' Ryan Manning has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Southampton FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 356 games and scored 437 goals.
  • 20' Rob Dickie needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 28' A moment of madness from Shea Charles on 28 minutes earns him a card. Southampton FC will be frustrated.
  • 29' What composure from Cyle Larin! The Canada international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 34' Southampton FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' Bristol City FC have won 445 goals from 395 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 54' Southampton FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 57' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Kuryu Matsuki by Tom Fellows on 57 minute.
  • 62' That is a card for Southampton FC. Flynn Downes will be fuming at that decision.
  • 63' Sam Bell makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Bristol City FC are in front.
  • 68' Cameron Bragg has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 356 appearances.
  • 71' Finn Azaz makes way for Caspar Jander at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 72' Bristol City FC ring the changes. Sam Bell has done his job and it is now time for Mark Sykes to step up.
  • 74' A goal from the Scotland international Ross Stewart! He fires home on 74 to make it 3-1!
  • 76' That is a card for Bristol City FC. Cameron Pring will be fuming at that decision.
  • 80' Cyle Larin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
  • 81' Tomi Horvat makes way for Rob Dickie at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bristol City FC.
  • 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 87' Flynn Downes makes way for Cameron Bragg at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Sam Morsy. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.2 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC54% Draw23% Bristol City FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Bristol City FC
46%
Southampton FC or Bristol City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC41% Draw39% Bristol City FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Bristol City FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 21% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.