Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC — Championship at St. Mary's Stadium.
- Southampton FC 8 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Bristol City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Elliot Bell (England)
- Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
- Assistant 2 Daniel Leach
6 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 11.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Bristol City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 5–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Bristol City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #8 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 3 |
| 19 | Scored | 11 |
| 10 | Conceded | 12 |
| +9 | GD | -1 |
| 1.25 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
Southampton FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
Bristol City FC this season
Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts). Bristol City FC are 8th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bristol City FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Southampton FC
| Cyle Larin | 7 G | |
| Finn Azaz | 3 G | 4 A |
| Leo Scienza | 2 G | 2 A |
Bristol City FC
| Dominic Ballard | 3 G | |
| Lorent Tolaj | 2 G | 1 A |
| Scott Twine | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Bristol City FC get us underway at St. Mary's Stadium.
- 5' Ryan Manning has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Southampton FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 356 games and scored 437 goals.
- 20' Rob Dickie needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 28' A moment of madness from Shea Charles on 28 minutes earns him a card. Southampton FC will be frustrated.
- 29' What composure from Cyle Larin! The Canada international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 34' Southampton FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
- 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 49' Bristol City FC have won 445 goals from 395 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 54' Southampton FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 57' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Kuryu Matsuki by Tom Fellows on 57 minute.
- 62' That is a card for Southampton FC. Flynn Downes will be fuming at that decision.
- 63' Sam Bell makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Bristol City FC are in front.
- 68' Cameron Bragg has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 356 appearances.
- 71' Finn Azaz makes way for Caspar Jander at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
- 72' Bristol City FC ring the changes. Sam Bell has done his job and it is now time for Mark Sykes to step up.
- 74' A goal from the Scotland international Ross Stewart! He fires home on 74 to make it 3-1!
- 76' That is a card for Bristol City FC. Cameron Pring will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' Cyle Larin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
- 81' Tomi Horvat makes way for Rob Dickie at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bristol City FC.
- 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 87' Flynn Downes makes way for Cameron Bragg at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
- 90' Poor challenge from Sam Morsy. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
4
Flynn Downes ↓ Cameron Bragg 87'
- 15
-
14
James Bree ↓ Ross Stewart 71'
- 3
- 9
- 41
-
19
Cameron Archer ↓ Leo Scienza 57'
- 6
-
10
Finn Azaz ↓ Caspar Jander 71'
-
27
Kuryu Matsuki ↓ Tom Fellows 57'
- 24
Bench
- 25
-
11
Ross Stewart ↑ 71'
- 34
-
18
Tom Fellows ↑ 57'
-
20
Caspar Jander ↑ 71'
- 23
-
13
Leo Scienza ↑ 57'
-
48
Cameron Bragg ↑ 87'
Bristol City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 40
- 10
- 11
- 2
- 21
- 12
-
14
Tomi Horvat ↓ Rob Dickie 81'
- 38
-
20
Sam Bell ↓ Mark Sykes 72'
- 23
Bench
-
16
Rob Dickie ↑ 81'
- 32
-
17
Mark Sykes ↑ 72'
- 19
- 18
- 30
- 44
- 48
- 24
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cyle Larin | 3 |
| Sam Bell | 2 |
| Finn Azaz | 1 |
| Kuryu Matsuki | 1 |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | 1 |
| Rob Dickie | 1 |
| Harry Cornick | 1 |
| Adam Armstrong | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Bristol City FC Form
2026-04-21
Southampton FC
2–2
Bristol City FC
D
2026-04-18
Bristol City FC
2–4
Norwich City FC
L
2026-04-11
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–0
Bristol City FC
D
2026-04-06
Bristol City FC
1–0
Sheffield United FC
W
2026-04-03
Charlton Athletic FC
1–2
Bristol City FC
W
2026-03-21
Bristol City FC
0–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.2
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Bristol City FC
46%
Southampton FC or Bristol City FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Bristol City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 21% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

