Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC — Championship at St. Mary's Stadium.
- Southampton FC 15 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Bristol City FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Elliot Bell (England)
- Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
- Assistant 2 Daniel Leach
3 games this season
🟨 5.3/game
⚽ 17.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Bristol City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 5–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Bristol City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #17 |
| 24 | Points | 18 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 3 / 7 |
| 29 | Scored | 16 |
| 15 | Conceded | 24 |
| +14 | GD | -8 |
| 1.60 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 53% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
Southampton FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
Bristol City FC this season
Southampton FC are 7th (24 pts). Bristol City FC are 17th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Southampton FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bristol City FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
1/7
61-75
1/2
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Southampton FC
| Cyle Larin | 7 G | |
| Kuryu Matsuki | 4 G | 1 A |
| Finn Azaz | 3 G | 5 A |
| Leo Scienza | 2 G | 2 A |
Bristol City FC
| Scott Twine | 5 G | |
| Dominic Ballard | 4 G | |
| Lorent Tolaj | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Southampton FC welcome Bristol City FC for this crunch clash at St. Mary's Stadium.
- 5' Ryan Manning does the damage! The net is bulging and Southampton FC surge ahead!
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Finn Azaz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 37 goals in his last 145 appearances.
- 20' Southampton FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Cyle Larin scoring 2 goals.
- 25' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 28' Shea Charles has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 28.
- 29' Against the run of play, Cyle Larin has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bristol City FC that had 399 games and scored 446 goals.
- 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Southampton FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 49' It is a cagey affair so far. Southampton FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Bristol City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 54' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Kuryu Matsuki exits the field as Tom Fellows enters on 57.
- 62' Flynn Downes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 62.
- 63' A goal from the England international Sam Bell! He fires home on 63 to make it 2-1!
- 68' Southampton FC have won 442 goals from 360 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 71' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Finn Azaz is replaced by Caspar Jander.
- 72' A change in the Bristol City FC ranks — Sam Bell exits the field as Mark Sykes enters on 72.
- 74' Assisted by Tom Fellows with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ross Stewart makes no mistake. 3-1!
- 76' The referee shows Bristol City FC player a card on 76.
- 80' The referee has no hesitation. Cyle Larin is booked for Southampton FC — card on 80.
- 81' Another substitution for Bristol City FC to replace Tomi Horvat by Rob Dickie on 81 minute.
- 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bristol City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 87' Cameron Bragg is ready to make an impact after coming on for Flynn Downes at the 87 minute mark.
- 90' Sam Morsy is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
4
Flynn Downes ↓ Cameron Bragg 87'
- 15
-
14
James Bree ↓ Ross Stewart 71'
- 3
- 9
- 41
-
19
Cameron Archer ↓ Leo Scienza 57'
- 6
-
10
Finn Azaz ↓ Caspar Jander 71'
-
27
Kuryu Matsuki ↓ Tom Fellows 57'
- 24
Bench
- 25
-
11
Ross Stewart ↑ 71'
- 34
-
18
Tom Fellows ↑ 57'
-
20
Caspar Jander ↑ 71'
- 23
-
13
Leo Scienza ↑ 57'
-
48
Cameron Bragg ↑ 87'
Bristol City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 40
- 10
- 11
- 2
- 21
- 12
-
14
Tomi Horvat ↓ Rob Dickie 81'
- 38
-
20
Sam Bell ↓ Mark Sykes 72'
- 23
Bench
-
16
Rob Dickie ↑ 81'
- 32
-
17
Mark Sykes ↑ 72'
- 19
- 18
- 30
- 44
- 48
- 24
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cyle Larin | 3 |
| Sam Bell | 2 |
| Adam Armstrong | 1 |
| Ross Stewart | 1 |
| Lorent Tolaj | 1 |
| Finn Azaz | 1 |
| Kuryu Matsuki | 1 |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Bristol City FC Form
2026-04-21
Southampton FC
2–2
Bristol City FC
D
2026-04-18
Bristol City FC
2–4
Norwich City FC
L
2026-04-11
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–0
Bristol City FC
D
2026-04-06
Bristol City FC
1–0
Sheffield United FC
W
2026-04-03
Charlton Athletic FC
1–2
Bristol City FC
W
2026-03-21
Bristol City FC
0–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Bristol City FC
46%
Southampton FC or Bristol City FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Bristol City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.