Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bristol City FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Southampton FC H 3–1 W
18 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
04 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Oxford United FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Bristol City FC A 1–3 L
18 Oct Swansea City AFC H 0–0 D
04 Oct Derby County FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Sheffield United FC A 2–1 W
27 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Hull City AFC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Bristol City FC Southampton FC
#12 Position #4
62 Points 80
46 Played 46
17 / 11 / 18 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
59 Scored 82
59 Conceded 56
+0 GD +26
1.35 PPG 1.74
37% Win % 48%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts). Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.69 Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol City FC45% Draw25% Southampton FC30%
Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Southampton FC
55%
Bristol City FC or Southampton FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol City FC31% Draw43% Southampton FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap Bristol City FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.