Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bristol City FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Southampton FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Backhouse
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Southampton FC H 3–1 W
18 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
04 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Oxford United FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Bristol City FC A 1–3 L
18 Oct Swansea City AFC H 0–0 D
04 Oct Derby County FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Sheffield United FC A 2–1 W
27 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Hull City AFC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Bristol City FC Southampton FC
#8 Position #13
13 Points 10
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
11 Scored 19
12 Conceded 10
-1 GD +9
1.63 PPG 1.25
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Bristol City FC are 8th (13 pts). Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bristol City FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bristol City FC
Dominic Ballard 3 G
Lorent Tolaj 2 G 1 A
Scott Twine 2 G
Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 4 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.68 Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Bristol City FC or Southampton FC 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol City FC41% Draw24% Southampton FC35%
Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Southampton FC
59%
Bristol City FC or Southampton FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol City FC28% Draw41% Southampton FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 0
4.4%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 0
4.3%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
4.1%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap Bristol City FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 17% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 18% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.