Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Wed 29 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Saint Mary's HT 45' · FT 45'
Kyle Walker-Peters 47' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FCChampionship at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Keith Stroud
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
  • Assistant 2 Mark Pottage

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
Southampton FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Bristol City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
25 Nov Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–1 D
11 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Millwall FC A 1–0 W
28 Oct Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
25 Oct Preston North End FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Southampton FC A 0–1 L
25 Nov Middlesbrough FC H 3–2 W
11 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–0 D
04 Nov Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W
28 Oct Cardiff City FC A 0–2 L
25 Oct Ipswich Town FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Bristol City FC
#4 Position #12
80 Points 62
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 17 / 11 / 18
82 Scored 59
56 Conceded 59
+26 GD +0
1.74 PPG 1.35
48% Win % 37%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.65 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 60% + Southampton FC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC60% Draw25% Bristol City FC15%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Bristol City FC
40%
Southampton FC or Bristol City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC40% Draw48% Bristol City FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
13%
0 – 0
12%
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
7%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.9%
4 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Bristol City FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 19% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 26% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
52%
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.