Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse

3 – 1

Full Time

Avispa Fukuoka

Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Koya Kitagawa 17' Y

Y 38' Yota Maejima

Matheus Bueno 39' Y

Yuya Oki 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 8 games · Avg 5.0 goals Avispa Fukuoka

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-20 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2022-09-17 Avispa Fukuoka 3–2 Shimizu S-Pulse 2022-06-18 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2021-10-02 Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Shimizu S-Pulse 2021-03-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–2 Avispa Fukuoka

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	H	3–1	W
16 Apr	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	3–2	W
12 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–1	D
06 Apr	Yokohama FC	A	0–2	L
02 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
29 Mar	Shonan Bellmare	H	3–0	W

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–3	L
12 Apr	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	2–1	W
06 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–0	W
02 Apr	Albirex Niigata	A	1–0	W
29 Mar	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–2	D
15 Mar	FC Tokyo	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse		Avispa Fukuoka
#7	Position	#10
24	Points	21
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	7 / 0 / 11
40	Scored	49
42	Conceded	59
-2	GD	-10
1.33	PPG	1.17
44%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Shimizu S-Pulse host Avispa Fukuoka — let the battle begin!
3' Kai Matsuzaki makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Shimizu S-Pulse are in front.
8' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 8 minutes.
9' Against the run of play, Tomoya Miki has scored! This game has turned on its head.
14' Both keepers have barely been tested. Shimizu S-Pulse and Avispa Fukuoka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
17' The referee has no hesitation. Koya Kitagawa is booked for Shimizu S-Pulse — card on 17.
22' Tomoya Ando has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
27' Shimizu S-Pulse looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Se-hun Oh scoring 1 goals.
32' Daiki Matsuoka has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
37' Shimizu S-Pulse has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
38' That looks like a foul for a card for Yota Maejima.
39' Shimizu S-Pulse player sees a card in front of him.
44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
47' GOAL! Matheus Bueno scores on 45. Assisted by Kai Matsuzaki
50' GOAL! Tomoya Ando scores on 45. Assisted by Kengo Kitazume
55' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Yota Maejima trudges off to be replaced by Yuto Iwasaki on 55 minutes.
60' Japan international Masato Shigemi has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
61' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Shahab Zahedi Tabar is withdrawn and Wellington gets his opportunity.
66' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shimizu S-Pulse must find a spark to ignite this game.
68' Shimizu S-Pulse ring the changes. Kai Matsuzaki has done his job and it is now time for Hikaru Nakahara to step up.
73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Wellington, as he is very good at scoring at IAI Stadium Nihondaira with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
78' Masaaki Murakami has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
80' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masato Shigemi is hanging Shintaro Nago on the field on 80 minute.
81' Koya Kitagawa makes way for Kento Haneda at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
82' Yuya Oki has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
87' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
88' Fresh legs for Shimizu S-Pulse! Douglas Tanque comes on to replace Takashi Inui.
It finishes all square. Shimizu S-Pulse and Avispa Fukuoka share the spoils 3-1.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

99
Douglas Tanque ↑ 88'
21
Shinya Yajima
41
Kento Haneda ↑ 81'
29
Ahmed Ahmedov
14
Reon Yamahara ↑ 88'
11
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 68'
71
Yui Inokoshi
55
Motoki Nishihara ↑ 68'

Coach Tadahiro Akiba

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuya Yamagishi	5
Thiago Santana	4
Carlinhos	2
Reon Yamahara	2
Shun Nakamura	1
Se-hun Oh	1
Shosei Usui	1
Katsuhiro Nakayama	1

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2025-04-20 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-04-16 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–3 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-04-12 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale D 2025-04-06 Yokohama FC 2–0 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-04-02 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-03-29 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–0 Shonan Bellmare W

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2025-04-20 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2025-04-12 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2025-04-06 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2025-04-02 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-03-29 Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 FC Machida Zelvia D 2025-03-15 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 FC Tokyo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

3.07 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.01 Avispa Fukuoka xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse57% Draw19% Avispa Fukuoka24%

Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes82% 0% No18%

Avg goals/match: 5.08

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	87%	13%
± 3.5	73%	27%
± 4.5	56%	44%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

76%

Draw or Avispa Fukuoka

43%

Shimizu S-Pulse or Avispa Fukuoka

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse46% Draw32% Avispa Fukuoka22%

Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

5.8%

1 – 1

4.5%

4 – 1

4.5%

4 – 2

4.5%

1 – 2

3 – 3

3.9%

2 – 3

3.8%

2 – 0

3.2%

3 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5	24%	—	76%
-2	24%	16%	60%
-1.5	40%	—	60%
-1	40%	18%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	12%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	7%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.