Thursday , 2 July 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 3–1 W
16 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos A 3–2 W
12 Apr Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
06 Apr Yokohama FC A 0–2 L
02 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
29 Mar Shonan Bellmare H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–3 L
12 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–1 W
06 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W
02 Apr Albirex Niigata A 1–0 W
29 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 2–2 D
15 Mar FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Avispa Fukuoka
#7 Position #10
24 Points 21
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
40 Scored 49
42 Conceded 59
-2 GD -10
1.33 PPG 1.17
44% Win % 39%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
/
61-75
4/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Avispa Fukuoka kicks off things out of here…
  • 3' Brilliant from the ! Kai Matsuzaki makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 3.
  • 8' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 9' What a moment for Tomoya Miki! That strike on 9 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 14' Takaaki Shichi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 143 appearances.
  • 17' Shimizu S-Pulse player sees a card in front of him.
  • 22' Avispa Fukuoka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 27' The 28-year-old Yuto Iwasaki has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kazuki Fujimoto suffering a number of foals already.
  • 37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Capixaba, as he is very good at scoring at IAI Stadium Nihondaira with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 38' Avispa Fukuoka receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
  • 39' It’s a booking for Shimizu S-Pulse player. Matheus Bueno gets a card.
  • 44' Kazuya Konno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 47' Assisted by Kai Matsuzaki with the perfectly-timed delivery and Matheus Bueno makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 50' What an equalizer from Tomoya Ando!
  • 55' Yota Maejima makes way for Yuto Iwasaki at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Avispa Fukuoka! Wellington comes on to replace Shahab Zahedi Tabar.
  • 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shimizu S-Pulse that had 367 games and scored 286 goals.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Hikaru Nakahara. He replaces Kai Matsuzaki on 68 minute.
  • 73' Shimizu S-Pulse has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 78' The travelling Avispa Fukuoka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Avispa Fukuoka! Masato Shigemi comes on to replace Shintaro Nago.
  • 81' Another substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse to replace Koya Kitagawa by Kento Haneda on 81 minute.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yuya Oki on 82.
  • 87' Shimizu S-Pulse are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Avispa Fukuoka backline.
  • 88' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 88 minute. Takashi Inui leaves to be changed by Douglas Tanque.
  • The points are shared — Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.07 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse57% Draw19% Avispa Fukuoka24%
Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes82% 0% No18%
Avg goals/match: 5.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 56%
44%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
76%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
43%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Avispa Fukuoka
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse46% Draw32% Avispa Fukuoka22%
Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
4.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 16% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 18% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 12% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 7% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
14%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
5%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.