Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
5 – 4
4 – 3 pen
Full Time
Sun 10 May 2026 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira 15,616 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 70' Shosei Usui
Se-hun Oh 75' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Match Details

  • Referee Koei Koya
  • Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
  • Assistant 2 Toshiki Tomomasa (Japan)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Avispa Fukuoka H 5–4 W
06 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 6–4 W
02 May Kyōto Sanga FC A 2–1 W
29 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–2 L
25 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
11 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 5–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 4–5 L
06 May Kyōto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
03 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–2 D
29 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
25 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–2 L
22 Apr Gamba Osaka A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Avispa Fukuoka
#7 Position #10
24 Points 21
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
40 Scored 49
42 Conceded 59
-2 GD -10
1.33 PPG 1.17
44% Win % 39%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
14% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
Se-hun Oh 2 G
Koya Kitagawa 1 G
Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Werik 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Shimizu S-Pulse launch into their encounter with Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The travelling Avispa Fukuoka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Avispa Fukuoka come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' Jelani Sumiyoshi, a Japan , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Shimizu S-Pulse is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' Avispa Fukuoka is showing some good football. However, Avispa Fukuoka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shimizu S-Pulse must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 53' A moment of madness from Kohei Okuno on 53 minutes earns him a card. Avispa Fukuoka will be frustrated.
  • 58' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shintaro Nago, as he is very good at scoring at IAI Stadium Nihondaira with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Masato Shigemi.
  • 68' Takumi Kamijima has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 70' Avispa Fukuoka is taking the lead after the goal scored by Shosei Usui on 70.
  • 75' What composure from Se-hun Oh! The South Korea international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 80' The 25-year-old Masato Shigemi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 85' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 87' Avispa Fukuoka player sees a card in front of him.
  • 88' Poor challenge from Kanta Chiba. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Avispa Fukuoka.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.6 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.81 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 94% + Both teams to score 90%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse55% Draw18% Avispa Fukuoka27%
Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes90% 0% No10%
Avg goals/match: 6.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 99%
1%
± 2.5 94%
6%
± 3.5 86%
14%
± 4.5 74%
26%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
72%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
45%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Avispa Fukuoka
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse44% Draw29% Avispa Fukuoka27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 3
4.7%
4 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.3%
2 – 1
3.3%
3 – 4
3.3%
5 – 2
3.2%
5 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 14% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 16% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 13% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 9% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.