Thursday , 2 July 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
5 4
4 – 3 pen
Full Time
Sun 10 May 2026 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira 15,616 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 70' Shosei Usui
Se-hun Oh 75' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Match Details

  • Referee Koei Koya
  • Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
  • Assistant 2 Toshiki Tomomasa (Japan)
11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 11.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Avispa Fukuoka H 5–4 W
06 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 6–4 W
02 May Kyoto Sanga FC A 2–1 W
29 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–2 L
25 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
11 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 5–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 4–5 L
06 May Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
03 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–2 D
29 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
25 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–2 L
22 Apr Gamba Osaka A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Avispa Fukuoka
#7 Position #10
24 Points 21
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
40 Scored 49
42 Conceded 59
-2 GD -10
1.33 PPG 1.17
44% Win % 39%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
/
61-75
4/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds IAI Stadium Nihondaira will turn into a battlefield for Shimizu S-Pulse and Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 5' Kengo Kitazume needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Avispa Fukuoka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' Avispa Fukuoka is showing some good football. However, Avispa Fukuoka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 50' It looks like no one’s ball. Avispa Fukuoka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 53' The referee calls foul for Kohei Okuno. He receives a card.
  • 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 63' It’s a booking for Avispa Fukuoka player. Masato Shigemi gets a card.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kazuki Fujimoto made 105 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Goal! Shosei Usui scores his 7 goal in 200 matches.
  • 75' What an equalizer from Se-hun Oh!
  • 80' Masato Shigemi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 85' Shimizu S-Pulse started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
  • 87' It’s gonna be a card for Shintaro Nago.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a card for Kanta Chiba.
  • With this win, Shimizu S-Pulse is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.6 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.81 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 94% + Both teams to score 90%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse55% Draw18% Avispa Fukuoka27%
Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes90% 0% No10%
Avg goals/match: 6.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 99%
1%
± 2.5 94%
6%
± 3.5 86%
14%
± 4.5 74%
26%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
72%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
45%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Avispa Fukuoka
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse44% Draw29% Avispa Fukuoka27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 3
4.7%
4 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.3%
2 – 1
3.3%
3 – 4
3.3%
5 – 2
3.2%
5 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 14% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 16% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 13% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 9% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
7%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.