CA Paranaense vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 23 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Jun | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jun | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jun | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | CA Paranaense | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jun | Criciúma EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Jun | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 41 | Points | 27 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 12 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 9 |
| 31 | Scored | 27 |
| 20 | Conceded | 26 |
| +11 | GD | +1 |
| 1.78 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 52% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (41 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
1/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 14 G | 2 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Sao Paulo FC get us underway at Arena da Baixada.
- 5' CA Paranaense are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 10' CA Paranaense are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Paranaense side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Robert Arboleda made 373 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 33' A stunning finish from Ferreira — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 38' A stunning finish from Fernandinho — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 43' Lucas Moura has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 48' Over 48 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' Jonathan Calleri is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 66' Controversy at the stadium! Jonathan Calleri argues furiously but the card stands.
- 66' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Diego Costa is hanging Igor Vinicius on the field on 66 minute.
- 68' It’s a booking for CA Paranaense player. Kaique Rocha gets a card.
- 68' CA Paranaense ring the changes. Leonardo Godoy has done his job and it is now time for Madson to step up.
- 69' Emersonn is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bruno Zapelli at the 69 minute mark.
- 74' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Juca will be considering his options from the bench.
- 75' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 75.
- 76' Leo Linck catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 76.
- 79' CA Paranaense make a change. Lucas Esquivel trudges off to be replaced by Mycael on 79 minutes.
- 81' Lucas Moura makes way for Juan Santos at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 86' A quiet spell here at Arena da Baixada. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Ferreira.
- 87' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Andre Silva comes on to replace Ferreira.
- 88' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Welington is withdrawn and Patryck gets his opportunity.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 44
- 92
- 5
-
29
Leonardo Godoy ↓ Madson 68'
- 4
- 26
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Emersonn 69'
- 88
-
20
Julimar ↓ Lucas Di Yorio 88'
-
37
Lucas Esquivel ↓ Mycael 79'
- 24
Bench
-
22
Madson ↑ 68'
- 3
- 45
- 50
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 69'
-
41
Mycael ↑ 79'
- 6
- 15
- 57
-
7
Lucas Di Yorio ↑ 88'
-
30
Ze Vitor ↑ 68'
- 21
Coach
Juca
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 93
- 5
-
2
Igor Vinicius ↓ Diego Costa 66'
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Juan Santos 81'
- 16
- 9
- 28
-
47
Ferreira ↓ Andre Silva 87'
- 6
- 27
Bench
- 33
- 35
- 8
-
17
Andre Silva ↑ 87'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 81'
-
36
Patryck ↑ 88'
- 39
-
4
Diego Costa ↑ 66'
- 50
-
31
Juan Santos ↑ 81'
- 37
- 34
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 5 |
| Pablo Felipe | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Leozinho | 2 |
| Vitor | 1 |
| Marcelo | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or Sao Paulo FC 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
65%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
63%
CA Paranaense or Sao Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

