CA Paranaense vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Jun | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jun | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jun | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | CA Paranaense | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jun | Criciúma EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Jun | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 30 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 9 / 3 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 24 | Scored | 23 |
| 18 | Conceded | 20 |
| +6 | GD | +3 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 50% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
CA Paranaense are 4th (30 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 11 G | 1 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Arena da Baixada. CA Paranaense are looking to make home advantage count against Sao Paulo FC.
- 5' Diego Costa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' Robert Arboleda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Paranaense tonight.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 33' Against the run of play, Ferreira has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 38' Assisted by Leonardo Godoy with the perfectly-timed delivery and Fernandinho makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 43' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 48' Jandrei has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 53' CA Paranaense currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 58' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonathan Calleri makes no mistake. 1-2!
- 66' It’s gonna be a card for Jonathan Calleri.
- 66' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 66 minute. Igor Vinicius leaves to be changed by Diego Costa.
- 68' A moment of madness from Kaique Rocha on 68 minutes earns him a card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Madson. He replaces Leonardo Godoy on 68 minute.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Emersonn. He replaces Bruno Zapelli on 69 minute.
- 74' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rodrigo Nestor is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
- 75' A moment of madness from Welington on 75 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 76' Leo Linck was booked on 76.
- 79' The CA Paranaense bench stirs into life. Lucas Esquivel is withdrawn and Mycael gets his opportunity.
- 81' Juan Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Moura on 81 minute.
- 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
- 87' Ferreira is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
- 87' Andre Silva gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Ferreira and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Patryck comes on to replace Welington.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 44
- 92
- 5
-
29
Leonardo Godoy ↓ Madson 68'
- 4
- 26
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Emersonn 69'
- 88
-
20
Julimar ↓ Lucas Di Yorio 88'
-
37
Lucas Esquivel ↓ Mycael 79'
- 24
Bench
-
22
Madson ↑ 68'
- 3
- 45
- 50
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 69'
-
41
Mycael ↑ 79'
- 6
- 15
- 57
-
7
Lucas Di Yorio ↑ 88'
-
30
Ze Vitor ↑ 68'
- 21
Coach
Juca
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 93
- 5
-
2
Igor Vinicius ↓ Diego Costa 66'
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Juan Santos 81'
- 16
- 9
- 28
-
47
Ferreira ↓ Andre Silva 87'
- 6
- 27
Bench
- 33
- 35
- 8
-
17
Andre Silva ↑ 87'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 81'
-
36
Patryck ↑ 88'
- 39
-
4
Diego Costa ↑ 66'
- 50
-
31
Juan Santos ↑ 81'
- 37
- 34
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 5 |
| Pablo Felipe | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Fernandinho | 1 |
| Ferreira | 1 |
| Tche Tche | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or Sao Paulo FC 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
63%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
66%
CA Paranaense or Sao Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

