Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 24 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 25 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 25 | 51 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 25 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jul | CA Paranaense | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Jul | Clube do Remo | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #14 |
| 30 | Points | 29 |
| 24 | Played | 25 |
| 8 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 12 |
| 29 | Scored | 24 |
| 28 | Conceded | 37 |
| +1 | GD | -13 |
| 1.25 | PPG | 1.16 |
| 33% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Sao Paulo FC are 11th (30 pts). EC Vitoria are 14th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/3
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 7 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nene | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Ramon | 1 |
| Jose Sabino | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Damian Bobadilla | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
1.61
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
80%
Draw or EC Vitoria
47%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
74%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
12.4%
2 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
42%
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
21%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.