Thursday , 2 July 2026

EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
EC Vitoria
1 – 3
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Sun 5 May 2024 · 19:00 UTC Barradao 25,540 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45' Luciano
Willian Oliveira 49' 1–1
1–2 53' Luciano
1–3 84' Nahuel Ferraresi
Wagner Leonardo 7' R
Y 14' Damian Bobadilla
Bruno Uvini 25' Y
Y 36' Giuliano Galoppo
Y 36' Alan Franco
Lucas Esteves 60' Y
Y 82' Michel Araujo
Dudu 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

2
8
EC Vitoria 10 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo FC 2018-06-13 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 EC Vitoria 2018-06-13 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 EC Vitoria 2017-09-17 EC Vitoria 1–2 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May Sao Paulo FC H 1–3 L
28 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 1–3 L
21 Apr EC Bahia H 2–2 D
14 Apr SE Palmeiras H 0–1 L
02 Dec SE Palmeiras A 2–3 L
25 Nov Grêmio FBPA H 0–0 D
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May EC Vitoria A 3–1 W
29 Apr SE Palmeiras H 0–0 D
26 Apr Barcelona SC A 2–0 W
21 Apr AC Goianiense A 3–0 W
18 Apr CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
14 Apr Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Sao Paulo FC
#13 Position #8
22 Points 25
17 Played 18
6 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 7
21 Scored 23
25 Conceded 20
-4 GD +3
1.29 PPG 1.39
35% Win % 39%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 3 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. EC Vitoria kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 7' A moment of madness from Wagner Leonardo on 7 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
  • 12' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 13' Lepu makes way for Reynaldo at the 13 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Vitoria.
  • 14' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 14.
  • 19' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rafael Monteiro suffering a number of foals already.
  • 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Bruno Uvini has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 25.
  • 30' EC Vitoria has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 31' The crowd applauds Damian Bobadilla as he leaves the pitch. Giuliano Galoppo steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 36' A moment of madness from Giuliano Galoppo on 36 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nahuel Ferraresi made 8 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' What composure from Luciano! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Osvaldo as he leaves the pitch. Mateus Goncalves steps in for EC Vitoria.
  • 49' Goal! Willian Oliveira scores his 5 goal in 173 matches.
  • 53' What composure from Luciano! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 371 games and scored 405 goals.
  • 60' Lucas Esteves was booked on 60.
  • 65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 67' Erick is replacing Igor Vinicius for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 68' Rodrigo Huendra is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rodrigo Nestor at the 68 minute mark.
  • 70' Luiz Adriano gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Janderson Costa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 80' It looks surprising EC Vitoria does not make any changes. Robert Arboleda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 82' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Michel Araujo gets a card.
  • 84' Nahuel Ferraresi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 84 minutes.
  • 86' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Luciano is replaced by Andre Silva.
  • 87' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 87.
  • Sao Paulo FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nene 2
Nene 2
Luciano 2
Erick 1
William da Silva 1
Caca 1
Everton 1
Ramon 1

Head to Head

2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo FC 2018-06-13 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 EC Vitoria 2018-06-13 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 EC Vitoria 2017-09-17 EC Vitoria 1–2 Sao Paulo FC

EC Vitoria Form

2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-04-28 Cruzeiro EC 3–1 EC Vitoria L 2024-04-21 EC Vitoria 2–2 EC Bahia D 2024-04-14 EC Vitoria 0–1 SE Palmeiras L 2018-12-02 SE Palmeiras 3–2 EC Vitoria L 2018-11-25 EC Vitoria 0–0 Grêmio FBPA D

Sao Paulo FC Form

2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-04-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras D 2024-04-26 Barcelona SC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-04-21 AC Goianiense 0–3 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-04-18 CR Flamengo 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-04-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria20% Draw25% Sao Paulo FC55%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
45%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
80%
EC Vitoria or Sao Paulo FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria15% Draw45% Sao Paulo FC40%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 1
10.9%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 3
6.2%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 4
2.8%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 24% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 18% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.