Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Júbilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sun 15 Apr 2018 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Júbilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
  • Referee Isao Nishihashi
  • Referee Mitsuharu Taketa
  • Referee Tomokazu Tajiri
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–0 W
13 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 5–1 W
11 Apr Gamba Osaka A 0–2 L
07 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–0 D
07 Apr Kingstonian FC A 2–2 D
01 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Júbilo Iwata A 0–1 L
14 Apr Kingstonian FC H 1–0 W
11 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–2 L
08 Apr Kashima Antlers A 0–2 L
07 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
31 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 3–2 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Júbilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Taishi Taguchi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' Júbilo Iwata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jung Seunghyun, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cho Donggeon is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Júbilo Iwata.
  • 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 65' Japan international Yuji Ono has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Koki Ogawa made 278 appearances and scored 28 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 80' The energy levels are beginning to show. Massimo Ficcadenti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 85' Both keepers have barely been tested. Júbilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 90' It looks surprising Júbilo Iwata does not make any changes. Hiroki Kawano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Júbilo Iwata were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38 Júbilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Júbilo Iwata57% Draw28% Sagan Tosu FC15%
Actual: Júbilo Iwata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw
85%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
43%
Júbilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Júbilo Iwata35% Draw53% Sagan Tosu FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
16.1%
2 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
2.4%
0 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap Júbilo Iwata covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 17% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 27% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
55% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.