Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Ōita FC Trinita, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 18 Sep 2021 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kei Koizumi 28' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Ōita FC Trinita — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Ōita FC Trinita H 0–0 D
11 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W
29 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 1–0 W
25 Aug Yokohama F.Marinos H 0–4 L
21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 3–1 W
14 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
11 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 2–0 W
28 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–4 L
25 Aug Vissel Kobe H 1–3 L
21 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
15 Aug Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sagan Tosu FC host Oita FC Trinita — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oita FC Trinita that had 105 games and scored 104 goals.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Yuta Koide, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' Shun Nagasawa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 28' Kei Koizumi was booked on 28.
  • 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tomohiro Katanosaka will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' Hwang Seokho has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 48' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryohei Shirasaki suffering a number of foals already.
  • 53' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 58' Kento Haneda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 61' Kohei Isa is replacing Shun Nagasawa for the Oita FC Trinita side.
  • 64' Yamato Machida is ready to make an impact after coming on for Seigo Kobayashi at the 64 minute mark.
  • 65' Naoki Nomura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Arata Watanabe on 65 minute.
  • 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 71' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Kei Koizumi by Nanasei Iino on 71 minute.
  • 76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Oita FC Trinita are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 79' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Hwang Seokho has done his job and it is now time for Toshio Shimakawa to step up.
  • 84' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 88' Ayumu Ohata makes way for Shinya Nakano at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Oita FC Trinita — Asahi Masuyama on, Yuta Koide off on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Ōita FC Trinita xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Ōita FC Trinita 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC43% Draw29% Ōita FC Trinita28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Ōita FC Trinita
57%
Sagan Tosu FC or Ōita FC Trinita
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw49% Ōita FC Trinita22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Ōita FC Trinita covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
Ōita FC Trinita keeps clean sheet
27% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.