Thursday , 1 October 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 11 Sep 2021 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 23' Teruki Hara

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W
29 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 1–0 W
25 Aug Yokohama F.Marinos H 0–4 L
21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 3–1 W
14 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
09 Aug FC Tokyo H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 1–2 L
29 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
25 Aug Kashima Antlers H 0–4 L
21 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–1 D
13 Aug Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
09 Aug Yokohama F.Marinos H 2–2 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
Se-hun Oh 2 G
Koya Kitagawa 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Sagan Tosu FC and Shimizu S-Pulse.
  • 5' Hiroshi Ibusuki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 12 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Shimizu S-Pulse are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Eiichi Katayama, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryo Takeuchi, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 23' The referee shows Shimizu S-Pulse player a Yellow card on 23.
  • 28' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 38' Ayumu Ohata needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' Shimizu S-Pulse have won 288 goals from 372 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 48' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 53' Korea Republic international Park Ilkyu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 58' Ryohei Shirasaki does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
  • 63' It’s high time Myung-Hwi Kim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 65' GOAL! Thiago Santana scores on 65.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Noriaki Fujimoto made 105 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 74' Shimizu S-Pulse ring the changes. Benjamin Kololli has done his job and it is now time for Yuito Suzuki to step up.
  • 74' What composure from Eduardo! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Noriyoshi Sakai is replaced by Keita Yamashita on 77 minute.
  • 80' Toshio Shimakawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryohei Shirasaki on 80 minute.
  • 81' Yuta Taki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eiichi Katayama on 81 minute.
  • 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
  • 88' Hiroshi Ibusuki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Noriaki Fujimoto on 88 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sagan Tosu FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Shimizu S-Pulse 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC43% Draw28% Shimizu S-Pulse29%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
57%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shimizu S-Pulse
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw51% Shimizu S-Pulse23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shimizu S-Pulse covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.