Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 11 Sep 2021 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 23' Teruki Hara

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shimizu S-PulseJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W
29 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 1–0 W
25 Aug Yokohama F.Marinos H 0–4 L
21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 3–1 W
14 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
09 Aug FC Tokyo H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 1–2 L
29 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
25 Aug Kashima Antlers H 0–4 L
21 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–1 D
13 Aug Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
09 Aug Yokohama F.Marinos H 2–2 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sagan Tosu FC and Shimizu S-Pulse is underway.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 23' A moment of madness from Teruki Hara on 23 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Shimizu S-Pulse will be frustrated.
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 38' Noriyoshi Sakai has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 43' Shimizu S-Pulse come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 48' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Teruki Hara suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ryohei Shirasaki makes it 1-0.
  • 63' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Thiago Santana makes it 1-1.
  • 70' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Shimizu S-Pulse are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 74' Shimizu S-Pulse manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuito Suzuki is hanging Benjamin Kololli on the field on 74 minute.
  • 74' Goal! Eduardo scores his 14 goal in 439 matches.
  • 77' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 77 minute. Noriyoshi Sakai leaves to be changed by Keita Yamashita.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Ryohei Shirasaki is replaced by Toshio Shimakawa on 80 minute.
  • 81' The Shimizu S-Pulse bench stirs into life. Eiichi Katayama is withdrawn and Yuta Taki gets his opportunity.
  • 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shimizu S-Pulse needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 88' Shimizu S-Pulse manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroshi Ibusuki is hanging Noriaki Fujimoto on the field on 88 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Shimizu S-Pulse share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Shimizu S-Pulse 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC43% Draw28% Shimizu S-Pulse29%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
57%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shimizu S-Pulse
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw51% Shimizu S-Pulse23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shimizu S-Pulse covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.