Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Yokohama F.Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 0–4 | L |
| 21 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | Vegalta Sendai | H | 5–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Ōita FC Trinita | H | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
46%
Clean Sheets
Yokohama F.Marinos this season
Yokohama F.Marinos this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Yokohama F.Marinos
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/–
61-75
1/5
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Yokohama F.Marinos
| Kaina Tanimura | 7 G | 1 A |
| Shin Miidera | 2 G | |
| Taisei Inoue | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Sagan Tosu FC have kicked off against Yokohama F.Marinos. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Ayumu Ohata needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Yokohama F.Marinos seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' Teruhito Nakagawa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
- 30' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' Yokohama F.Marinos have won 574 goals from 315 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Yokohama F.Marinos backline.
- 41' Yokohama F.Marinos is taking the lead after the goal scored by Daizen Maeda on 41.
- 42' Daizen Maeda adds to his 2 season tally! Yokohama F.Marinos lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 47' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Yokohama F.Marinos are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 48' It’s a booking for Sagan Tosu FC player. Yuta Higuchi gets a Yellow card.
- 51' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a Red card on 51.
- 53' Magnificent from Leo Ceara! That is 99 goals in 188 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 54' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yoshihiro Nakano is replaced by Hwang Seokho.
- 59' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 63' The Yokohama F.Marinos bench stirs into life. Leo Ceara is withdrawn and Kota Mizunuma gets his opportunity.
- 68' Yokohama F.Marinos are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 72' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Noriyoshi Sakai is replaced by Keita Yamashita.
- 73' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryunosuke Sagara is hanging Tomoya Koyamatsu on the field on 73 minute.
- 76' The referee shows Yokohama F.Marinos player a Yellow card on 76.
- 80' Yokohama F.Marinos ring the changes. Daizen Maeda has done his job and it is now time for Ryuta Koike to step up.
- 82' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Ayumu Ohata trudges off to be replaced by Shinya Nakano on 82 minutes.
- 83' Magnificent from Kota Mizunuma! That is 30 goals in 382 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 88' With 2 assists to his name this season, Elber is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 89' Teruhito Nakagawa does the damage! The net is bulging and Yokohama F.Marinos surge ahead!
- Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Yokohama F.Marinos were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Yoshihiro Nakano ↓ Hwang Seokho 54'
- 3
- 13
- 37
- 10
- 40
-
31
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Shinya Nakano 82'
- 22
-
44
Keiya Sento ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 73'
- 15
- 24
Bench
-
20
Hwang Seokho ↑ 54'
- 1
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 73'
-
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 82'
-
27
Ryunosuke Sagara ↑ 73'
-
9
Keita Yamashita ↑ 72'
- 43
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Yokohama F.Marinos Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Kota Mizunuma 63'
-
10
Marcos Junior ↓ Jun Amano 72'
-
7
Elber ↓ Teruhito Nakagawa 63'
- 1
- 4
- 6
- 27
-
8
Takuya Kida ↓ Kota Watanabe 80'
- 5
-
38
Daizen Maeda ↓ Ryuta Koike 80'
- 24
Bench
-
14
Jun Amano ↑ 72'
-
23
Teruhito Nakagawa ↑ 63'
- 33
-
25
Ryuta Koike ↑ 80'
-
18
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 63'
-
26
Kota Watanabe ↑ 80'
- 21
Coach
Kevin Muscat
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Erik | 3 |
| Marcos Junior | 2 |
| Yan Santos | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Kota Mizunuma | 2 |
| Daizen Maeda | 2 |
| Kaina Yoshio | 1 |
| Hwang Seokho | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Yokohama F.Marinos Form
2021-08-25
Sagan Tosu FC
0–4
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2021-08-21
Yokohama F.Marinos
5–0
Vegalta Sendai
W
2021-08-15
Yokohama F.Marinos
5–1
Ōita FC Trinita
W
2021-08-12
Yokohama F.Marinos
2–0
Nagoya Grampus
W
2021-08-09
Shimizu S-Pulse
2–2
Yokohama F.Marinos
D
2021-08-06
Gamba Osaka
2–3
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
Yokohama F.Marinos xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Yokohama F.Marinos win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Yokohama F.Marinos
76%
Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F.Marinos
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Yokohama F.Marinos win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–4 not predicted0 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.5%
2 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Yokohama F.Marinos covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.