Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Urawa Komaba Stadium.
- Urawa Red Diamonds 18 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Jul | Ōita FC Trinita | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Jul | Vegalta Sendai | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season
Urawa Red Diamonds this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Urawa Red Diamonds
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Urawa Red Diamonds
| Matheus Savio | 4 G | |
| Minamino Harumi | 4 G | |
| Takuro Kaneko | 1 G | 5 A |
| Hiiro Komori | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Urawa Red Diamonds welcome Sagan Tosu FC for this crunch clash at Urawa Komaba Stadium.
- 5' The 28-year-old Tomoaki Okubo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Yuta Higuchi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryohei Shirasaki made 372 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kei Koizumi suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 34' The referee has no hesitation. Yoshihiro Nakano is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — Yellow card on 34.
- 36' Takahiro Akimoto is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the defender.
- 40' The crowd applauds Toshio Shimakawa as he leaves the pitch. Hwang Seokho steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Urawa Red Diamonds is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' Keita Yamashita is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Kei Koizumi. He replaces Ryohei Shirasaki on 59 minute.
- 60' Ryohei Shirasaki makes way for Kei Koizumi at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 62' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 62.
- 63' Kei Koizumi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 63.
- 68' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 70' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 70 minute. Ayumu Ohata leaves to be changed by Shinya Nakano.
- 71' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Keita Yamashita has done his job and it is now time for Noriyoshi Sakai to step up.
- 72' Takahiro Sekine is replacing Tatsuya Tanaka for the Urawa Red Diamonds side.
- 77' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 81' Urawa Red Diamonds manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kai Shibato is hanging Yuichi Hirano on the field on 81 minute.
- 82' Urawa Red Diamonds ring the changes. Tomoaki Okubo has done his job and it is now time for Koya Yuruki to step up.
- 83' Ataru Esaka is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 84' Brilliant from the ! Ataru Esaka makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 84.
- 89' It’s high time Ricardo Rodríguez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' Alexander Scholz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ataru Esaka on 90 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Urawa Red Diamonds to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Urawa Red Diamonds Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 5
- 8
- 1
- 4
-
33
Ataru Esaka ↓ Alexander Scholz 90'
- 11
-
21
Tomoaki Okubo ↓ Koya Yuruki 81'
- 15
- 17
-
40
Yuichi Hirano ↓ Kai Shibato 81'
Bench
- 3
- 30
-
29
Kai Shibato ↑ 81'
-
41
Takahiro Sekine ↑ 72'
-
28
Alexander Scholz ↑ 90'
-
24
Koya Yuruki ↑ 81'
- 12
Coach
Ricardo Rodríguez
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 3
-
13
Ryohei Shirasaki ↓ Kei Koizumi 59'
- 10
- 40
-
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↓ Hwang Seokho 40'
-
31
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Shinya Nakano 70'
- 22
-
44
Keiya Sento ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 70'
- 24
- 9
Bench
-
20
Hwang Seokho ↑ 40'
-
37
Kei Koizumi ↑ 59'
- 1
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 70'
-
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 70'
-
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 70'
- 50
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keita Yamashita | 3 |
| Shinzo Koroki | 2 |
| Yusuke Matsuo | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 2 |
| Yuki Muto | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 1 |
| Thiago Santana | 1 |
Head to Head
Urawa Red Diamonds Form
2021-08-14
Urawa Red Diamonds
2–1
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2021-08-09
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
L
2021-07-10
Ōita FC Trinita
1–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
L
2021-07-03
Vegalta Sendai
0–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2021-06-27
Urawa Red Diamonds
2–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2021-06-23
Kashiwa Reysol
0–2
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56
Urawa Red Diamonds xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Urawa Red Diamonds win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw
76%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
50%
Urawa Red Diamonds or Sagan Tosu FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Urawa Red Diamonds
| Handicap | Urawa Red Diamonds covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

