Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 18:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Valenciennes FC H 2–1 W
11 Mar Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–3 L
06 Mar FC Sochaux-Montbéliard H 0–0 D
25 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 2–1 W
18 Feb Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–1 W
13 Feb FC Metz A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar SM Caen A 1–2 L
11 Mar SC Bastia H 2–2 D
04 Mar US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 1–1 D
25 Feb Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 2–2 D
18 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football H 0–0 D
11 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 1–3 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. SM Caen get us underway at Stade Michel d'Ornano.
  • 5' Valenciennes FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 9' Bilal Brahimi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
  • 14' The 26-year-old Godson Kyeremeh has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' GOAL! Ugo Bonnet scores on 30.
  • 35' Allan Linguet is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Valenciennes FC tonight.
  • 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. SM Caen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' It is a cagey affair so far. SM Caen in their trying to find a way past Valenciennes FC's compact .
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Alex Mendy on 55 minutes.
  • 55' The supporters are chanting for Quentin Daubin. He replaces Anton Saletros on 55 minute.
  • 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aymen Boutoutaou made 367 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 63' That is a Yellow card for SM Caen. Hugo Vandermersch will be fuming at that decision.
  • 63' SM Caen ring the changes. Godson Kyeremeh has done his job and it is now time for Moussa Sylla to step up.
  • 64' Djibril Diani gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Hianga Mananga Mbock and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Valenciennes FC backline.
  • 74' Hianga Mananga Mbock needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 75' Valenciennes FC ring the changes. Salim Ben Seghir has done his job and it is now time for Lorng Nomel to step up.
  • 76' SM Caen make a change. Bilal Brahimi trudges off to be replaced by Norman Bassette on 76 minutes.
  • 77' A stunning finish from Alex Mendy — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 82' Mathieu Debuchy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 84' Valenciennes FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mathis Picouleau is hanging Julien Masson on the field on 84 minute.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Marius Noubissi. He replaces Aymen Boutoutaou on 87 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mohamed Hafid on 90 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen48% Draw27% Valenciennes FC25%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
52%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen31% Draw49% Valenciennes FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.