Sunday , 16 August 2026

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 18:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Valenciennes FC H 2–1 W
11 Mar Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–3 L
06 Mar FC Sochaux-Montbéliard H 0–0 D
25 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 2–1 W
18 Feb Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–1 W
13 Feb FC Metz A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar SM Caen A 1–2 L
11 Mar SC Bastia H 2–2 D
04 Mar US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 1–1 D
25 Feb Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 2–2 D
18 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football H 0–0 D
11 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 1–3 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stade Michel d'Ornano. SM Caen are looking to make home advantage count against Valenciennes FC.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 9' SM Caen is taking the lead after the goal scored by Bilal Brahimi on 9.
  • 14' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 19' A quiet spell here at Stade Michel d'Ornano. Valenciennes FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' Magnificent from Ugo Bonnet! That is 30 goals in 241 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 50' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 55' Alex Mendy catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 55.
  • 55' The whistle greets Anton Saletros as he departs to be replaced by Quentin Daubin.
  • 60' Salim Ben Seghir needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Hugo Vandermersch.
  • 63' Time for substitution for SM Caen. Godson Kyeremeh is replaced by Moussa Sylla.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Djibril Diani. He replaces Hianga Mananga Mbock on 64 minute.
  • 69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 74' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SM Caen and Valenciennes FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 75' It is a substitution in Valenciennes FC team. Salim Ben Seghir is replaced by Lorng Nomel on 75 minute.
  • 76' SM Caen make a change. Bilal Brahimi trudges off to be replaced by Norman Bassette on 76 minutes.
  • 77' Alex Mendy does the damage! The net is bulging and SM Caen surge ahead!
  • 82' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 84' Valenciennes FC make a change. Julien Masson trudges off to be replaced by Mathis Picouleau on 84 minutes.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Valenciennes FC. Aymen Boutoutaou is replaced by Marius Noubissi.
  • 90' Mohamed Hafid catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen48% Draw27% Valenciennes FC25%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
52%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen31% Draw49% Valenciennes FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
36%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.