Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 18:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Valenciennes FC H 2–1 W
11 Mar Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–3 L
06 Mar FC Sochaux-Montbeliard H 0–0 D
25 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 2–1 W
18 Feb Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–1 W
13 Feb FC Metz A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar SM Caen A 1–2 L
11 Mar SC Bastia H 2–2 D
04 Mar US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 1–1 D
25 Feb Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 2–2 D
18 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football H 0–0 D
11 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 1–3 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stade Michel d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and Valenciennes FC.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 9' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bilal Brahimi makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 14' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 19' SM Caen have won 298 goals from 399 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
  • 30' The France Ugo Bonnet breaks the deadlock on 30 minutes. 1-1!
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' SM Caen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' Ali El Abdi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 33 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. SM Caen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 55' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Alex Mendy on 55 minutes.
  • 55' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Anton Saletros is replaced by Quentin Daubin on 55 minute.
  • 60' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 63' Hugo Vandermersch is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
  • 63' Time for substitution for SM Caen. Godson Kyeremeh is replaced by Moussa Sylla.
  • 64' The SM Caen bench stirs into life. Hianga Mananga Mbock is withdrawn and Djibril Diani gets his opportunity.
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Stefan Bajic, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Michel d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 74' Valenciennes FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Valenciennes FC team. Salim Ben Seghir is replaced by Lorng Nomel on 75 minute.
  • 76' Norman Bassette gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Bilal Brahimi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Alex Mendy doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 82' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 84' Valenciennes FC make a change. Julien Masson trudges off to be replaced by Mathis Picouleau on 84 minutes.
  • 87' Valenciennes FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marius Noubissi is hanging Aymen Boutoutaou on the field on 87 minute.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mohamed Hafid.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen48% Draw27% Valenciennes FC25%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
52%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen31% Draw49% Valenciennes FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
36%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.