Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Valenciennes FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Sat 11 Mar 2023 · 18:00 UTC Stade du Hainaut HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Valenciennes FC A 2–2 D
04 Mar Nimes Olympique H 4–2 W
25 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–0 W
18 Feb En Avant Guingamp H 1–1 D
11 Feb US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 0–1 L
03 Feb SM Caen A 1–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stade du Hainaut. Valenciennes FC are looking to make home advantage count against SC Bastia.
  • 4' The Cameroon centre-forward Frank Magri breaks the deadlock on 4 minutes. 0-1!
  • 9' It looks like no one’s ball. Valenciennes FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 14' Valenciennes FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Mathieu Debuchy.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Julien Masson made 367 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' The deadlock is broken! Adrian Grbic gets on the scoresheet on 25 minutes.
  • 30' Allan Linguet picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 35' SC Bastia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ilyes Hamache suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' SC Bastia have won 197 goals from 174 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 48' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Adrian Grbic makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 53' Valenciennes FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Bastia backline.
  • 58' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 63' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Sebastien Salles Lamonge as he leaves the pitch. Benjamin Santelli steps in for SC Bastia.
  • 68' SC Bastia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Florian Bohnert is hanging Lloyd Palun on the field on 68 minute.
  • 69' Goal! Frank Magri scores his 30 goal in 174 matches.
  • 72' The Valenciennes FC bench stirs into life. Julien Masson is withdrawn and Jason Berthomier gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Kapitbafan Djoco is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Valenciennes FC tonight.
  • 79' Mathis Picouleau has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 79.
  • 84' Time for substitution for SC Bastia. Kapitbafan Djoco is replaced by Migouel Alfarela.
  • 86' Another change for Valenciennes FC made on 86 minute. Aymen Boutoutaou leaves to be changed by Ugo Bonnet.
  • 90' The SC Bastia bench stirs into life. Kylian Kaiboue is withdrawn and Anthony Roncaglia gets his opportunity.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Valenciennes FC 2-2 SC Bastia.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or SC Bastia 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valenciennes FC41% Draw28% SC Bastia31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
68%
Draw or SC Bastia
59%
Valenciennes FC or SC Bastia
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC28% Draw47% SC Bastia25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.