Sunday , 16 August 2026

Valenciennes FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Sat 11 Mar 2023 · 18:00 UTC Stade du Hainaut HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Valenciennes FC A 2–2 D
04 Mar Nimes Olympique H 4–2 W
25 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–0 W
18 Feb En Avant Guingamp H 1–1 D
11 Feb US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 0–1 L
03 Feb SM Caen A 1–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or SC Bastia 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valenciennes FC41% Draw28% SC Bastia31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
68%
Draw or SC Bastia
59%
Valenciennes FC or SC Bastia
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC28% Draw47% SC Bastia25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
28%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.