Saturday , 14 November 2026

Valenciennes FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Sat 11 Mar 2023 · 18:00 UTC Stade du Hainaut HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs SC Bastia — Ligue 2 at Stade du Hainaut.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Valenciennes FC A 2–2 D
04 Mar Nimes Olympique H 4–2 W
25 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football A 2–0 W
18 Feb En Avant Guingamp H 1–1 D
11 Feb US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 0–1 L
03 Feb SM Caen A 1–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stade du Hainaut as Valenciennes FC face off against SC Bastia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 4' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Frank Magri makes it 0-1.
  • 9' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mathieu Debuchy made 439 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 14' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mathieu Debuchy on 15.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Julien Masson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Bastia.
  • 25' Against the run of play, Adrian Grbic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 30' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Allan Linguet.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Valenciennes FC in their trying to find a way past SC Bastia's compact .
  • 40' The travelling SC Bastia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' Valenciennes FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SC Bastia's shape.
  • 48' Adrian Grbic doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 53' Migouel Alfarela is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Bastia so far.
  • 58' It’s high time Regis Brouard made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. Valenciennes FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 67' Benjamin Santelli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sebastien Salles Lamonge on 67 minute.
  • 68' Lloyd Palun makes way for Florian Bohnert at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Bastia.
  • 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Frank Magri makes it 2-2.
  • 72' Jason Berthomier has so much to prove this time. He replaces Julien Masson on 72 minute.
  • 77' A quiet spell here at Stade du Hainaut. Valenciennes FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 79' Mathis Picouleau picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Kapitbafan Djoco as he leaves the pitch. Migouel Alfarela steps in for SC Bastia.
  • 86' Time for substitution for Valenciennes FC. Aymen Boutoutaou is replaced by Ugo Bonnet.
  • 90' The SC Bastia manager makes a substitution. Kylian Kaiboue departs to be replaced by Anthony Roncaglia.
  • 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or SC Bastia 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valenciennes FC41% Draw28% SC Bastia31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
68%
Draw or SC Bastia
59%
Valenciennes FC or SC Bastia
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC28% Draw47% SC Bastia25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.