Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2021-22
Sat 2 Oct 2021 · 17:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Valenciennes FC H 1–2 L
27 Sep Toulouse FC A 3–2 W
21 Sep Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 0–1 L
18 Sep SC Bastia A 1–1 D
11 Sep Pau FC H 1–2 L
28 Aug Nimes Olympique A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct SM Caen A 2–1 W
24 Sep Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 1–0 W
21 Sep SC Bastia H 2–1 W
18 Sep Pau FC A 1–1 D
11 Sep US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 1–2 L
28 Aug Toulouse FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Valenciennes FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks surprising Valenciennes FC does not make any changes. Floyd Ayite has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Valenciennes FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 16' The deadlock is broken! Ali El Abdi gets on the scoresheet on 16 minutes.
  • 18' Fresh legs for Valenciennes FC! Abou Ouattara comes on to replace Baptiste Guillaume.
  • 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SM Caen that had 399 games and scored 298 goals.
  • 28' Valenciennes FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 29' Magnificent from Gaetan Robail! That is 26 goals in 367 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 31' It’s a booking for Valenciennes FC player. Mathieu Debuchy gets a Yellow card.
  • 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Franklin Wadja is replaced by Steve Shamal on 46 minute.
  • 51' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 58' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Johann Lepenant is replaced by Anthony Goncalves on 58 minute.
  • 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. SM Caen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 64' Andreas Hountondji is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alex Mendy at the 64 minute mark.
  • 69' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 71' Another change for Valenciennes FC made on 71 minute. Floyd Ayite leaves to be changed by Ismael Doukoure.
  • 73' The referee calls foul for Anthony Goncalves. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 78' SM Caen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Gaetan Robail on 81 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Valenciennes FC will be frustrated.
  • 83' A change in the SM Caen ranks — Yoel Armougom exits the field as Zeidane Inoussa enters on 83.
  • 88' SM Caen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • Valenciennes FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.99 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen30% Draw31% Valenciennes FC39%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
61%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
70%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen21% Draw52% Valenciennes FC27%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.