Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2021-22
Sat 2 Oct 2021 · 17:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Valenciennes FC H 1–2 L
27 Sep Toulouse FC A 3–2 W
21 Sep Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 0–1 L
18 Sep SC Bastia A 1–1 D
11 Sep Pau FC H 1–2 L
28 Aug Nimes Olympique A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct SM Caen A 2–1 W
24 Sep Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 1–0 W
21 Sep SC Bastia H 2–1 W
18 Sep Pau FC A 1–1 D
11 Sep US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 1–2 L
28 Aug Toulouse FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade Michel d'Ornano that hosts another battle between SM Caen and Valenciennes FC.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SM Caen and Valenciennes FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 16' Brilliant from the ! Ali El Abdi makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 16.
  • 18' Another change for Valenciennes FC made on 18 minute. Baptiste Guillaume leaves to be changed by Abou Ouattara.
  • 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Valenciennes FC that had 367 games and scored 259 goals.
  • 28' SM Caen are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Valenciennes FC's shape.
  • 29' Brilliant from the ! Gaetan Robail makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 29.
  • 31' Valenciennes FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 41' Valenciennes FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Another change for SM Caen made on 46 minute. Franklin Wadja leaves to be changed by Steve Shamal.
  • 51' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mathieu Debuchy suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' Fresh legs for SM Caen! Anthony Goncalves comes on to replace Johann Lepenant.
  • 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 64' Alex Mendy makes way for Andreas Hountondji at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from SM Caen.
  • 69' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Ismael Doukoure. He replaces Floyd Ayite on 71 minute.
  • 73' That is a Yellow card for SM Caen. Anthony Goncalves will be fuming at that decision.
  • 78' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 81' Poor challenge from Gaetan Robail. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 83' A tactical swap from SM CaenZeidane Inoussa on, Yoel Armougom off on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Jessy Deminguet needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 31 Yellow cards this season.
  • 1-2 the final result. SM Caen will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.99 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen30% Draw31% Valenciennes FC39%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
61%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
70%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen21% Draw52% Valenciennes FC27%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
31%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.