Saturday , 14 November 2026

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2020-21
Tue 2 Feb 2021 · 19:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45+3' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC — Ligue 2 at Stade Michel d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Gael Angoula
  • Referee Paul Cravo
  • Referee Kevin Barbin
  • Referee Cyril Saint-Cricq Lompre
6 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 8.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb Valenciennes FC H 1–1 D
30 Jan FC Chambly Oise A 2–4 L
23 Jan Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–2 L
16 Jan AC Ajaccio A 0–1 L
11 Jan Toulouse FC H 2–2 D
05 Jan AJ Auxerre A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb SM Caen A 1–1 D
30 Jan USL Dunkerque H 1–0 W
26 Jan Paris FC H 2–0 W
23 Jan La Berrichonne de Chateauroux A 3–3 D
08 Jan Le Havre AC A 2–0 W
05 Jan AS Nancy-Lorraine H 2–3 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Valenciennes FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Moussa Guel adds to his 0 season tally! Valenciennes FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 10' Yacine Bammou needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 12 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' SM Caen have won 298 goals from 399 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 31' It’s a booking for SM Caen player. Jessy Deminguet gets a Yellow card.
  • 34' Theo Pellenard picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 39' Ismael Doukoure has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 367 appearances.
  • 44' It looks like no one’s ball. Valenciennes FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 49' It’s high time Pascal Dupraz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 51' Valenciennes FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 52' What a strike from Yacine Bammou! The score is 1-1.
  • 55' Kevin Cabral gets the nod from Valenciennes FC. He replaces Issouf Macalou and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 60' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Valenciennes FC backline.
  • 64' A tactical swap from SM Caen — Steeve Yago on, Anthony Goncalves off on 64 minutes.
  • 65' That is a Yellow card for Valenciennes FC. Emmanuel Ntim will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' The whistle greets Yacine Bammou as he departs to be replaced by Benjamin Jeannot.
  • 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 76' Aly Abeid has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joffrey Cuffaut on 76 minute.
  • 81' The 26-year-old Caleb Zady Sery has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 86' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Alex Mendy.
  • 90' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alexis Beka Beka is hanging Johann Lepenant on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.14 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Valenciennes FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen33% Draw31% Valenciennes FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
63%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
67%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen24% Draw50% Valenciennes FC26%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.