Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2020-21
Tue 2 Feb 2021 · 19:00 UTC Stade Michel d'Ornano HT 45+3' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Valenciennes FC — Ligue 2 at Stade Michel d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Gael Angoula
  • Referee Paul Cravo
  • Referee Kevin Barbin
  • Referee Cyril Saint-Cricq Lompre
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb Valenciennes FC H 1–1 D
30 Jan FC Chambly Oise A 2–4 L
23 Jan Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–2 L
16 Jan AC Ajaccio A 0–1 L
11 Jan Toulouse FC H 2–2 D
05 Jan AJ Auxerre A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb SM Caen A 1–1 D
30 Jan USL Dunkerque H 1–0 W
26 Jan Paris FC H 2–0 W
23 Jan La Berrichonne de Chateauroux A 3–3 D
08 Jan Le Havre AC A 2–0 W
05 Jan AS Nancy-Lorraine H 2–3 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' SM Caen have kicked off against Valenciennes FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' A goal from the Ivory Coast international Moussa Guel! He fires home on 5 to make it 0-1!
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SM Caen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SM Caen and Valenciennes FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' Jessy Deminguet was booked on 31.
  • 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Theo Pellenard on 34.
  • 39' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Valenciennes FC backline.
  • 44' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 49' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 51' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Maxime Spano on 51 minutes.
  • 52' Yacine Bammou does the damage! The net is bulging and SM Caen surge ahead!
  • 55' Kevin Cabral gets the nod from Valenciennes FC. He replaces Issouf Macalou and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 60' Jaba Kankava is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Valenciennes FC tonight.
  • 64' SM Caen ring the changes. Anthony Goncalves has done his job and it is now time for Steeve Yago to step up.
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Emmanuel Ntim. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 70' Another change for SM Caen made on 70 minute. Yacine Bammou leaves to be changed by Benjamin Jeannot.
  • 75' The travelling Valenciennes FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 76' The whistle greets Joffrey Cuffaut as he departs to be replaced by Aly Abeid.
  • 81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Johann Lepenant made 399 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 86' Alex Mendy picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' SM Caen ring the changes. Johann Lepenant has done his job and it is now time for Alexis Beka Beka to step up.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.14 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Valenciennes FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen33% Draw31% Valenciennes FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
63%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
67%
SM Caen or Valenciennes FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen24% Draw50% Valenciennes FC26%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.