SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe SK, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION
Overview
Match Preview
SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce SK — Champions League Q at Merkur-Arena.
- SK Sturm Graz 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Fenerbahce SK 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alejandro Hernandez
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug | Fenerbahçe SK | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jul | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Jan | SK Brann | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Dec | FK Crvena Zvezda | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug | SK Sturm Graz | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Jul | Górnik Zabrze | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | Górnik Zabrze | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Feb | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Feb | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Jan | FCSB Bukarest | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
67%
Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
SK Sturm Graz this season
67%
Clean Sheets
Fenerbahçe SK this season
Fenerbahçe SK this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fenerbahçe SK
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Merkur-Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Nathan Ake has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daniil Khudyakov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for fenerbahce sk.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' It looks surprising fenerbahce sk does not make any changes. Mert Gunok has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Luca Weinhandl has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 35' Archie Brown is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for fenerbahce sk tonight.
- 40' Nelson Semedo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Archie Brown.
- 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 55' Milan Skriniar needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. sk sturm graz needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 65' sk sturm graz started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
- 66' Talisca adds to his 1 season tally! Fenerbahce SK lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 71' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ismail Kartal might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 76' It’s high time Ismail Kartal made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 80' It’s a booking for SK Sturm Graz player. Fabio Ingolitsch gets a card.
- 84' The referee calls foul for Jeyland Mitchell. He receives a card.
- 89' Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- It finishes all square. sk sturm graz and fenerbahce sk share the spoils 0-1.
Lineups
SK Sturm Graz Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 53
- 18
-
11
Axel Kayombo ↓ Nelson Weiper 61'
-
20
Seedy Jatta ↓ Belmin Beganovic 61'
-
23
Arjan Malic ↓ Jurgen Heil 61'
- 2
- 43
- 39
-
21
Petar Petrovic ↓ Paul Koller 79'
- 19
Bench
-
30
Paul Koller ↑ 79'
- 5
- 17
- 22
-
28
Jurgen Heil ↑ 61'
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 61'
- 40
- 41
-
80
Ryan Fosso ↑ 70'
-
26
Belmin Beganovic ↑ 61'
- 15
- 27
Coach
Fabio Ingolitsch
Fenerbahce SK Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 15
-
91
N'Golo Kante ↓ Ismail Yuksek 73'
-
27
Nelson Semedo ↓ Mert Muldur 62'
-
10
Marco Asensio ↓ Fred 63'
- 37
- 34
-
11
Mason Greenwood ↓ Oguz Aydin 63'
- 9
- 3
-
94
Talisca ↓ Vedat Muriqi 77'
Bench
- 4
-
7
Fred ↑ 63'
-
18
Mert Muldur ↑ 62'
-
19
Vedat Muriqi ↑ 77'
-
5
Ismail Yuksek ↑ 73'
-
70
Oguz Aydin ↑ 63'
- 14
- 17
- 26
- 13
Coach
Ismail Kartal
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03
SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Fenerbahce SK xG
I would bet for:
SK Sturm Graz or Fenerbahce SK 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fenerbahce SK win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
SK Sturm Graz or Draw
66%
Draw or Fenerbahce SK
67%
SK Sturm Graz or Fenerbahce SK
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz
| Handicap | SK Sturm Graz covers | Push | Fenerbahce SK covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 20% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Fenerbahce SK keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

