Wednesday , 12 August 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe SK, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Tue 11 Aug 2026 · 18:30 UTC Merkur-Arena 15,599 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 66' Talisca pen

Overview

Match Preview

SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce SKChampions League Q at Merkur-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug Fenerbahçe SK H 0–1 L
28 Jul Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–0 W
21 Jul Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
29 Jan SK Brann H 1–0 W
22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–3 L
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug SK Sturm Graz A 1–0 W
29 Jul Górnik Zabrze A 1–1 D
21 Jul Górnik Zabrze H 0–0 D
26 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 2–1 W
19 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 0–3 L
29 Jan FCSB Bukarest A 1–1 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
67% Clean Sheets
Fenerbahçe SK this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
2/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fenerbahçe SK
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Merkur-Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Nathan Ake has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daniil Khudyakov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for fenerbahce sk.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' It looks surprising fenerbahce sk does not make any changes. Mert Gunok has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Luca Weinhandl has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' Archie Brown is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for fenerbahce sk tonight.
  • 40' Nelson Semedo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Archie Brown.
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 55' Milan Skriniar needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. sk sturm graz needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' sk sturm graz started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
  • 66' Talisca adds to his 1 season tally! Fenerbahce SK lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 71' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ismail Kartal might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 76' It’s high time Ismail Kartal made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 80' It’s a booking for SK Sturm Graz player. Fabio Ingolitsch gets a card.
  • 84' The referee calls foul for Jeyland Mitchell. He receives a card.
  • 89' Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • It finishes all square. sk sturm graz and fenerbahce sk share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Fenerbahce SK xG
I would bet for: SK Sturm Graz or Fenerbahce SK 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz33% Draw32% Fenerbahce SK35%
Actual: Fenerbahce SK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
66%
Draw or Fenerbahce SK
67%
SK Sturm Graz or Fenerbahce SK
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SK Sturm Graz23% Draw54% Fenerbahce SK23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push Fenerbahce SK covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
37%
Fenerbahce SK keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.