Tuesday , 28 July 2026

53 - Heart of Midlothian FC vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Tue 28 Jul 2026 · 18:45 UTC Tynecastle Park
0–1 26' Seedy Jatta

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs SK Sturm GrazChampions League Q at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Andris Treimanis
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Heart of Midlothian FC 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals SK Sturm Graz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
16 May Celtic FC A 1–3 L
13 May Falkirk FC H 3–0 W
09 May Motherwell FC A 1–1 D
04 May Rangers FC H 2–1 W
26 Apr Hibernian FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
29 Jan SK Brann H 1–0 W
22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–3 L
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 0–1 L
27 Nov Panathinaikos AO A 1–2 L
06 Nov Nottingham Forest FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
100% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Tynecastle Park. Heart of Midlothian FC are looking to make home advantage count against SK Sturm Graz.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jon Gorenc-Stankovic made 369 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The travelling SK Sturm Graz supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Sabri Guendouz has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 26' Seedy Jatta does the damage! The net is bulging and SK Sturm Graz surge ahead!
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heart of Midlothian FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' Heart of Midlothian FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SK Sturm Graz's shape.
  • 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' The Heart of Midlothian FC bench stirs into life. Stephen Kingsley is withdrawn and Stuart Findlay gets his opportunity.
  • 46' SK Sturm Graz ring the changes. Luca Weinhandl has done his job and it is now time for Ryan Fosso to step up.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Heart of Midlothian FC in their trying to find a way past SK Sturm Graz's compact .

Lineups

Predictions

1.47 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

Heart of Midlothian FC49% Draw28% SK Sturm Graz23%

Both Teams to Score

Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.33

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
77%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
51%
Heart of Midlothian FC or SK Sturm Graz
72%

Half-Time Result

Heart of Midlothian FC34% Draw50% SK Sturm Graz16%

Correct Score

1 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
11.8%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
43%
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.