SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce SK, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION
Overview
Match Preview
SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce SK — Champions League Q at Merkur-Arena.
- SK Sturm Graz 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Fenerbahce SK 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alejandro Hernandez
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug | Fenerbahce SK | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jul | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Jan | SK Brann | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Dec | FK Crvena Zvezda | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug | SK Sturm Graz | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Jul | Górnik Zabrze | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | Górnik Zabrze | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Feb | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Feb | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Jan | FCSB Bukarest | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
67%
Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
SK Sturm Graz this season
67%
Clean Sheets
Fenerbahce SK this season
Fenerbahce SK this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fenerbahce SK
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fenerbahce SK
| Talisca | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. SK Sturm Graz get us underway at Merkur-Arena.
- 5' SK Sturm Graz seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' SK Sturm Graz have won 40 goals from 145 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Merkur-Arena. SK Sturm Graz seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matteo Guendouzi, as he is very good at scoring at Merkur-Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' SK Sturm Graz are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fenerbahçe SK's shape.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' Nelson Semedo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 40.
- 45' Archie Brown has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 50' SK Sturm Graz is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 55' SK Sturm Graz currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 60' Vedat Muriqi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Nelson Weiper. He replaces Axel Kayombo on 61 minute.
- 62' Mert Muldur gets the nod from Fenerbahce SK. He replaces Nelson Semedo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 63' The Fenerbahce SK bench stirs into life. Mason Greenwood is withdrawn and Oguz Aydin gets his opportunity.
- 66' A stunning finish from Talisca — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 70' SK Sturm Graz make a change. Jon Gorenc-Stankovic trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Fosso on 70 minutes.
- 73' The Fenerbahce SK bench stirs into life. N'Golo Kante is withdrawn and Ismail Yuksek gets his opportunity.
- 77' The Fenerbahce SK bench stirs into life. Talisca is withdrawn and Vedat Muriqi gets his opportunity.
- 79' Paul Koller is replacing Petar Petrovic for the SK Sturm Graz side.
- 80' Fabio Ingolitsch catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 80.
- 84' SK Sturm Graz player sees a card in front of him.
- 89' Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
- With this win, Fenerbahçe SK is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
SK Sturm Graz Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 53
- 18
-
11
Axel Kayombo ↓ Nelson Weiper 61'
-
20
Seedy Jatta ↓ Belmin Beganovic 61'
-
23
Arjan Malic ↓ Jurgen Heil 61'
- 2
- 43
- 39
-
21
Petar Petrovic ↓ Paul Koller 79'
- 19
Bench
-
30
Paul Koller ↑ 79'
- 5
- 17
- 22
-
28
Jurgen Heil ↑ 61'
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 61'
- 40
- 41
-
80
Ryan Fosso ↑ 70'
-
26
Belmin Beganovic ↑ 61'
- 15
- 27
Coach
Fabio Ingolitsch
Fenerbahce SK Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 15
-
91
N'Golo Kante ↓ Ismail Yuksek 73'
-
27
Nelson Semedo ↓ Mert Muldur 62'
-
10
Marco Asensio ↓ Fred 63'
- 37
- 34
-
11
Mason Greenwood ↓ Oguz Aydin 63'
- 9
- 3
-
94
Talisca ↓ Vedat Muriqi 77'
Bench
- 4
-
7
Fred ↑ 63'
-
18
Mert Muldur ↑ 62'
-
19
Vedat Muriqi ↑ 77'
-
5
Ismail Yuksek ↑ 73'
-
70
Oguz Aydin ↑ 63'
- 14
- 17
- 26
- 13
Coach
İsmail Kartal
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03
SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Fenerbahce SK xG
I would bet for:
SK Sturm Graz or Fenerbahce SK 68% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fenerbahce SK win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
SK Sturm Graz or Draw
66%
Draw or Fenerbahce SK
67%
SK Sturm Graz or Fenerbahce SK
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz
| Handicap | SK Sturm Graz covers | Push | Fenerbahce SK covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 20% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Fenerbahce SK keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.