Thursday , 10 September 2026

SC Corinthians Paulista vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 28 Jan 2026 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Corinthians Paulista vs EC BahiaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Anderson Daronco
7 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 9.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan EC Bahia H 1–2 L
07 Dec EC Juventude H 1–1 D
03 Dec Fortaleza EC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Botafogo FR H 2–2 D
23 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 0–3 L
20 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
07 Dec Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
03 Dec SC Recife H 2–0 W
28 Nov EC Juventude A 1–1 D
23 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
20 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–3 L

Season Stats

SC Corinthians Paulista EC Bahia
#11 Position #5
32 Points 43
26 Played 26
8 / 8 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 10 / 5
27 Scored 40
27 Conceded 32
+0 GD +8
1.23 PPG 1.65
31% Win % 42%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
SC Corinthians Paulista this season
38% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

SC Corinthians Paulista are 11th (32 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Corinthians Paulista
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/
61-75
/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 8 G 1 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Jean Lucas 3 G 3 A
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SC Corinthians Paulista Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.3 SC Corinthians Paulista xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: SC Corinthians Paulista or EC Bahia 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Corinthians Paulista36% Draw30% EC Bahia34%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SC Corinthians Paulista or Draw
66%
Draw or EC Bahia
64%
SC Corinthians Paulista or EC Bahia
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Corinthians Paulista27% Draw49% EC Bahia24%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — SC Corinthians Paulista

Handicap SC Corinthians Paulista covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Corinthians Paulista keeps clean sheet
31%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.