Sunday , 16 August 2026

EC Bahia vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 0
Full Time
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 23:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs SC RecifeSerie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec SC Recife H 2–0 W
28 Nov EC Juventude A 1–1 D
23 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
20 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–3 L
08 Nov SC Internacional A 2–2 D
05 Nov CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec EC Bahia A 0–2 L
29 Nov Santos FC A 0–3 L
23 Nov EC Vitoria H 1–3 L
18 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
15 Nov CR Flamengo H 1–5 L
08 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–4 L

Key Stats

18% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
18% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Arena Fonte Nova will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and SC Recife.
  • 5' SC Recife come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Brazil international Ademir Santos has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' Aderlan Silva, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past SC Recife's compact .
  • 30' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' The travelling SC Recife supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lucas Lima.
  • 40' Rodrigo Nestor has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 40 minutes.
  • 45' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SC Recife's shape.
  • 46' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Adriel is withdrawn and Pedro Augusto gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 54' Luciano Juba makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and EC Bahia are in front.
  • 59' Ronaldo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
  • 61' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 63' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Caio Alexandre comes on to replace Nicolas Acevedo.
  • 64' Erick makes way for Tiago at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Chrystian Barletta. He replaces Matheusinho on 67 minute.
  • 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Erick suffering a number of foals already.
  • 74' EC Bahia make a change. Everton Ribeiro trudges off to be replaced by Cauly on 74 minutes.
  • 75' SC Recife ring the changes. Aderlan Silva has done his job and it is now time for Matheus Alexandre to step up.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Ramon. He replaces Igor Carius on 76 minute.
  • 80' SC Recife make a change. Lucas Lima trudges off to be replaced by Goncalo Paciencia on 80 minutes.
  • 85' That is a card for EC Bahia. Santiago Ramos will be fuming at that decision.
  • 89' The referee calls foul for Luan Candido. He receives a card.
  • Another three points for EC Bahia.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia50% Draw28% SC Recife22%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or SC Recife
50%
EC Bahia or SC Recife
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia33% Draw50% SC Recife17%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
41%
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.