Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 0
Full Time
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 23:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs SC Recife — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec SC Recife H 2–0 W
28 Nov EC Juventude A 1–1 D
23 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
20 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–3 L
08 Nov SC Internacional A 2–2 D
05 Nov CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec EC Bahia A 0–2 L
29 Nov Santos FC A 0–3 L
23 Nov EC Vitoria H 1–3 L
18 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
15 Nov CR Flamengo H 1–5 L
08 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–4 L

Key Stats

18% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
18% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Bahia and SC Recife get this one started.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Willian Jose is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Recife.
  • 10' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and SC Recife are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' SC Recife fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Matheus Alexandre has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 38' Lucas Lima is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
  • 40' GOAL! Rodrigo Nestor fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' SC Recife manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pedro Augusto is hanging Adriel on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 54' Luciano Juba adds to his 7 season tally! EC Bahia lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 59' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 61' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 63' Caio Alexandre is replacing Nicolas Acevedo for the EC Bahia side.
  • 64' Tiago gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Erick and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Chrystian Barletta. He replaces Matheusinho on 67 minute.
  • 72' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 74' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Everton Ribeiro exits the field as Cauly enters on 74.
  • 75' Another change for SC Recife made on 75 minute. Aderlan Silva leaves to be changed by Matheus Alexandre.
  • 76' The SC Recife manager makes a substitution. Igor Carius departs to be replaced by Ramon.
  • 80' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Lucas Lima is withdrawn and Goncalo Paciencia gets his opportunity.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Santiago Ramos on 85.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Luan Candido argues furiously but the card stands.
  • With this win, EC Bahia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia50% Draw28% SC Recife22%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or SC Recife
50%
EC Bahia or SC Recife
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia33% Draw50% SC Recife17%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.