EC Bahia vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | SC Recife | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Nov | EC Juventude | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | EC Bahia | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 1–5 | L |
| 08 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 2–4 | L |
Key Stats
18%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Bahia and SC Recife get this one started.
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Willian Jose is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Recife.
- 10' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and SC Recife are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' SC Recife fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Matheus Alexandre has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 38' Lucas Lima is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
- 40' GOAL! Rodrigo Nestor fires home to make it 1-0!
- 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' SC Recife manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pedro Augusto is hanging Adriel on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 54' Luciano Juba adds to his 7 season tally! EC Bahia lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 59' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
- 63' Caio Alexandre is replacing Nicolas Acevedo for the EC Bahia side.
- 64' Tiago gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Erick and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Chrystian Barletta. He replaces Matheusinho on 67 minute.
- 72' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 74' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Everton Ribeiro exits the field as Cauly enters on 74.
- 75' Another change for SC Recife made on 75 minute. Aderlan Silva leaves to be changed by Matheus Alexandre.
- 76' The SC Recife manager makes a substitution. Igor Carius departs to be replaced by Ramon.
- 80' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Lucas Lima is withdrawn and Goncalo Paciencia gets his opportunity.
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Santiago Ramos on 85.
- 89' Controversy at the stadium! Luan Candido argues furiously but the card stands.
- With this win, EC Bahia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Cauly 74'
- 7
- 4
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Ruan Pablo 74'
- 13
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Erick 75'
- 21
- 46
- 26
- 16
Bench
- 2
-
8
Cauly ↑ 74'
- 1
- 25
-
14
Erick ↑ 75'
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↑ 63'
- 37
- 5
- 3
-
77
Tiago ↑ 64'
- 44
-
52
Ruan Pablo ↑ 74'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
16
Igor Carius ↓ Ramon 76'
-
10
Lucas Lima ↓ Goncalo Paciencia 80'
- 36
- 11
- 22
- 17
- 13
- 14
-
54
Adriel ↓ Pedro Augusto 46'
Bench
-
40
Ramon ↑ 76'
-
33
Matheus Alexandre ↑ 75'
-
7
Goncalo Paciencia ↑ 80'
- 27
- 42
- 9
-
28
Pedro Augusto ↑ 46'
- 6
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 67'
- 20
- 32
Coach
Cesar Lucena
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hernane Brocador | 1 |
| Marcao Almeida | 1 |
| Gregore | 1 |
| Claudio Winck | 1 |
| Saldanha | 1 |
| Douglas | 1 |
| Thiago Neves | 1 |
| Claudio Winck | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
SC Recife xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or SC Recife
50%
EC Bahia or SC Recife
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SC Recife covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 24% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
