Thursday , 2 July 2026

EC Bahia vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 0
Full Time
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 23:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs SC RecifeSerie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec SC Recife H 2–0 W
28 Nov EC Juventude A 1–1 D
23 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
20 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–3 L
08 Nov SC Internacional A 2–2 D
05 Nov CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec EC Bahia A 0–2 L
29 Nov Santos FC A 0–3 L
23 Nov EC Vitoria H 1–3 L
18 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
15 Nov CR Flamengo H 1–5 L
08 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–4 L

Key Stats

18% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
18% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
1/
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. EC Bahia is hosting SC Recife for another epic battle.
  • 5' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 38' The referee shows SC Recife player a card on 38.
  • 40' Goal! Rodrigo Nestor scores his 9 goal in 371 matches.
  • 45' It looks surprising SC Recife does not make any changes. Ronaldo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' It is a substitution in SC Recife team. Adriel is replaced by Pedro Augusto on 46 minute.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' What a strike from Luciano Juba! The score is 2-0.
  • 59' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 61' The referee shows SC Recife player a card on 61.
  • 63' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Nicolas Acevedo is replaced by Caio Alexandre.
  • 64' Tiago has so much to prove this time. He replaces Erick on 64 minute.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Chrystian Barletta. He replaces Matheusinho on 67 minute.
  • 72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
  • 74' Cauly is replacing Everton Ribeiro for the EC Bahia side.
  • 75' The whistle greets Aderlan Silva as he departs to be replaced by Matheus Alexandre.
  • 76' The SC Recife manager makes a substitution. Igor Carius departs to be replaced by Ramon.
  • 80' SC Recife manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Goncalo Paciencia is hanging Lucas Lima on the field on 80 minute.
  • 85' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 89' SC Recife player sees a card in front of him.
  • The final score is 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia50% Draw28% SC Recife22%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
78%
Draw or SC Recife
50%
EC Bahia or SC Recife
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia33% Draw50% SC Recife17%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
41%
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.