EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Nov | Grêmio FBPA | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Arena Fonte Nova will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and Fortaleza EC.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Ademir Santos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 21 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' The travelling Fortaleza EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' What a strike from Adam Bareiro! The score is 0-1.
- 31' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adam Bareiro on 31.
- 36' GOAL! Jose Herrera scores on 36. Assisted by Tomas Pochettino
- 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 325 games and scored 348 goals.
- 45' Ademir Santos is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' Tiago has so much to prove this time. He replaces Erick on 46 minute.
- 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yago Pikachu made 287 appearances and scored 50 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 60' Everton Ribeiro has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Duarte on 60 minute.
- 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 66' Goal! Willian Jose scores his 69 goal in 348 matches.
- 71' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Adam Bareiro by Deyverson on 71 minute.
- 72' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Tomas Pochettino is replaced by Allanzinho.
- 75' Goal! Deyverson scores his 57 goal in 386 matches.
- 77' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 77.
- 78' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Breno Lopes departs to be replaced by Matheus Rossetto.
- 83' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Brenno Costa gets a card.
- 86' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Jose Herrera is replaced by Yago Pikachu on 86 minute.
- 88' What a strike from Tiago! The score is 2-3.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Pierre.
- 90' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Ademir Santos is replaced by Kayky on 90 minute.
- With this win, Fortaleza EC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 90'
- 2
- 12
- 14
-
33
David Duarte ↓ Everton Ribeiro 60'
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 60'
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 78'
- 13
- 25
- 34
- 11
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 46'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 90'
- 5
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 44
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↓ Allanzinho 72'
-
5
Matheus Pereira ↓ Pablo Barbosa 71'
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↓ Deyverson 71'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Matheus Rossetto 78'
- 14
- 30
- 34
-
80
Jose Herrera ↓ Yago Pikachu 86'
- 12
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 86'
-
20
Matheus Rossetto ↑ 78'
- 16
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 71'
- 23
- 9
- 2
- 91
- 4
-
70
Pablo Barbosa ↑ 71'
- 96
-
19
Allanzinho ↑ 72'
Coach
Martin Palermo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Tiago | 1 |
| Artur | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC 72% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
64%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
64%
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.