EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | São Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia are looking to make home advantage count against Fortaleza EC.
- 5' The 25-year-old Gaston Avila has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and Fortaleza EC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' The Paraguay Adam Bareiro breaks the deadlock on 30 minutes. 0-1!
- 31' That looks like a foul for a card for Adam Bareiro.
- 36' A stunning finish from Jose Herrera — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' Ademir Santos picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Erick departs to be replaced by Tiago.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 56' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 60' EC Bahia make a change. David Duarte trudges off to be replaced by Everton Ribeiro on 60 minutes.
- 65' Luciano Juba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 66' What composure from Willian Jose! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 71' Deyverson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adam Bareiro on 71 minute.
- 72' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Allanzinho is hanging Tomas Pochettino on the field on 72 minute.
- 75' Deyverson makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Fortaleza EC are in front.
- 77' It’s gonna be a card for Diogo Barbosa.
- 78' Matheus Rossetto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Breno Lopes on 78 minute.
- 83' Poor challenge from Brenno Costa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 86' The whistle greets Jose Herrera as he departs to be replaced by Yago Pikachu.
- 88' What composure from Tiago! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-3.
- 90' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 90.
- 90' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Kayky on, Ademir Santos off on 90 minutes.
- Fortaleza EC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 90'
- 2
- 12
- 14
-
33
David Duarte ↓ Everton Ribeiro 60'
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 60'
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 78'
- 13
- 25
- 34
- 11
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 46'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 90'
- 5
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 44
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↓ Allanzinho 72'
-
5
Matheus Pereira ↓ Pablo Barbosa 71'
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↓ Deyverson 71'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Matheus Rossetto 78'
- 14
- 30
- 34
-
80
Jose Herrera ↓ Yago Pikachu 86'
- 12
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 86'
-
20
Matheus Rossetto ↑ 78'
- 16
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 71'
- 23
- 9
- 2
- 91
- 4
-
70
Pablo Barbosa ↑ 71'
- 96
-
19
Allanzinho ↑ 72'
Coach
Martin Palermo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
| Matheus | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC 72% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
64%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
64%
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.