EC Bahia vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 23 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
- CR Vasco da Gama 21 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CR Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #18 |
| 34 | Points | 22 |
| 23 | Played | 21 |
| 8 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 7 / 9 |
| 32 | Scored | 23 |
| 28 | Conceded | 31 |
| +4 | GD | -8 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.05 |
| 35% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
19%
Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
CR Vasco da Gama this season
EC Bahia are 5th (34 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 18th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/4
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CR Vasco da Gama
| Carlos Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
| Thiago Mendes | 3 G | 1 A |
| Cauan Lucas | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. EC Bahia kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Santiago Arias needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' Erick has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 35' Poor challenge from Santiago Ramos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 40' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cauan Lucas on 45 minutes.
- 46' Time for substitution for CR Vasco da Gama. Matheus Franca is replaced by David.
- 48' The referee has no hesitation. Rayan is booked for CR Vasco da Gama — card on 48.
- 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Santiago Ramos made 178 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with EC Bahia winning 100% of all matches.
- 63' Jean Lucas, a Brazil , has 30 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 68' Controversy at the stadium! David argues furiously but the card stands.
- 70' Lucas Freitas gets the nod from CR Vasco da Gama. He replaces Nuno Moreira and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' Goal! Erick scores his 3 goal in 238 matches.
- 78' The crowd applauds Willian Jose as he leaves the pitch. Cauly steps in for EC Bahia.
- 83' Another change for CR Vasco da Gama made on 83 minute. Robert leaves to be changed by Pablo Vegetti.
- 84' Santiago Ramos picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 84' EC Bahia ring the changes. Erick has done his job and it is now time for Caio Alexandre to step up.
- 87' The whistle greets Cauan Lucas as he departs to be replaced by Tche Tche.
- 88' Nicolas Acevedo makes way for Gabriel Xavier at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tche Tche on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Michel Araujo 70'
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Tiago 70'
- 7
- 4
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Cauly 78'
- 13
- 21
- 46
- 26
-
16
Erick ↓ Caio Alexandre 84'
Bench
- 2
-
8
Cauly ↑ 78'
- 25
- 34
- 14
- 11
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↑ 84'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 70'
- 37
- 5
-
3
Gabriel Xavier ↑ 88'
-
77
Tiago ↑ 70'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CR Vasco da Gama Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Hugo Moura ↓ Tucurui 83'
- 6
- 46
- 96
-
17
Nuno Moreira ↓ Lucas Freitas 70'
-
9
Matheus Franca ↓ David 46'
-
30
Robert ↓ Pablo Vegetti 83'
- 11
- 1
-
88
Cauan Lucas ↓ Tche Tche 87'
- 77
Bench
-
7
David ↑ 46'
- 23
- 13
-
3
Tche Tche ↑ 87'
-
43
Lucas Freitas ↑ 70'
- 2
-
99
Pablo Vegetti ↑ 83'
- 29
- 18
-
85
Tucurui ↑ 83'
- 19
- 66
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Marrony | 2 |
| Dimitri Payet | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Ademir Santos | 2 |
| Yago Pikachu | 1 |
| Pablo Vegetti | 1 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.7
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
77%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
49%
EC Bahia or CR Vasco da Gama
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CR Vasco da Gama covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

