Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 23 Nov 2025 · 19:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 45' Cauan Lucas
Y 48' Rayan
R 68' David
Y 90' Tche Tche

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
20 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–3 L
08 Nov SC Internacional A 2–2 D
05 Nov CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
02 Nov RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
26 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov EC Bahia A 0–1 L
20 Nov Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
08 Nov EC Juventude H 1–3 L
05 Nov Botafogo FR A 0–3 L
02 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L
26 Oct RB Bragantino A 3–0 W

Season Stats

EC Bahia CR Vasco da Gama
#5 Position #16
46 Points 31
28 Played 27
12 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 12
43 Scored 34
35 Conceded 41
+8 GD -7
1.64 PPG 1.15
43% Win % 30%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 16th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Arena Fonte Nova will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and CR Vasco da Gama.
  • 5' EC Bahia have won 363 goals from 334 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 20' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CR Vasco da Gama backline.
  • 25' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' Erick is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CR Vasco da Gama tonight.
  • 35' Santiago Ramos has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
  • 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Cauan Lucas on 45 minutes earns him a card. CR Vasco da Gama will be frustrated.
  • 46' The CR Vasco da Gama bench stirs into life. Matheus Franca is withdrawn and David gets his opportunity.
  • 48' A moment of madness from Rayan on 48 minutes earns him a card. CR Vasco da Gama will be frustrated.
  • 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Freitas suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 63' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 68' Poor challenge from David. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 70' The CR Vasco da Gama bench stirs into life. Nuno Moreira is withdrawn and Lucas Freitas gets his opportunity.
  • 73' What a moment for Erick! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 78' Another change for EC Bahia made on 78 minute. Willian Jose leaves to be changed by Cauly.
  • 83' Fresh legs for CR Vasco da Gama! Pablo Vegetti comes on to replace Robert.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Santiago Ramos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 84' Caio Alexandre gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Erick and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Tche Tche gets the nod from CR Vasco da Gama. He replaces Cauan Lucas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Gabriel Xavier is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nicolas Acevedo at the 88 minute mark.
  • 90' Tche Tche was booked on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. EC Bahia take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia52% Draw25% CR Vasco da Gama23%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
77%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
48%
EC Bahia or CR Vasco da Gama
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia37% Draw44% CR Vasco da Gama19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.