Saturday , 14 November 2026

EC Bahia vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 23 Nov 2025 · 19:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 45' Cauan Lucas
Y 48' Rayan
R 68' David
Y 90' Tche Tche

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
20 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–3 L
08 Nov SC Internacional A 2–2 D
05 Nov CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
02 Nov RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
26 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov EC Bahia A 0–1 L
20 Nov Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
08 Nov EC Juventude H 1–3 L
05 Nov Botafogo FR A 0–3 L
02 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L
26 Oct RB Bragantino A 3–0 W

Season Stats

EC Bahia CR Vasco da Gama
#6 Position #13
53 Points 41
34 Played 33
14 / 11 / 9 W / D / L 11 / 8 / 14
50 Scored 43
45 Conceded 50
+5 GD -7
1.56 PPG 1.24
41% Win % 33%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
18% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 13th (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/4
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/8
61-75
6/7
76+
11/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 G 2 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 4 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. CR Vasco da Gama kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Santiago Arias has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' CR Vasco da Gama fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fernando Diniz will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' Nicolas Acevedo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CR Vasco da Gama tonight.
  • 30' CR Vasco da Gama are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' Poor challenge from Santiago Ramos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cauan Lucas on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Another substitution for CR Vasco da Gama to replace Matheus Franca by David on 46 minute.
  • 48' The referee shows CR Vasco da Gama player a card on 48.
  • 53' CR Vasco da Gama is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 58' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and CR Vasco da Gama are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
  • 68' David catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 68.
  • 70' Lucas Freitas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nuno Moreira at the 70 minute mark.
  • 73' Erick puts EC Bahia on the lead.
  • 78' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Cauly comes on to replace Willian Jose.
  • 83' CR Vasco da Gama ring the changes. Robert has done his job and it is now time for Pablo Vegetti to step up.
  • 84' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 84' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Caio Alexandre comes on to replace Erick.
  • 87' The CR Vasco da Gama manager makes a substitution. Cauan Lucas departs to be replaced by Tche Tche.
  • 88' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Nicolas Acevedo is replaced by Gabriel Xavier on 88 minute.
  • 90' Tche Tche picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • EC Bahia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia50% Draw25% CR Vasco da Gama25%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
75%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
50%
EC Bahia or CR Vasco da Gama
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia35% Draw44% CR Vasco da Gama21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
30% ✗
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.