Sunday , 16 August 2026

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Duro 27' 1–0
Roman Yaremchuk 30' 2–0
2–1 45+5' Vinicius Junior
2–2 76' Vinicius Junior

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D
17 Feb Sevilla FC H 0–0 D
10 Feb UD Las Palmas A 0–2 L
03 Feb UD Almería H 2–1 W
28 Jan Club Atlético de Madrid A 0–2 L
20 Jan Athletic Club H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Valencia CF A 2–2 D
25 Feb Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
13 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
10 Feb Girona FC H 4–0 W
04 Feb Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Valencia CF Real Madrid CF
#15 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Valencia CF are 15th (0 pts). Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio de Mestalla. Valencia CF are looking to make home advantage count against Real Madrid CF.
  • 4' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Roman Yaremchuk on 4 minutes.
  • 9' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 14' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 19' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 24' Real Madrid CF have won 775 goals from 545 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 27' Against the run of play, Hugo Duro has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 30' Magnificent from Roman Yaremchuk! That is 77 goals in 299 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Aurelien Tchouameni has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' It is a cagey affair so far. Valencia CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-3-1-2.
  • 50' What a strike from Vinicius Junior! The score is 2-1.
  • 55' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 57' A change in the Valencia CF ranks — Roman Yaremchuk exits the field as Diego Lopez enters on 57.
  • 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Luka Modric. He replaces Toni Kroos on 63 minute.
  • 68' Valencia CF are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's 4-3-1-2 shape.
  • 72' It’s gonna be a card for Vinicius Junior.
  • 73' The whistle greets Javier Guerra as he departs to be replaced by Selim Amallah.
  • 76' The Brazil Vinicius Junior breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 2-2!
  • 80' Federico Valverde is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
  • 83' Mouctar Diakhaby picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 86' Nacho is replacing Federico Valverde for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Mouctar Diakhaby as he leaves the pitch. Cenk Ozkacar steps in for Valencia CF.
  • It finishes all square. Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.59 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Real Madrid CF or Draw 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF26% Draw37% Real Madrid CF37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
63%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
74%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF13% Draw63% Real Madrid CF24%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.5%
0 – 1
18.8%
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
2.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
1.7%
3 – 1
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 16% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 25% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
42%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
56%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.