Saturday , 14 November 2026

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Duro 27' 1–0
Roman Yaremchuk 30' 2–0
2–1 45+5' Vinicius Junior
2–2 76' Vinicius Junior

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 6.3/game ⚽ 18.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D
17 Feb Sevilla FC H 0–0 D
10 Feb UD Las Palmas A 0–2 L
03 Feb UD Almeria H 2–1 W
28 Jan Club Atlético de Madrid A 0–2 L
20 Jan Athletic Club H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Valencia CF A 2–2 D
25 Feb Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
13 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
10 Feb Girona FC H 4–0 W
04 Feb Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Valencia CF Real Madrid CF
#19 Position #2
9 Points 30
12 Played 12
2 / 3 / 7 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 2
8 Scored 31
20 Conceded 10
-12 GD +21
0.75 PPG 2.50
17% Win % 83%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season
33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Valencia CF are 19th (9 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Valencia CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Valencia CF
Umar Sadiq 2 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 13 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 4 G 3 A
Arda Guler 3 G 4 A
Yan Diomande 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Valencia CF welcome Real Madrid CF for this crunch clash at Estadio de Mestalla.
  • 4' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Roman Yaremchuk on 4 minutes.
  • 9' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fran Garcia made 561 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 14' Nacho is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Valencia CF tonight.
  • 19' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 24' Jude Bellingham has been relatively quiet despite scoring 92 goals in his last 398 appearances.
  • 27' Hugo Duro is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 30' Roman Yaremchuk has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
  • 35' Valencia CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Valencia CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' Morocco international Brahim Diaz has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 8 assists in the Array this season.
  • 50' What a moment for Vinicius Junior! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 57' Valencia CF make a change. Roman Yaremchuk trudges off to be replaced by Diego Lopez on 57 minutes.
  • 62' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Luka Modric. He replaces Toni Kroos on 63 minute.
  • 68' The 36-year-old Joselu has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 72' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 72.
  • 73' Valencia CF ring the changes. Javier Guerra has done his job and it is now time for Selim Amallah to step up.
  • 76' What a moment for Vinicius Junior! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 80' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 83' A moment of madness from Mouctar Diakhaby on 83 minutes earns him a card. Valencia CF will be frustrated.
  • 86' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Federico Valverde departs to be replaced by Nacho.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Valencia CF. Mouctar Diakhaby is replaced by Cenk Ozkacar.
  • It finishes all square. Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.81 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.32 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Real Madrid CF to win 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF19% Draw22% Real Madrid CF59%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
41%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
81%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF11% Draw39% Real Madrid CF50%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
11.7%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 1
8.9%
0 – 3
8.8%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 4
5.1%
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
3.2%
1 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% — 97%
-1 3% 7% 89%
-0.5 11% — 89%
+0.5 30% — 70%
+1 30% 23% 47%
+1.5 53% — 47%
+2 53% 21% 27%
+2.5 73% — 27%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
45% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.