Thursday , 2 July 2026

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Valencia CF
2 – 2
Full Time
Real Madrid CF
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Duro 27' 1–0
Roman Yaremchuk 30' 2–0
2–1 45+5' Vinicius Junior
2–2 76' Vinicius Junior
Roman Yaremchuk 4' Y
Y 72' Vinicius Junior
Y 80' Federico Valverde
Mouctar Diakhaby 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Barcelona 38 94
2 Real Madrid CF 38 86
3 Villarreal CF 38 72
4 Club Atletico de Madrid 38 69
5 Real Betis Balompie 38 60
6 RC Celta de Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe CF 38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 38 50
9 Valencia CF 38 49
10 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 38 46
11 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 38 46
12 Athletic Club 38 45
13 Elche CF 38 43
14 Deportivo Alaves 38 43
15 Sevilla FC 38 43
16 CA Osasuna 38 42
17 RCD Mallorca 38 42
18 Levante UD 38 42
19 Girona FC 38 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 29

Head-to-Head

4
2
12
Valencia CF 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals Real Madrid CF
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-02-02 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Valencia CF 2022-01-08 Real Madrid CF 4–1 Valencia CF

Recent Form

Valencia CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D
17 Feb Sevilla FC H 0–0 D
10 Feb UD Las Palmas A 0–2 L
03 Feb UD Almeria H 2–1 W
28 Jan Club Atletico de Madrid A 0–2 L
20 Jan Athletic Club H 1–0 W
Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Valencia CF A 2–2 D
25 Feb Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
13 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
10 Feb Girona FC H 4–0 W
04 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Valencia CF Real Madrid CF
#9 Position #2
49 Points 86
38 Played 38
13 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
46 Scored 77
55 Conceded 35
-9 GD +42
1.29 PPG 2.26
34% Win % 71%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Valencia CF welcome Real Madrid CF for this crunch clash at Estadio de Mestalla.
  • 4' Roman Yaremchuk catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 4.
  • 9' The home supporters are growing impatient. Valencia CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 14' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 19' Valencia CF are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's 4-3-1-2 shape.
  • 24' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cristhian Mosquera, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de Mestalla with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 27' Valencia CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Hugo Duro on 27.
  • 30' GOAL! Roman Yaremchuk scores on 30.
  • 35' Valencia CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Valencia CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-3-1-2.
  • 45' Guadeloupe international Dimitri Foulquier has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Vinicius Junior makes it 2-1.
  • 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 57' It is a substitution in Valencia CF team. Roman Yaremchuk is replaced by Diego Lopez on 57 minute.
  • 62' The 26-year-old Brahim Diaz has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 63' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Toni Kroos has done his job and it is now time for Luka Modric to step up.
  • 68' Aurelien Tchouameni needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 72' Vinicius Junior has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 72.
  • 73' Another substitution for Valencia CF to replace Javier Guerra by Selim Amallah on 73 minute.
  • 76' Vinicius Junior has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 76 minutes.
  • 80' Federico Valverde has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
  • 83' Controversy at the stadium! Mouctar Diakhaby argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 86' Nacho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Federico Valverde on 86 minute.
  • 90' Cenk Ozkacar has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mouctar Diakhaby on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Valencia CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ruben Baraja

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vinicius Junior 10
Karim Benzema 9
Hugo Duro 5
Carlos Soler 4
Goncalo Guedes 3
Marco Asensio 2
Rodrygo 2
Rodrigo 1

Head to Head

2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-02-02 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Valencia CF 2022-01-08 Real Madrid CF 4–1 Valencia CF

Valencia CF Form

2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF D 2024-02-17 Valencia CF 0–0 Sevilla FC D 2024-02-10 UD Las Palmas 2–0 Valencia CF L 2024-02-03 Valencia CF 2–1 UD Almeria W 2024-01-28 Club Atletico de Madrid 2–0 Valencia CF L 2024-01-20 Valencia CF 1–0 Athletic Club W

Real Madrid CF Form

2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF D 2024-02-25 Real Madrid CF 1–0 Sevilla FC W 2024-02-18 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid CF D 2024-02-13 RB Leipzig 0–1 Real Madrid CF W 2024-02-10 Real Madrid CF 4–0 Girona FC W 2024-02-04 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Club Atletico de Madrid D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 57% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF25% Draw26% Real Madrid CF49%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
51%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
75%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF17% Draw43% Real Madrid CF40%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
9%
0 – 0
6.7%
1 – 3
6.2%
0 – 3
5.8%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.3%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 23% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.