Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.
- Valencia CF 12 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 12 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season
🟨 6.3/game
⚽ 18.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 12 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla FC | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | Villarreal CF | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | RC Celta de Vigo | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Alavés | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 11 | 12 |
| 14 | CA Osasuna | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 12 | 12 |
| 16 | Getafe CF | 12 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 12 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 12 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 12 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Feb | Sevilla FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Feb | UD Las Palmas | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Feb | UD Almeria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jan | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Jan | Athletic Club | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Valencia CF | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Feb | Sevilla FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | Girona FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Valencia CF | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #2 |
| 9 | Points | 30 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 2 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 2 |
| 8 | Scored | 31 |
| 20 | Conceded | 10 |
| -12 | GD | +21 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 17% | Win % | 83% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season
Valencia CF this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Valencia CF are 19th (9 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Valencia CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Valencia CF
| Umar Sadiq | 2 G |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 13 G | 2 A |
| Jude Bellingham | 4 G | 3 A |
| Arda Guler | 3 G | 4 A |
| Yan Diomande | 3 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Espi | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Valencia CF welcome Real Madrid CF for this crunch clash at Estadio de Mestalla.
- 4' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Roman Yaremchuk on 4 minutes.
- 9' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fran Garcia made 561 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 14' Nacho is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Valencia CF tonight.
- 19' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 24' Jude Bellingham has been relatively quiet despite scoring 92 goals in his last 398 appearances.
- 27' Hugo Duro is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 30' Roman Yaremchuk has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
- 35' Valencia CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Valencia CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' Morocco international Brahim Diaz has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 8 assists in the Array this season.
- 50' What a moment for Vinicius Junior! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 57' Valencia CF make a change. Roman Yaremchuk trudges off to be replaced by Diego Lopez on 57 minutes.
- 62' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Luka Modric. He replaces Toni Kroos on 63 minute.
- 68' The 36-year-old Joselu has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 72' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 72.
- 73' Valencia CF ring the changes. Javier Guerra has done his job and it is now time for Selim Amallah to step up.
- 76' What a moment for Vinicius Junior! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
- 80' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
- 83' A moment of madness from Mouctar Diakhaby on 83 minutes earns him a card. Valencia CF will be frustrated.
- 86' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Federico Valverde departs to be replaced by Nacho.
- 90' Time for substitution for Valencia CF. Mouctar Diakhaby is replaced by Cenk Ozkacar.
- It finishes all square. Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF share the spoils 2-2.
Lineups
Valencia CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
7
Sergi Canos ↓ Hugo Guillamon 57'
-
4
Mouctar Diakhaby ↓ Cenk Ozkacar 90'
- 14
- 20
- 9
- 18
-
17
Roman Yaremchuk ↓ Diego Lopez 57'
- 25
- 3
-
23
Fran Perez ↓ Peter Gonzalez 73'
-
8
Javier Guerra ↓ Selim Amallah 73'
Bench
- 1
- 13
-
19
Selim Amallah ↑ 73'
-
6
Hugo Guillamon ↑ 57'
- 12
- 10
-
15
Cenk Ozkacar ↑ 90'
- 21
-
11
Peter Gonzalez ↑ 73'
- 22
-
16
Diego Lopez ↑ 57'
- 34
Coach
Ruben Baraja
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 22
-
23
Ferland Mendy ↓ Fran Garcia 73'
- 18
- 13
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Luka Modric 63'
-
15
Federico Valverde ↓ Nacho 86'
- 7
- 2
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 63'
-
12
Eduardo Camavinga ↓ Joselu 73'
- 5
Bench
- 25
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 63'
-
14
Joselu ↑ 73'
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 63'
- 17
-
6
Nacho ↑ 86'
- 19
- 24
-
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 73'
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 10 |
| Karim Benzema | 9 |
| Hugo Duro | 5 |
| Carlos Soler | 4 |
| Goncalo Guedes | 3 |
| Marco Asensio | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Rodrigo | 1 |
Head to Head
Valencia CF Form
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.81
Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.32
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 59% + Real Madrid CF to win 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Valencia CF or Draw
41%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
81%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Valencia CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
11.7%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 1
8.9%
0 – 3
8.8%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 4
5.1%
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
3.2%
1 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Valencia CF
| Handicap | Valencia CF covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 7% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| +0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| +1.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +2 | 53% | 21% | 27% |
| +2.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
Clean Sheet
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
45%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

