Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Valencia CF
2 – 2
Full Time
Real Madrid CF
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Duro 27' 1–0
Roman Yaremchuk 30' 2–0
2–1 45+5' Vinicius Junior
2–2 76' Vinicius Junior
Roman Yaremchuk 4' Y
Y 72' Vinicius Junior
Y 80' Federico Valverde
Mouctar Diakhaby 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 5.6/game ⚽ 13.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Barcelona 7 21
2 Club Atlético de Madrid 7 16
3 Real Betis Balompié 7 16
4 Real Madrid CF 7 15
5 Sevilla FC 7 13
6 Deportivo Alavés 7 11
7 RC Deportivo La Coruña 7 10
8 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 7 10
9 CA Osasuna 7 8
10 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 7 8
11 Villarreal CF 7 8
12 Athletic Club 6 8
13 Getafe CF 7 8
14 RC Celta de Vigo 7 7
15 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 7 7
16 Real Racing Club de Santander 7 7
17 Levante UD 6 5
18 Elche CF 7 5
19 Valencia CF 7 4
20 Málaga CF 7 3

Head-to-Head

4
2
12
Valencia CF 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals Real Madrid CF
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-02-02 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Valencia CF 2022-01-08 Real Madrid CF 4–1 Valencia CF

Recent Form

Valencia CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D
17 Feb Sevilla FC H 0–0 D
10 Feb UD Las Palmas A 0–2 L
03 Feb UD Almeria H 2–1 W
28 Jan Club Atlético de Madrid A 0–2 L
20 Jan Athletic Club H 1–0 W
Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Valencia CF A 2–2 D
25 Feb Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
13 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
10 Feb Girona FC H 4–0 W
04 Feb Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Valencia CF Real Madrid CF
#19 Position #4
4 Points 15
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 2
4 Scored 18
13 Conceded 8
-9 GD +10
0.57 PPG 2.14
14% Win % 71%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Valencia CF are 19th (4 pts). Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Valencia CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Valencia CF have kicked off against Real Madrid CF. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 4' Roman Yaremchuk catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 4.
  • 9' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 14' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 19' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ruben Baraja might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 27' What a moment for Hugo Duro! That strike on 27 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 30' Brilliant from the forward! Roman Yaremchuk makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 30.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Valencia CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 50' Vinicius Junior doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 55' Valencia CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
  • 57' Valencia CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Diego Lopez is hanging Roman Yaremchuk on the field on 57 minute.
  • 62' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 63' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Toni Kroos is withdrawn and Luka Modric gets his opportunity.
  • 68' Nacho has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 549 appearances.
  • 72' A moment of madness from Vinicius Junior on 72 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 73' The whistle greets Javier Guerra as he departs to be replaced by Selim Amallah.
  • 76' Vinicius Junior adds to his 6 season tally! Real Madrid CF lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 80' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Federico Valverde on 80 minutes.
  • 83' Mouctar Diakhaby has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
  • 86' Real Madrid CF make a change. Federico Valverde trudges off to be replaced by Nacho on 86 minutes.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Valencia CF — Cenk Ozkacar on, Mouctar Diakhaby off on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Valencia CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ruben Baraja

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vinicius Junior 10
Karim Benzema 9
Hugo Duro 5
Carlos Soler 4
Goncalo Guedes 3
Marco Asensio 2
Rodrygo 2
Rodrigo 1

Head to Head

2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-11 Real Madrid CF 5–1 Valencia CF 2023-05-21 Valencia CF 1–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-02-02 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Valencia CF 2022-01-08 Real Madrid CF 4–1 Valencia CF

Valencia CF Form

2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF D 2024-02-17 Valencia CF 0–0 Sevilla FC D 2024-02-10 UD Las Palmas 2–0 Valencia CF L 2024-02-03 Valencia CF 2–1 UD Almeria W 2024-01-28 Club Atlético de Madrid 2–0 Valencia CF L 2024-01-20 Valencia CF 1–0 Athletic Club W

Real Madrid CF Form

2024-03-02 Valencia CF 2–2 Real Madrid CF D 2024-02-25 Real Madrid CF 1–0 Sevilla FC W 2024-02-18 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid CF D 2024-02-13 RB Leipzig 0–1 Real Madrid CF W 2024-02-10 Real Madrid CF 4–0 Girona FC W 2024-02-04 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Club Atlético de Madrid D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.83 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.4 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Real Madrid CF to win 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF19% Draw22% Real Madrid CF59%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
40%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
81%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF11% Draw38% Real Madrid CF51%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
11.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 3
8.8%
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 4
5.2%
1 – 4
4.4%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
3.2%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% — 97%
-1 3% 7% 89%
-0.5 11% — 89%
+0.5 29% — 71%
+1 29% 22% 49%
+1.5 51% — 49%
+2 51% 21% 28%
+2.5 72% — 28%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
44% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.