Wednesday , 23 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16

Wed 6 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Vinicius Junior 65' 1–0
1–1 69' Willi Orban

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs RB LeipzigChampions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 11.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
02 Mar Valencia CF A 2–2 D
25 Feb Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
13 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
10 Feb Girona FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
02 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
24 Feb FC Bayern München A 1–2 L
17 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach H 2–0 W
13 Feb Real Madrid CF H 0–1 L
10 Feb FC Augsburg A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
0% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu!
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Real Madrid CF have won 781 goals from 547 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' Mali international Amadou Haidara has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 40' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 46' Real Madrid CF make a change. Eduardo Camavinga trudges off to be replaced by Rodrygo on 46 minutes.
  • 50' David Raum picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 54' A moment of madness from Vinicius Junior on 54 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 59' Aurelien Tchouameni has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 391 appearances.
  • 64' Andriy Lunin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 65' Vinicius Junior is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the .
  • 69' Willi Orban makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 71' It’s gonna be a card for Willi Orban.
  • 73' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
  • 75' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 77' Yussuf Poulsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lois Openda at the 77 minute mark.
  • 78' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Toni Kroos by Luka Modric on 78 minute.
  • 83' Benjamin Henrichs has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 85' Joselu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jude Bellingham at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Kampl is hanging Amadou Haidara on the field on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF46% Draw27% RB Leipzig27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
74%
Draw or RB Leipzig
54%
Real Madrid CF or RB Leipzig
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF31% Draw48% RB Leipzig21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
33%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.