Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig, Champions League 2023-24 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs RB Leipzig — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Davide Massa
- Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
- Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
4 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar | RB Leipzig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Valencia CF | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Feb | Sevilla FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | Girona FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Real Madrid CF | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Feb | FC Augsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
0%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 G |
| Federico Valverde | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu!
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 30' Real Madrid CF have won 781 goals from 547 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' Mali international Amadou Haidara has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' Real Madrid CF make a change. Eduardo Camavinga trudges off to be replaced by Rodrygo on 46 minutes.
- 50' David Raum picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 54' A moment of madness from Vinicius Junior on 54 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
- 59' Aurelien Tchouameni has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 391 appearances.
- 64' Andriy Lunin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 65' Vinicius Junior is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the .
- 69' Willi Orban makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and RB Leipzig are in front.
- 71' It’s gonna be a card for Willi Orban.
- 73' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
- 75' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
- 77' Yussuf Poulsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lois Openda at the 77 minute mark.
- 78' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Toni Kroos by Luka Modric on 78 minute.
- 83' Benjamin Henrichs has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 85' Joselu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jude Bellingham at the 85 minute mark.
- 90' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Kampl is hanging Amadou Haidara on the field on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 22
- 23
- 18
- 13
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Luka Modric 78'
- 6
- 15
- 7
- 2
-
12
Eduardo Camavinga ↓ Rodrygo 46'
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Joselu 85'
Bench
- 25
- 21
-
14
Joselu ↑ 85'
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 78'
- 17
- 19
-
11
Rodrygo ↑ 46'
- 24
- 20
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
17
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 77'
- 39
- 1
- 4
- 22
- 7
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Kevin Kampl 90'
-
24
Xaver Schlager ↓ Eljif Elmas 85'
- 20
- 23
- 30
Bench
-
6
Eljif Elmas ↑ 85'
- 21
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 85'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 77'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 90'
- 3
- 25
- 13
- 5
- 38
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Willi Orban | 1 |
| Marco Asensio | 1 |
| Federico Valverde | 1 |
| Rodrygo | 1 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 1 |
| Timo Werner | 1 |
| Josko Gvardiol | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
74%
Draw or RB Leipzig
54%
Real Madrid CF or RB Leipzig
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

