Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs PFK SochiRFPL .

Match Details

  • Referee Stanislav Matveev (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar PFK Sochi H 4–0 W
14 Mar PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–0 W
07 Mar FK Rostov A 1–1 D
27 Feb FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–1 L
07 Dec PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–0 W
29 Nov FK Spartak Moskva H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–4 L
14 Mar FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
07 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod A 1–2 L
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 2–3 L
07 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 0–0 D

Season Stats

FK Baltika Kaliningrad PFK Sochi
#6 Position #16
46 Points 22
30 Played 30
11 / 13 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 20
38 Scored 29
21 Conceded 60
+17 GD -31
1.53 PPG 0.73
37% Win % 20%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.31 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.42 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: FK Baltika Kaliningrad to win 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Baltika Kaliningrad75% Draw17% PFK Sochi8%
Actual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
92%
Draw or PFK Sochi
25%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or PFK Sochi
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Baltika Kaliningrad56% Draw39% PFK Sochi5%
Actual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
17.1%
1 – 0
14.9%
3 – 0
12.8%
0 – 0
8%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
5 – 0
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
0 – 1
2.2%
5 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Handicap FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 32% 68%
-2 32% 23% 44%
-1.5 56% 44%
-1 56% 23% 21%
-0.5 79% 21%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
66%
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.