Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs PFK SochiRFPL .

Match Details

  • Referee Stanislav Matveev (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar PFK Sochi H 4–0 W
14 Mar PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–0 W
07 Mar FK Rostov A 1–1 D
27 Feb FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–1 L
07 Dec PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–0 W
29 Nov FK Spartak Moskva H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–4 L
14 Mar FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
07 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod A 1–2 L
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 2–3 L
07 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 0–0 D

Season Stats

FK Baltika Kaliningrad PFK Sochi
#6 Position #16
46 Points 22
30 Played 30
11 / 13 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 20
38 Scored 29
21 Conceded 60
+17 GD -31
1.53 PPG 0.73
37% Win % 20%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
47% Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season

FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
/1
31-45
1/
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.31 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.42 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: FK Baltika Kaliningrad to win 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Baltika Kaliningrad75% Draw17% PFK Sochi8%
Actual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
92%
Draw or PFK Sochi
25%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or PFK Sochi
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Baltika Kaliningrad56% Draw39% PFK Sochi5%
Actual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
17.1%
1 – 0
14.9%
3 – 0
12.8%
0 – 0
8%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
5 – 0
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
0 – 1
2.2%
5 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Handicap FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 32% 68%
-2 32% 23% 44%
-1.5 56% 44%
-1 56% 23% 21%
-0.5 79% 21%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
66%
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.