FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at Arena Baltika.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 14 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | FK Rostov | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | FK Ural | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Aug | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | FK Krasnodar | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | FK Ural | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Aug | FK Orenburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | RFK Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #12 |
| 17 | Points | 14 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 4 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 6 |
| 17 | Scored | 16 |
| 15 | Conceded | 19 |
| +2 | GD | -3 |
| 1.21 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 29% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
22%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 9th (17 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 12th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Brayan Gil | 5 G | 1 A |
| Nnamdi Chinonso Offor | 2 G | |
| Maksim Petrov | 1 G | 1 A |
| Aymane Mourid | 1 G |
RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Lechi Sadulaev | 3 G | 3 A |
| Egas Cacintura | 3 G | 2 A |
| Georgi Melkadze | 3 G | |
| Andres Alarcon | 2 G | |
| Erald Maksuti | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FK Baltika Kaliningrad kicks off things out of here…
- 5' A quiet spell here at Arena Baltika. RFK Akhmat Grozny seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Daniel Jr. is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Baltika Kaliningrad tonight.
- 15' The 26-year-old Gamid Agalarov has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' It looks surprising RFK Akhmat Grozny does not make any changes. Bi Gbamble has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' RFK Akhmat Grozny fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' Angelo Henriquez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with RFK Akhmat Grozny winning 0% of all matches.
- 43' The deadlock is broken! Evgeny Kharin gets on the scoresheet on 43 minutes.
- 46' Another change for FK Baltika Kaliningrad made on 46 minute. Guillermo Soto leaves to be changed by Kirill Malyarov.
- 51' Kirill Malyarov catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 51.
- 56' Sergey Pryakhin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Baltika Kaliningrad so far.
- 58' A tactical swap from FK Baltika Kaliningrad — Artur Galoyan on, Sergey Pryakhin off on 58 minutes.
- 63' With 0 assists to his name this season, Evgeniy Latyshonok is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
- 68' The whistle greets Camilo as he departs to be replaced by Daniel Jr..
- 71' FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yan Kazaev is hanging Kristijan Bistrovic on the field on 71 minute.
- 76' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Baltika Kaliningrad is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 80' The whistle greets Vladimir Ilyin as he departs to be replaced by Gamid Agalarov.
- 85' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes a substitution. Gedeon Guzina departs to be replaced by Tamerlan Musaev.
- 88' A tactical swap from RFK Akhmat Grozny — Bi Gbamble on, Ivan Oleinikov off on 88 minutes.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 17
- 7
-
9
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Tamerlan Musaev 85'
- –
- 18
- 1
- 26
-
19
Sergey Pryakhin ↓ Artur Galoyan 58'
- 5
- –
Bench
- 23
- –
-
10
Yan Kazaev ↑ 71'
- 21
-
3
Kirill Malyarov ↑ 46'
- 59
-
22
Tamerlan Musaev ↑ 85'
-
6
Maksim Kuzmin ↑ 71'
-
20
Artur Galoyan ↑ 58'
- 67
- 66
- 8
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 4
- 88
- 7
- 13
-
21
Ivan Oleinikov ↓ Bi Gbamble 88'
- 8
- 6
-
–
Camilo ↓ Daniel Jr. 68'
- 59
-
29
Vladimir Ilyin ↓ Gamid Agalarov 80'
Bench
- 40
-
77
Gamid Agalarov ↑ 80'
- 1
- 96
-
98
Svetoslav Kovachev ↑ 68'
- 18
- 35
- 33
-
–
Daniel Jr. ↑ 68'
- 94
- 3
-
47
Bi Gbamble ↑ 88'
Coach
Sergey Tashuev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Fernandes | 3 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
| Kevin Andrade | 1 |
| Evgeny Kharin | 1 |
| Svetoslav Kovachev | 1 |
| Angelo Henriquez | 1 |
| Yuriy Kovalev | 1 |
| Vitaliy Lisakovich | 1 |
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2023-09-23
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-09-16
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Rostov
D
2023-09-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-27
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-19
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Ural
L
2023-08-13
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2023-09-23
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2023-09-16
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Krasnodar
D
2023-09-02
FK Ural
0–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-08-26
FK Spartak Moskva
0–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
2023-08-20
RFK Akhmat Grozny
4–0
FK Orenburg
W
2023-08-14
FK Nizhny Novgorod
2–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.82
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
80%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
52%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or RFK Akhmat Grozny
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 26% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

