FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at Arena Baltika.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | FK Rostov | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | FK Ural | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Aug | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | FK Krasnodar | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | FK Ural | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Aug | FK Orenburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | RFK Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #9 |
| 46 | Points | 37 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 13 / 6 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 11 |
| 38 | Scored | 35 |
| 21 | Conceded | 39 |
| +17 | GD | -4 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 37% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
20%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Baltika Kaliningrad is hosting RFK Akhmat Grozny for another epic battle.
- 5' The 27-year-old Camilo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Baltika Kaliningrad and RFK Akhmat Grozny are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' FK Baltika Kaliningrad has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' Jasmin Celikovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sergey Tashuev will be considering his options from the bench.
- 43' Evgeny Kharin makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and RFK Akhmat Grozny are in front.
- 46' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad bench stirs into life. Guillermo Soto is withdrawn and Kirill Malyarov gets his opportunity.
- 51' That looks like a foul for a card for Kirill Malyarov.
- 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
- 58' A tactical swap from FK Baltika Kaliningrad — Artur Galoyan on, Sergey Pryakhin off on 58 minutes.
- 63' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RFK Akhmat Grozny backline.
- 68' The RFK Akhmat Grozny bench stirs into life. Camilo is withdrawn and Daniel Jr. gets his opportunity.
- 71' Another change for FK Baltika Kaliningrad made on 71 minute. Kristijan Bistrovic leaves to be changed by Yan Kazaev.
- 76' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against RFK Akhmat Grozny's shape.
- 80' The whistle greets Vladimir Ilyin as he departs to be replaced by Gamid Agalarov.
- 85' FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tamerlan Musaev is hanging Gedeon Guzina on the field on 85 minute.
- 88' A change in the RFK Akhmat Grozny ranks — Ivan Oleinikov exits the field as Bi Gbamble enters on 88.
- Another three points for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 17
- 7
-
9
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Tamerlan Musaev 85'
- –
- 18
- 1
- 26
-
19
Sergey Pryakhin ↓ Artur Galoyan 58'
- 5
- –
Bench
- 23
- –
-
10
Yan Kazaev ↑ 71'
- 21
-
3
Kirill Malyarov ↑ 46'
- 59
-
22
Tamerlan Musaev ↑ 85'
-
6
Maksim Kuzmin ↑ 71'
-
20
Artur Galoyan ↑ 58'
- 67
- 66
- 8
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 4
- 88
- 7
- 13
-
21
Ivan Oleinikov ↓ Bi Gbamble 88'
- 8
- 6
-
–
Camilo ↓ Daniel Jr. 68'
- 59
-
29
Vladimir Ilyin ↓ Gamid Agalarov 80'
Bench
- 40
-
77
Gamid Agalarov ↑ 80'
- 1
- 96
-
98
Svetoslav Kovachev ↑ 68'
- 18
- 35
- 33
-
–
Daniel Jr. ↑ 68'
- 94
- 3
-
47
Bi Gbamble ↑ 88'
Coach
Sergey Tashuev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Fernandes | 3 |
| Evgeny Kharin | 1 |
| Svetoslav Kovachev | 1 |
| Angelo Henriquez | 1 |
| Yuriy Kovalev | 1 |
| Vitaliy Lisakovich | 1 |
| Maksim Kuzmin | 1 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2023-09-23
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-09-16
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Rostov
D
2023-09-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-27
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-19
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Ural
L
2023-08-13
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2023-09-23
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2023-09-16
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Krasnodar
D
2023-09-02
FK Ural
0–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-08-26
FK Spartak Moskva
0–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
2023-08-20
RFK Akhmat Grozny
4–0
FK Orenburg
W
2023-08-14
FK Nizhny Novgorod
2–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.5
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 2.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
83%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
48%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or RFK Akhmat Grozny
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
20%
2 – 0
12.8%
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 2
2.6%
0 – 2
2%
2 – 2
1.8%
4 – 0
1.6%
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 28% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 10% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
61%
✓
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.