FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at Arena Baltika.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | FK Rostov | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | FK Ural | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Aug | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | FK Krasnodar | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | FK Ural | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Aug | FK Orenburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | RFK Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #9 |
| 46 | Points | 37 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 13 / 6 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 11 |
| 38 | Scored | 35 |
| 21 | Conceded | 39 |
| +17 | GD | -4 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 37% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Arena Baltika will turn into a battlefield for FK Baltika Kaliningrad and RFK Akhmat Grozny.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jasmin Celikovic suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' RFK Akhmat Grozny is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sergey Ignashevich might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Roberto Fernandez, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Baltika with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 43' GOAL! Evgeny Kharin fires home to make it 0-1!
- 46' The whistle greets Guillermo Soto as he departs to be replaced by Kirill Malyarov.
- 51' It’s gonna be a card for Kirill Malyarov.
- 56' Tamerlan Musaev is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Baltika Kaliningrad tonight.
- 58' A change in the FK Baltika Kaliningrad ranks — Sergey Pryakhin exits the field as Artur Galoyan enters on 58.
- 63' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Baltika Kaliningrad and RFK Akhmat Grozny are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 68' Fresh legs for RFK Akhmat Grozny! Daniel Jr. comes on to replace Camilo.
- 71' FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yan Kazaev is hanging Kristijan Bistrovic on the field on 71 minute.
- 76' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Baltika Kaliningrad and RFK Akhmat Grozny are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Gamid Agalarov. He replaces Vladimir Ilyin on 80 minute.
- 85' Another change for FK Baltika Kaliningrad made on 85 minute. Gedeon Guzina leaves to be changed by Tamerlan Musaev.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Bi Gbamble. He replaces Ivan Oleinikov on 88 minute.
- It finishes all square. FK Baltika Kaliningrad and RFK Akhmat Grozny share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 17
- 7
-
9
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Tamerlan Musaev 85'
- –
- 18
- 1
- 26
-
19
Sergey Pryakhin ↓ Artur Galoyan 58'
- 5
- –
Bench
- 23
- –
-
10
Yan Kazaev ↑ 71'
- 21
-
3
Kirill Malyarov ↑ 46'
- 59
-
22
Tamerlan Musaev ↑ 85'
-
6
Maksim Kuzmin ↑ 71'
-
20
Artur Galoyan ↑ 58'
- 67
- 66
- 8
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 4
- 88
- 7
- 13
-
21
Ivan Oleinikov ↓ Bi Gbamble 88'
- 8
- 6
-
–
Camilo ↓ Daniel Jr. 68'
- 59
-
29
Vladimir Ilyin ↓ Gamid Agalarov 80'
Bench
- 40
-
77
Gamid Agalarov ↑ 80'
- 1
- 96
-
98
Svetoslav Kovachev ↑ 68'
- 18
- 35
- 33
-
–
Daniel Jr. ↑ 68'
- 94
- 3
-
47
Bi Gbamble ↑ 88'
Coach
Sergey Tashuev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Fernandes | 3 |
| Maksim Kuzmin | 1 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
| Kevin Andrade | 1 |
| Evgeny Kharin | 1 |
| Svetoslav Kovachev | 1 |
| Angelo Henriquez | 1 |
| Yuriy Kovalev | 1 |
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2023-09-23
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-09-16
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Rostov
D
2023-09-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-27
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2023-08-19
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Ural
L
2023-08-13
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2023-09-23
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2023-09-16
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Krasnodar
D
2023-09-02
FK Ural
0–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2023-08-26
FK Spartak Moskva
0–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
2023-08-20
RFK Akhmat Grozny
4–0
FK Orenburg
W
2023-08-14
FK Nizhny Novgorod
2–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.5
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 2.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 3.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
83%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
48%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or RFK Akhmat Grozny
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
20%
2 – 0
12.8%
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 2
2.6%
0 – 2
2%
2 – 2
1.8%
4 – 0
1.6%
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 28% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 10% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
61%
✓
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.