RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Krasnodar — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Anton Frolov
- Assistant 1 Kirill Bolshakov (Russia)
- Assistant 2 Egor Bolkhovitin
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | FK Rostov | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Mar | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Mar | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Dec | FK Orenburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 5–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | PFK Sochi | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | FK Rostov | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| RFK Akhmat Grozny | FK Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 37 | Points | 66 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 9 / 10 / 11 | W / D / L | 20 / 6 / 4 |
| 35 | Scored | 60 |
| 39 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | +37 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 30% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. RFK Akhmat Grozny kicks off things out of here…
- 5' FK Krasnodar started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' RFK Akhmat Grozny are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Krasnodar's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 15' It looks surprising FK Krasnodar does not make any changes. Ousmane N'Dong has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' FK Krasnodar have won 423 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' Egas Cacintura needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 13 Yellow cards this season.
- 40' Giovanni Gonzalez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Brian Mansilla suffering a number of foals already.
- 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 60' Aleksandr Chernikov gets the nod from FK Krasnodar. He replaces Eduard Spertsyan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' It’s high time Stanislav Cherchesov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 66' The RFK Akhmat Grozny bench stirs into life. Lechi Sadulaev is withdrawn and Papa Gadio gets his opportunity.
- 71' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 73' Valentin Paltsev makes way for Moses Cobnan at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Krasnodar.
- 75' The FK Krasnodar manager makes a substitution. Joao Batxi departs to be replaced by Juan Boselli.
- 80' Lechi Sadulaev is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RFK Akhmat Grozny so far.
- 83' Aleksandr Chernikov has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
- 85' Mehdi Zare is replacing Klisman Cake for the RFK Akhmat Grozny side.
- 86' The Colombia Jhon Cordoba breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 0-1!
- 90' The referee calls foul for Ismael. He receives a card.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
7
Lechi Sadulaev ↓ Papa Gadio 66'
- 77
- 17
- 9
- 81
- 42
- 11
- 1
-
5
Klisman Cake ↓ Mehdi Zare 85'
- 90
Bench
- 10
- 82
- 88
- 40
- 13
- 4
-
20
Maksim Samorodov ↑ 60'
- 2
-
22
Mehdi Zare ↑ 85'
- 27
-
37
Papa Gadio ↑ 66'
- 23
Coach
Stanislav Cherchesov
FK Krasnodar Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 15
- 20
- 1
- 10
- 4
- 88
-
11
Joao Batxi ↓ Juan Boselli 75'
- 6
-
17
Valentin Paltsev ↓ Moses Cobnan 73'
Bench
-
53
Aleksandr Chernikov ↑ 60'
-
23
Juan Boselli ↑ 75'
- 5
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↑ 73'
- 59
- 16
- 27
Coach
Murad Musaev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jhon Cordoba | 4 |
| Bernard Berisha | 4 |
| Eduard Spertsyan | 3 |
| Ivan Oleynikov | 2 |
| Remy Cabella | 2 |
| Markus Berg | 2 |
| Vladislav Kamilov | 2 |
| Mael | 2 |
Head to Head
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.77
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
51%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
78%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Krasnodar
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
11.4%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 3
5.7%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
2 – 0
2.8%
0 – 4
2.2%
Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Handicap | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers | Push | FK Krasnodar covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 12% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

