Thursday , 2 July 2026

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 11:00 UTC Solidarnost Arena 6,481 HT 45' · FT 45'
Amar Rahmanovic 4' 1–0
1–1 10' Georgi Melkadze
1–2 40' Egas Cacintura pen
Nikita Chernov 70' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara vs RFK Akhmat GroznyRFPL at Solidarnost Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Yan Bobrovskiy
  • Assistant 1 Kirill Bolshakov (Russia)
4 games this season 🟨 2.8/game 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 2–2 D
04 Apr FK Krasnodar H 0–1 L
21 Mar FK Rostov H 1–0 W
15 Mar FK Akron Tolyatti A 1–1 D
09 Mar FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 2–2 D
01 Mar PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–0 W

Season Stats

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara RFK Akhmat Grozny
#11 Position #9
32 Points 37
30 Played 30
8 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 9 / 10 / 11
35 Scored 35
50 Conceded 39
-15 GD -4
1.07 PPG 1.23
27% Win % 30%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season
20% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or RFK Akhmat Grozny 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara36% Draw28% RFK Akhmat Grozny36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or Draw
63%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
64%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara or RFK Akhmat Grozny
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara26% Draw45% RFK Akhmat Grozny29%
Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Handicap PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers Push RFK Akhmat Grozny covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
23%
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.