Tuesday , 25 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern MunchenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
4 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan FC Bayern Munchen H 1–5 L
14 Jan SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
20 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
06 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 6–0 W
02 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
14 Jan 1. FC Köln A 3–1 W
11 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 8–1 W
21 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–2 D
09 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal H 3–1 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig FC Bayern Munchen
#6 Position #4
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 6th (0 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 4th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome FC Bayern München for this crunch clash at .
  • The final score is 1-5.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.72 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern Munchen to win 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig17% Draw25% FC Bayern Munchen58%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
42%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
83%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern Munchen
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig11% Draw46% FC Bayern Munchen43%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
0 – 1
13.6%
0 – 2
12.8%
1 – 1
11%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 3
7.6%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 1
3.5%
0 – 4
3.5%
2 – 2
3.3%
1 – 4
2.7%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 9% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 38% 62%
+1 38% 25% 37%
+1.5 63% 37%
+2 63% 20% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
17%
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
49%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.